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Area Forecast Discussion
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000
FXUS61 KBTV 280606
AFDBTV

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BURLINGTON VT
206 AM EDT FRI AUG 28 2015

.SYNOPSIS...
HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD INTO THE NORTH COUNTRY TONIGHT THROUGH 
FRIDAY AND PROVIDE THE REGION WITH DRY CONDITIONS AND CLEARING 
SKIES. THE HIGH WILL REMAIN OVER THE AREA INTO SATURDAY. A WEAK 
DISTURBANCE WILL THEN BRING A FEW WIDELY SCATTERED SHOWERS LATER 
SATURDAY INTO SUNDAY. A WARMING TREND WILL ALSO DEVELOP OVER THE 
WEEKEND WHICH WILL CONTINUE INTO NEXT WEEK.

&&

.NEAR TERM /UNTIL 8 AM THIS MORNING/...
AS OF 131 AM EDT FRIDAY...MOST OF THE NORTH COUNTRY SEEING MOSTLY
CLEAR TO CLEAR SKIES...THOUGH SOME CLOUDS LINGER OVER NORTHERN
VERMONT AND PORTIONS OF ST LAWRENCE AND FRANKLIN COUNTIES IN NY.
CLOUDS WILL CONTINUE TO DIMINISH AND ALLOW FOR SOME AREAS OF
PATCHY FOG TO DEVELOP IN THE EARLY MORNING HOURS. TEMPERATURES
CONTINUING TO FALL INTO THE 50S...WITH MORNING LOWS GENERALLY IN
THE MID 40S TO MID 50S.

&&

.SHORT TERM /8 AM THIS MORNING THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT/...
AS OF 340 PM EDT THURSDAY...SURFACE RIDGE WILL CONTINUE TO BUILD
ACROSS THE NORTH COUNTRY FRIDAY INTO SATURDAY. EXPECT PLENTY OF
SUNSHINE ON FRIDAY AND CONTINUED MAINLY CLEAR FRIDAY NIGHT. 925
MB TEMPS CLIMB TO 16-18C FRIDAY...WHICH SHOULD ALLOW FOR MAX TEMPS
IN THE VALLEYS TO REACH THE UPPER 70S. MINIMUM TEMPERATURES FRIDAY
NIGHT WILL BE MAINLY IN THE 50S...EXCEPT 40S IN THE ADIRONDACKS
AND PARTS OF NORTHEAST KINGDOM. LOOK FOR SOME PATCHY FOG ONCE
AGAIN IN THE NORMAL SPOTS.

THE WARMING TREND AND MAINLY DRY WEATHER CONTINUES INTO SATURDAY 
WITH SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE REMAINING OVER THE REGION. HOWEVER...A
WEAK DISTURBANCE IN THE FLOW ALOFT MAY TRIGGER A FEW SCATTERED
SHOWERS LATER SATURDAY INTO SATURDAY NIGHT. TEMPS SLIGHTLY WARMER
SATURDAY WITH HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S TO LOWER 80S.

&&

.LONG TERM /SUNDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/...
AS OF 252 PM EDT THURSDAY...FORECAST FOR THE EXTENDED PERIOD
REMAINS ON TRACK WITH A WARM SUMMER- LIKE PATTERN RETURNING TO THE
NORTH COUNTRY FOR SUNDAY THROUGH THURSDAY. OUTSIDE OF A WEAK UPPER
TROUGH PASSAGE SUNDAY AND SUNDAY NIGHT WHICH MAY PROVIDE SOME
ISOLATED TO SCATTERED LIGHT RAIN SHOWERS, THE NORTH COUNTRY WILL
LARGELY BE DOMINATED BY SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE AND A BUILDING RIDGE
ALOFT RESULTING IN ABNORMALLY WARM AND DRY CONDITIONS THROUGH THE
PERIOD. MEAN 925-850MB TEMPS START OUT ON SUNDAY AT 12-18C
RESPECTIVELY AND TICK UP A DEGREE OR TWO EACH DAY TOPPING OUT MID-
WEEK AT 15-22C. THIS SUPPORTS HIGHS LATE WEEKEND INTO MONDAY IN
THE UPPER 70S TO LOWER 80S, WARMING INTO THE MID TO UPPER 80S MID-
WEEK UNDER PARTIAL TO FULL SUNSHINE.

&&

.AVIATION /06Z FRIDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/...
THROUGH 06Z SATURDAY...MAINLY VFR CONDITIONS EXPECTED THROUGH THE
PERIOD AS A SURFACE RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS NORTHEAST FROM
THE OHIO VALLEY AND THE GREAT LAKES. EXPECTING SOME AREAS OF
PATCHY DENSE FOG IN SOME OF THE SHELTERED VALLEYS OF EASTERN AND
NORTHEAST VERMONT EARLY THIS MORNING...AS WELL AS THE SAINT
LAWRENCE VALLEY IN NORTHERN NEW YORK. ANY FOG THAT DOES DEVELOP
WILL BURN OFF BY 13Z FRIDAY. SURFACE WINDS WILL BE MAINLY LESS
THAN 10 KNOTS THROUGH THE PERIOD.

OUTLOOK 06Z SATURDAY THROUGH TUESDAY...
06Z SAT-18Z SAT...VFR. EARLY MORNING VLIFR/LIFR FOG LIKELY AT
KMPV/KSLK. CHANCE BR/FOG ELSEWHERE.

18Z SAT-00Z MON...MAINLY VFR. SLIGHT CHANCE -SHRA.

00Z MON - 00Z WED...VFR. VLIFR/LIFR FOG LIKELY AT KMPV/KSLK.
CHANCE BR/FOG ELSEWHERE.

&&

.BTV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
VT...NONE.
NY...NONE.

&&

$$
SYNOPSIS...RJS
NEAR TERM...EVENSON/KGM
SHORT TERM...RJS
LONG TERM...LAHIFF
AVIATION...WGH/LAHIFF



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