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Flood Watch
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000
WGUS61 KBUF 141445
FFABUF

FLOOD WATCH
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
1045 AM EDT SAT MAR 14 2015

...ICE JAM FLOODING THREAT CONTINUES THIS WEEKEND...

TEMPERATURES HOLDING ABOVE FREEZING ALONG WITH SOME RAIN TODAY
WILL WEAKEN THE ICE ON LOCAL CREEKS AND RIVERS. THE HIGHER
TEMPERATURES HAVE RIPENED THE SNOW PACK WITH SNOW MELT INCREASING
THE WATER FLOW ON AREA CREEKS AND RIVERS. THIS INCREASE IN WATER
FLOW...COMBINED WITH THE RAINFALL THIS WEEKEND MAY CAUSE ICE JAM
FLOODING ON LOCAL CREEKS AND RIVERS.

THERE IS PLENTY OF ICE IN PLACE ON AREA CREEKS AND RIVERS...AND
THE PRIMARY RISK FOR FLOODING WILL BE FROM ICE JAMS. THE WARM
WEATHER AND INCREASED FLOWS WILL BREAK THE RIVER ICE...WHICH CAN
THEN BECOME JAMMED WHERE THERE ARE CONSTRICTIONS IN THE RIVER OR
CREEK CHANNEL...SUCH AS SHARP CURVES OR OTHER OBSTRUCTIONS.

PEOPLE LIVING IN AREAS THAT ARE PRONE TO ICE JAM FLOODING SHOULD
TAKE THE TIME IN ADVANCE TO PREPARE FOR THE POTENTIAL FOR
FLOODING THIS WEEKEND.

NYZ001>004-010>014-019>021-085-142245-
/O.CON.KBUF.FA.A.0001.000000T0000Z-150315T1200Z/
/00000.0.IJ.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
NIAGARA-ORLEANS-MONROE-WAYNE-NORTHERN ERIE-GENESEE-WYOMING-
LIVINGSTON-ONTARIO-CHAUTAUQUA-CATTARAUGUS-ALLEGANY-SOUTHERN ERIE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...NIAGARA FALLS...MEDINA...ROCHESTER...
NEWARK...BUFFALO...BATAVIA...WARSAW...GENESEO...CANANDAIGUA...
JAMESTOWN...OLEAN...WELLSVILLE...ORCHARD PARK...SPRINGVILLE
1045 AM EDT SAT MAR 14 2015

...FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH SUNDAY MORNING...

THE FLOOD WATCH CONTINUES FOR

* A PORTION OF WESTERN NEW YORK...INCLUDING THE FOLLOWING 
  COUNTIES...ALLEGANY...CATTARAUGUS...CHAUTAUQUA...GENESEE... 
  LIVINGSTON...MONROE...NIAGARA...NORTHERN ERIE...ONTARIO... 
  ORLEANS...SOUTHERN ERIE...WAYNE AND WYOMING. 

* THROUGH SUNDAY MORNING.

* SNOW MELT FROM ABOVE FREEZING TEMPERATURES ALONG WITH SOME 
  RAINFALL WILL PRESENT THE RISK OF ICE JAM FLOODING. RAINFALL 
  THROUGH THIS EVENING IS EXPECTED TO RANGE FROM A TENTH OR SO 
  ACROSS MOST OF WESTERN NEW YORK TO A QUARTER INCH NEAR THE NEW 
  YORK AND PENNSYLVANIA STATE LINE. 

* SNOW MELT WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THE WEEKEND...INCREASING 
  STREAM AND RIVER FLOW...WHICH WILL THEN INCREASE THE POTENTIAL 
  FOR FLOODING FROM ICE JAMS. BUFFALO...CAYUGA...CAZENOVIA AND 
  CATTARAUGUS CREEKS ARE TRADITIONALLY THE MOST SUSCEPTIBLE TO 
  ICE JAM FLOODING. IN ADDITION ICE JAMS CAN ALSO OCCUR ON THE 
  UPPER ALLEGANY...UPPER GENESEE AND THE HEADWATERS OF THE 
  TONAWANDA AND OATKA CREEKS. OTHER CREEKS CAN ALSO OCCASIONALLY 
  EXPERIENCE ICE JAM FLOODING THROUGH WESTERN NEW YORK. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A FLOOD WATCH MEANS THERE IS A POTENTIAL FOR FLOODING BASED ON
CURRENT FORECASTS. YOU SHOULD MONITOR LATER FORECASTS AND BE
ALERT FOR POSSIBLE FLOOD WARNINGS. THOSE LIVING IN AREAS PRONE TO
FLOODING SHOULD BE PREPARED TO TAKE ACTION SHOULD FLOODING
DEVELOP. STAY TUNED TO WEATHER RADIO OR OTHER RADIO AND TV
STATIONS FOR FURTHER DETAILS OR UPDATES

&&

$$







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