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Fire Weather Forecast
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000

FNUS51 KBUF 241147 AAA

FWFBUF



FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR WESTERN NEW YORK...UPDATED

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY

747 AM EDT THU APR 24 2014



.DISCUSSION...



HIGH PRESSURE WILL CENTER OVERHEAD TODAY WITH SUNNY SKIES AND 

LOWERING DEWPOINTS. RELATIVE HUMIDITIES WILL DROP INTO THE 

20-25 PERCENT RANGE THIS AFTERNOON. WINDS WILL GUST 15 TO

25 MPH ACROSS THE FINGER LAKES AND EASTERN LAKE ONTARIO

COUNTIES. WHILE RH WILL MEET RED FLAG CRITERIA...WINDS ARE 

CLOSE TO...BUT JUST SHY OF MEETING CRITERIA. WITH A QUARTER

TO A HALF INCH OF RAIN HAVING FALLEN WITHIN THE PAST 

48-HOURS...FUELS SHOULD BE FAIRLY MOIST. WFAS GRAPHICS 

INDICATE FINE FUEL MOISTURES ARE RUNNING LESS THAN 10 PERCENT

BUT 1000 HOUR FUELS ARE OVER 20 PERCENT. BASED ON THESE DETAILS

WE ARE NOT EXPECTED TO FULLY MEET ALL RED FLAG CRITERIA TODAY.



THE RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE WILL SHIFT EAST TO NEW ENGLAND TONIGHT

AND FRIDAY AS AN AREA OF LOW PRESSURE SHIFTS FROM THE MIDWEST

TOWARD NEW YORK. TEMPERATURES AHEAD OF THIS SYSTEM WILL RISE 

ABOVE NORMAL WITH RAIN SHOWERS ARRIVING ON FRIDAY.



NYZ001-002-010-011-242130-

NIAGARA-ORLEANS-NORTHERN ERIE-GENESEE-

747 AM EDT THU APR 24 2014



                                TODAY      TONIGHT          FRI

CLOUD COVER                    MCLEAR        PCLDY        MCLDY

PRECIP CHC (%)                      0            0           70

PRECIP TYPE                      NONE         NONE      SHOWERS

MAX/MIN TEMP                       53           33           64

AM WIND (MPH)                   NW  8                      E 12

PM WIND (MPH)                   NW  9      LGT/VAR        SE 13

PRECIP AMOUNT                    0.00         0.00         0.13

PRECIP DURATION                                               2

PRECIP BEGIN                                               1 PM

PRECIP END                                           CONTINUING

MIN/MAX HUMIDITY (%)               24           63           33

HAINES INDEX                        5            5            3

LAL                                 1            1            1

MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)              6050            0         4450

TRANSPORT WIND (KT)             NW 13         W  4        SE 18

VENT RATE (KT-FT)               78650            0        80100

DISPERSION INDEX                   79            0           80

REMARKS...NONE.



$$



NYZ012-019>021-085-242130-

WYOMING-CHAUTAUQUA-CATTARAUGUS-ALLEGANY-SOUTHERN ERIE-

747 AM EDT THU APR 24 2014



                                TODAY      TONIGHT          FRI

CLOUD COVER                    MCLEAR        PCLDY        MCLDY

PRECIP CHC (%)                      0            0           70

PRECIP TYPE                      NONE         NONE      SHOWERS

MAX/MIN TEMP                       52           32           63

AM WIND (MPH)                   NW  7                     SE 13

PM WIND (MPH)                   NW 10      LGT/VAR         S 17

PRECIP AMOUNT                    0.00         0.00         0.15

PRECIP DURATION                                               3

PRECIP BEGIN                                              12 PM

PRECIP END                                           CONTINUING

MIN/MAX HUMIDITY (%)               22           57           34

HAINES INDEX                        5            5            3

LAL                                 1            1            1

MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)              5870            0         3380

TRANSPORT WIND (KT)              N 13        NE  5         S 23

VENT RATE (KT-FT)               76310            0        77740

DISPERSION INDEX                   76            0           78

REMARKS...NONE.



$$



NYZ003>005-013-014-242130-

MONROE-WAYNE-NORTHERN CAYUGA-LIVINGSTON-ONTARIO-

747 AM EDT THU APR 24 2014



                                TODAY      TONIGHT          FRI

CLOUD COVER                    MCLEAR        PCLDY        MCLDY

PRECIP CHC (%)                      0            0           70

PRECIP TYPE                      NONE         NONE      SHOWERS

MAX/MIN TEMP                       52           31           65

AM WIND (MPH)                   NW 10                     SE 10

PM WIND (MPH)                   NW 14         W  5        SE 15

PRECIP AMOUNT                    0.00         0.00         0.05

PRECIP DURATION                                               1

PRECIP BEGIN                                               4 PM

PRECIP END                                           CONTINUING

MIN/MAX HUMIDITY (%)               23           67           32

HAINES INDEX                        5            5            3

LAL                                 1            1            1

MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)              6280            0         4900

TRANSPORT WIND (KT)             NW 19         W  5        SE 21

VENT RATE (KT-FT)              119320            0       102900

DISPERSION INDEX                  119            0          103

REMARKS...NONE.



$$



NYZ006>008-242130-

OSWEGO-JEFFERSON-LEWIS-

747 AM EDT THU APR 24 2014



                                TODAY      TONIGHT          FRI

CLOUD COVER                     CLEAR       MCLEAR        MCLDY

PRECIP CHC (%)                      0            0            0

PRECIP TYPE                      NONE         NONE         NONE

MAX/MIN TEMP                       51           27           62

AM WIND (MPH)                   NW 14                      E  5

PM WIND (MPH)                   NW 17        NW  7        SE  9

PRECIP AMOUNT                    0.00         0.00         0.00

PRECIP DURATION                                                

PRECIP BEGIN                                                   

PRECIP END                                                     

MIN/MAX HUMIDITY (%)               20           66           24

HAINES INDEX                        5            5            5

LAL                                 1            1            1

MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)              7320            0         5890

TRANSPORT WIND (KT)             NW 21        NW  7        SE 13

VENT RATE (KT-FT)              153720            0        76570

DISPERSION INDEX                  154            0           77

REMARKS...NONE.



$$



.EXTENDED FORECAST...



.FRIDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY WITH RAIN SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE

UPPER 30S. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS. HIGHS IN

THE UPPER 40S. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS AROUND 50. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S. 

.WEDNESDAY...CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S. 



WIND FRIDAY NIGHT...EAST AROUND 15 MPH. 

WIND SATURDAY...WEST AROUND 20 MPH. 

WIND SUNDAY...NORTH AROUND 10 MPH. 

WIND MONDAY...NORTH AROUND 5 MPH. 



.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...

TEMPERATURES BELOW NORMAL.  PRECIPITATION ABOVE NORMAL.



$$



SMITH










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