NWS Caribou Spotter Newsletter

Spring 2000


200 Spotters!

Spring spotter talks increase the number of spotters from 120 to 200.


Weather spotter talks were held this Spring in Ellsworth, Machias, Bangor, Dover - Foxcroft, Masardis, Millinocket, Houlton, Presque Isle, and Madawaska. These talks enabled us to sign up 80 new spotters in Eastern and Northern Maine. These 80 bring the total number of weather spotters in the Caribou forecast area to 200. We would like to welcome all the new spotters to our team!

Reports from weather spotters are frequently used by our forecasters to make real-time decisions with respect to forecasts and warnings. We can always use more spotters...so if you know someone who would be interested in becoming a spotter have them contact me. My e-mail address is:

Hendricus.Lulofs@noaa.gov.

Or I can be reached by phone at 496-8931...ask for Hendricus.

Caribou Takes Over Full Forecast Responsibilities

As of December first of last year, the Caribou office took over full forecast responsibility for Aroostook, Hancock, Penobscot, Piscataquis, Washington, and the northern third of Somerset counties. Routine products issued for these areas include zone forecasts, fire weather forecasts, short term forecasts and daily river forecasts. In addition advisories, watches, and warnings for severe weather are also issued.

The Caribou office also has marine forecasting responsibilities from Stonington to Eastport out to 25 nautical miles. This includes the issuance of special marine statements and warnings. Aviation forecast are also being routinely issued for Caribou, Houlton, and Bangor.



The Winter of 1999-2000

Looking back at this past winter, Northern and Eastern Maine experienced warmer and wetter then normal conditions. While snowfall was slightly below normal. The following statistics are based on the period November through April:

Caribou:
Temperature: 24.9 Normal: 21.5
Precipitation: 17.80 Normal: 15.99
Snowfall: 112.4 Normal: 115.6
Coldest Temperature: -22 on 2/18/00

Bangor:
Temperature: 30.6 Normal: 28.2
Precipitation: 23.87 Normal: 20.83
Snowfall: 68.1 Normal: 77.0
Coldest Temperature: -22 on 1/20/00

The 2 most notable storms occurred on January 20/21 and February 14. The January storm affected Washington and Aroostook counties. It only produced 6 to 10 inches of snow...but it was accompanied by winds that gusted over 50 MPH which resulted in blizzard conditions and deep drifts of snow. The February Valentines Day storm resulted in 1 to 2 feet of snow over Northern Penobscot, Northern Piscataquis, Northern Somerset, and Aroostook counties. This resulted in numerous business and school closures. Spotter reports were extremely helpful during both of these events!

Severe Thunderstorm Season is Here

Severe weather season has arrived. Now is a good time to brush up on the types of weather we want you to report during this time of year. These weather conditions include: Winds of 40 MPH or greater, any wind damage such as damage to trees, power lines, roof’s or windows. Hail of any size. Funnel clouds, tornado’s, or rotating wall clouds. Also any flooding or flash flooding. If you observe any of these weather elements follow these reporting procedures: Call the NationalWeather Service Spotter Hotline, call Emergency services (if life threatening), identify yourself as a spotter, provide your name, where the event is/was occurring, description of the event, time observed, and the storm movement.




Lightning Safety

Lightning causes around 100 deaths in the U.S annually (more than hurricanes and tornadoes combined). Lightning can strike several miles away from the thunderstorm. So even though it may not be raining...if a thunderstorm is nearby you are close enough to be stuck by lightning.

General lightning safety rules:
· WHEN INSIDE:
· Avoid using the telephone (except for emergencies) or other electrical appliances.
· Do not take a bath or shower.

· IF CAUGHT OUTDOORS:
· Go to a safe shelter immediately! such as inside a sturdy building. A hard top automobile with the windows up can also offer fair protection.
· If you are boating or swimming, get out of the water immediately and move to a safe shelter away from the water!
· If you are in a wooded area, seek shelter under a thick growth of relatively small trees.
If you feel your hair standing on end, squat as shown in the diagram above with your head between your knees.Do not lie flat!

Avoid: isolated trees or other tall objects, bodies of water, sheds, fences, convertible automobiles, tractors, and motorcycles.

CRS: Console Replacement System...NOAA Weather Radio 2000

You may have noticed a change in the broadcast from your Weather Radio over the past month. The National Weather Service is taking steps to move towards a fully automated broadcast over the NOAA Weather Radio nationwide. The name of this computerized, automated system is Console Replacement System, CRS, or NOAA Weather Radio 2000. Briefly, we would like to explain how this automation will bring an enhanced service that you may not be aware of.

First, for a little background, NOAA Weather Radio is a network of radio broadcast that cover all 50 states, the District of Columbia, Puerto Rico, the US Virgin Islands, and the US Pacific Territories. This radio network broadcast continuously, 24-hours a day, 7 days a week, providing much more that just forecasts and observations for the listening community. The primary mission of NOAA Weather Radio is to provide emergency information. This includes all types of life threatening hazards. In addition to severe weather information, it also includes flooding, earthquake, and volcanic activity, and the man-made hazards such as chemical spills or nuclear threats. If you have the tone-alert feature on your radio, we have the ability to wake you up in the wee hours of the night to give you the time needed to move your family to safety.

