• Large-scale pattern recognition techniques would indicate that this would not be a heavy snow event.

  • However, a closer look (div Q / isentropic analysis ect) indicated some significant large-scale lift.

  • Frontal scale lift was also forecast, which would focus the large-scale lift.

  • Instability would also be present, which would further intensify and focus the lift.

  • Important : all of these favorable factors would only be in place for a short time (around 00z on the 28th).

  • So what happened?

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