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Fire Weather Forecast
Latest Versions  [Current]




000

FNUS51 KBUF 230844

FWFBUF



FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR WESTERN NEW YORK

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY

444 AM EDT THU MAY 23 2013



.DISCUSSION...



LOW PRESSURE TRACKING NORTH OF LAKE ONTARIO WILL DRAG A COLD FRONT 

ACROSS OUR REGION THIS AFTERNOON. SHOWERS WILL LINGER BEHIND THE 

FRONT TONIGHT...THEN DIMINISH FROM WEST TO EAST ON FRIDAY AS DRIER 

AIR WORKS EAST ACROSS THE AREA. MUCH COOLER AIR WILL ALSO FOLLOW THE 

FRONT TONIGHT AND FRIDAY.



NYZ001-002-010>012-085-232115-

NIAGARA-ORLEANS-NORTHERN ERIE-GENESEE-WYOMING-SOUTHERN ERIE-

444 AM EDT THU MAY 23 2013



                                TODAY      TONIGHT          FRI

CLOUD COVER                     MCLDY       CLOUDY        MCLDY

PRECIP CHC (%)                     80           80           70

PRECIP TYPE                   SHOWERS      SHOWERS      SHOWERS

MAX/MIN TEMP                       68           40           57

AM WIND (MPH)                   SW 13                      N 15

PM WIND (MPH)                   SW 15        NW 14        NW 15

PRECIP AMOUNT                    0.14         0.24         0.05

PRECIP DURATION                     5           12            3

PRECIP BEGIN                     6 AM   CONTINUING   CONTINUING

PRECIP END                 CONTINUING   CONTINUING        11 AM

MIN/MAX HUMIDITY (%)               67           93           37

HAINES INDEX                        3            2            3

LAL                                 3            1            1

MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)              4830          250         6230

TRANSPORT WIND (KT)              W 21         W 17         N 19

VENT RATE (KT-FT)              101430         4250       118370

DISPERSION INDEX                  101            4          118

REMARKS...NONE.



$$



NYZ019>021-232115-

CHAUTAUQUA-CATTARAUGUS-ALLEGANY-

444 AM EDT THU MAY 23 2013



                                TODAY      TONIGHT          FRI

CLOUD COVER                     MCLDY       CLOUDY        MCLDY

PRECIP CHC (%)                     80           80           80

PRECIP TYPE                   SHOWERS      SHOWERS      SHOWERS

MAX/MIN TEMP                       68           39           53

AM WIND (MPH)                   SW 12                      N 14

PM WIND (MPH)                   SW 11        NW 10         N 15

PRECIP AMOUNT                    0.25         0.27         0.09

PRECIP DURATION                     6           12            5

PRECIP BEGIN                     6 AM   CONTINUING   CONTINUING

PRECIP END                 CONTINUING   CONTINUING        12 PM

MIN/MAX HUMIDITY (%)               66           96           41

HAINES INDEX                        3            2            3

LAL                                 3            1            1

MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)              5300          670         5230

TRANSPORT WIND (KT)             SW 17         W 14         N 20

VENT RATE (KT-FT)               90100         9380       104600

DISPERSION INDEX                   90            9          105

REMARKS...NONE.



$$



NYZ003>005-013-014-232115-

MONROE-WAYNE-NORTHERN CAYUGA-LIVINGSTON-ONTARIO-

444 AM EDT THU MAY 23 2013



                                TODAY      TONIGHT          FRI

CLOUD COVER                     MCLDY       CLOUDY        MCLDY

PRECIP CHC (%)                     80           80           80

PRECIP TYPE                   SHOWERS      SHOWERS      SHOWERS

MAX/MIN TEMP                       71           42           55

AM WIND (MPH)                   SW  9                      N 16

PM WIND (MPH)                    W 12        NW 11        NW 14

PRECIP AMOUNT                    0.26         0.25         0.11

PRECIP DURATION                     5           12            7

PRECIP BEGIN                     6 AM   CONTINUING   CONTINUING

PRECIP END                 CONTINUING   CONTINUING         4 PM

MIN/MAX HUMIDITY (%)               60           91           42

HAINES INDEX                        3            2            3

LAL                                 4            1            1

MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)              4750          160         6230

TRANSPORT WIND (KT)              W 16         W 14         N 20

VENT RATE (KT-FT)               76000         2240       124600

DISPERSION INDEX                   76            2          125

REMARKS...NONE.



$$



NYZ006>008-232115-

OSWEGO-JEFFERSON-LEWIS-

444 AM EDT THU MAY 23 2013



                                TODAY      TONIGHT          FRI

CLOUD COVER                     MCLDY       CLOUDY       CLOUDY

PRECIP CHC (%)                     80           80           80

PRECIP TYPE                     TSTMS      SHOWERS      SHOWERS

MAX/MIN TEMP                       69           42           57

AM WIND (MPH)                   SW 10                      N 14

PM WIND (MPH)                   SW 11        NW  9         N 13

PRECIP AMOUNT                    0.43         0.23         0.12

PRECIP DURATION                     7           12            6

PRECIP BEGIN                     6 AM   CONTINUING   CONTINUING

PRECIP END                 CONTINUING   CONTINUING         6 PM

MIN/MAX HUMIDITY (%)               71           92           45

HAINES INDEX                        3            2            3

LAL                                 4            1            1

MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)              4280           90         6500

TRANSPORT WIND (KT)             SW 16         W 14         N 19

VENT RATE (KT-FT)               68480         1260       123500

DISPERSION INDEX                   68            1          124

REMARKS...NONE.



$$



.EXTENDED FORECAST...



.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER

40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID

60S. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS AROUND 70. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE

MID 70S. 



WIND FRIDAY NIGHT...NORTH AROUND 10 MPH. 

WIND SATURDAY...NORTH AROUND 15 MPH. 

WIND SUNDAY...NORTHWEST 10 TO 15 MPH. 

WIND MONDAY...NORTHWEST 5 TO 10 MPH. 



.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...

TEMPERATURES ABOVE NORMAL.  PRECIPITATION NEAR NORMAL.



$$














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