It is when the life-threatening events - where even seconds can spell the difference between life and death - that the true importance of automation so clearly illustrated.



(CRS continued...)

In human operations, the text must be prepared in the computer, then printed, then edited for the specific targeted listening area, then recorded for the broadcast. Most National Weather Service offices run more than one NOAA Weather Radio Station, with some operating as many as thirteen! With human broadcasters only able to make a broadcast on one station at a time, it becomes easier to understand the vital importance of automation. Automation will immediately take the prepared computer text and automatically customize and broadcast the message over an unlimited number of transmitters at the same time. Time saved during this automated process is averaging eight full minutes across the country, and with multiple transmitter sites, sometimes as much as 15 minutes is saved. Eight minutes will allow you to gather your family into a basement or other place of safety. Eight minutes can spell a lifetime.

Many times people respond with - OK, I understand the time saved with automation, but why can’t you use the voice that the bank uses when I call for the time?

To answer this question requires a little understanding of how the synthesized voice works with the computer. Banks, and other like-businesses, uses what is called a ‘concatenated’ voice. This is pre-recorded words by people. For example: to build a time and temperature recording, a real person will be recorded reading each number, or number combination for all possible times - and a range of temperature values for that area - which is a limited vocabulary. When the number combinations are received by the computer, the proper number recordings are selected for the output - results are a smooth, human-sounding recording (because that is what it is!).

Weather forecasts cannot operate with a fully concatenated voice. The requirement would entail millions of sound combinations which would vary from one part of the country to another. A perfect example is the French influence on the language in northern Maine where words are pronounced very differently from the same word in south Texas that is under Spanish influence. The million of place names alone across the country would show what a daunting task full concatenation would require. The National Weather Service has selected the best technology available today to cover the wide ranging vocabulary that is required. This is a truly synthesized computer voice which can read any product with an unlimited range of vocabulary.

As better, or improved technology becomes available, then the Weather Service will employ that technology. As a matter of fact, concatenation is in the development stages for warning products. The warning products issued by the NWS will adhere to a strict standardized format which will allow for the concatenation to work. This is the first stage of concatenation of the warnings, and the full voice should be available by the year 2002.

We hope that this better explains CRS, Your Voice of the National Weather Service. For further information on CRS or NOAA Weather Radio, you can visit the Internet web address at: or call us at the NWS office in Caribou at 207-496-0148. This article was contributed by Bonnie Terrizzi.

Forecasting Tornadoes

Through a tremendous investment in research, observing systems such as the WSR-88D Doppler radar, and forecasting technology, the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration's National Weather Service issues more than 15,000 severe storm and tornado watches and warnings each year. The average lead time for warnings has increased from six to almost 12 minutes from 1994 to 1998. This means that individuals and communities have more time to prepare for tornadoes by seeking shelter and securing property, thereby reducing loss of life and limiting the economic costs of property damage. Several centers and laboratories within NOAA are dedicated to research efforts to further improve forecasts and daily forecast operations to protect life and property.

Storm Prediction Center
NOAA's Storm Prediction Center (SPC), located in Norman, Okla., provides short-term guidance products for hazardous weather over the contiguous United States. The Center coordinates with National Weather Service (NWS) field offices around the country for short-term aspects of hazardous weather such as flash floods, thunderstorms, tornadoes, winter storms, blizzards and freezing precipitation. The SPC is the primary NWS center of expertise for forecasting hazardous weather and economically-disruptive weather events. The Center makes maximum use of observations, numerical forecast models, Doppler Radar and geostationary satellites to generate forecasts. By creating timely and accurate guidance of hazardous weather across the continental United States, the SPC helps NWS field offices effectively accomplish their public safety functions. In addition to working with National Weather Service field offices and other National Centers, the Storm Prediction Center collaborates with local, national and international meteorological communities, various NOAA offices and academia. The Storm Prediction Center provides internal scientific support and techniques development. This support includes developing, evaluating and testing forecast methods. The Center also enhances its operations and trains meteorologists and customers to use SPC products.

National Weather Service Forecast Offices
National Weather Service Forecast Offices play a vital role in issuing severe weather forecasts and warnings. More than 120 modernized forecast offices across the country work closely with the Storm Prediction Center to ensure emergency managers and the general public receive the most accurate and timely forecasts to get out of harm's way. Current weather watches and warnings from local forecast offices are available on the Internet at IWIN.

National Severe Storms Laboratory
NOAA's National Severe Storms Laboratory (NSSL) is one of the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration's internationally-known Environmental Research Laboratories, leading the way in investigations of all aspects of severe weather. Headquartered in Norman,Okla., with staff in Boulder, Colo.; Seattle, Wash.; Salt Lake City, Utah; and Madison, Wis., the people of NSSL, in partnership with the National Weather Service, are dedicated to improving the Nation's severe weather warnings and forecasts in order to save lives and reduce property damage.

The NSSL and the SPC work together closely to make sure the latest scientific advances are rapidly incorporated into severe weather watches. This close cooperation between the two centers will continue to improve severe weather forecasts to the American people.





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