Summary of the 22/00 UTC WRF model forecasts

  • The WRF forecast was slightly farther north with the 700 mb low around 00 UTC, which apparently pushed the dry slot more aggressively northeast across Pennsylvania.

  • Otherwise, the forecasts appeared to be quite similar to the Eta and GFS forecasts.

  • The WRF reflectivity product very clearly indicated the dry slot moving across Pennsylvania late on the 22d, and the heavier banding farther north across central New York.

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