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Fire Weather Forecast
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000

FNUS51 KBUF 300844

FWFBUF



FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR WESTERN NEW YORK

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY

444 AM EDT SAT AUG 30 2014



.DISCUSSION...



HIGH PRESSURE WILL DRIFT OFF THE NEW ENGLAND COAST TODAY AND PROVIDE 

ANOTHER MAINLY DRY DAY WITH JUST A SMALL CHANCE OF A SPOTTY SHOWER 

LATE THIS AFTERNOON ACROSS WESTERN NY. A TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE WILL 

THEN CROSS THE REGION TONIGHT THROUGH THE FIRST HALF OF SUNDAY WITH 

A BETTER CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS. MONDAY WILL 

BE DRY THE VAST MAJORITY OF THE TIME...ALTHOUGH A FEW WIDELY 

SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE WITH A WARM AND 

HUMID AIRMASS STILL IN PLACE.



NYZ001-002-010-011-302115-

NIAGARA-ORLEANS-NORTHERN ERIE-GENESEE-

444 AM EDT SAT AUG 30 2014



                                TODAY      TONIGHT          SUN

CLOUD COVER                     PCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY

PRECIP CHC (%)                      0           70           70

PRECIP TYPE                      NONE        TSTMS        TSTMS

MAX/MIN TEMP                       88           70           80

AM WIND (MPH)                    S 10                     SW 15

PM WIND (MPH)                    S 13         S 11        SW 17

PRECIP AMOUNT                    0.00         0.21         0.16

PRECIP DURATION                                  5            4

PRECIP BEGIN                                 10 PM   CONTINUING

PRECIP END                              CONTINUING         2 PM

MIN/MAX HUMIDITY (%)               47           92           67

HAINES INDEX                        4            3            3

LAL                                 3            4            4

MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)              5370           70         3480

TRANSPORT WIND (KT)             SW 19         S 19        SW 25

VENT RATE (KT-FT)              102030         1330        87000

DISPERSION INDEX                  102            1           87

REMARKS...NONE.



$$



NYZ012-019>021-085-302115-

WYOMING-CHAUTAUQUA-CATTARAUGUS-ALLEGANY-SOUTHERN ERIE-

444 AM EDT SAT AUG 30 2014



                                TODAY      TONIGHT          SUN

CLOUD COVER                     PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY

PRECIP CHC (%)                     30           70           70

PRECIP TYPE                     TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS

MAX/MIN TEMP                       85           65           78

AM WIND (MPH)                    S 12                     SW 11

PM WIND (MPH)                    S 13         S 12         W 13

PRECIP AMOUNT                    0.03         0.17         0.33

PRECIP DURATION                     1            5            5

PRECIP BEGIN                     4 PM   CONTINUING   CONTINUING

PRECIP END                 CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING

MIN/MAX HUMIDITY (%)               53           98           67

HAINES INDEX                        3            3            3

LAL                                 4            4            4

MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)              5640           70         4620

TRANSPORT WIND (KT)             SW 17         S 21         W 18

VENT RATE (KT-FT)               95880         1470        83160

DISPERSION INDEX                   96            1           83

REMARKS...NONE.



$$



NYZ003>005-013-014-302115-

MONROE-WAYNE-NORTHERN CAYUGA-LIVINGSTON-ONTARIO-

444 AM EDT SAT AUG 30 2014



                                TODAY      TONIGHT          SUN

CLOUD COVER                     PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY

PRECIP CHC (%)                      0           70           70

PRECIP TYPE                      NONE        TSTMS        TSTMS

MAX/MIN TEMP                       86           67           80

AM WIND (MPH)                    S 12                     SW 11

PM WIND (MPH)                    S 13         S 13        SW 14

PRECIP AMOUNT                    0.00         0.16         0.23

PRECIP DURATION                                  3            5

PRECIP BEGIN                                  1 AM   CONTINUING

PRECIP END                              CONTINUING   CONTINUING

MIN/MAX HUMIDITY (%)               49           97           63

HAINES INDEX                        4            3            3

LAL                                 4            4            4

MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)              6210           70         4130

TRANSPORT WIND (KT)              S 18         S 21        SW 21

VENT RATE (KT-FT)              111780         1470        86730

DISPERSION INDEX                  112            1           87

REMARKS...NONE.



$$



NYZ006>008-302115-

OSWEGO-JEFFERSON-LEWIS-

444 AM EDT SAT AUG 30 2014



                                TODAY      TONIGHT          SUN

CLOUD COVER                     PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY

PRECIP CHC (%)                      0           70           70

PRECIP TYPE                      NONE        TSTMS        TSTMS

MAX/MIN TEMP                       82           63           78

AM WIND (MPH)                    S 11                      S 11

PM WIND (MPH)                    S 14         S 13        SW 12

PRECIP AMOUNT                    0.00         0.13         0.24

PRECIP DURATION                                  3            8

PRECIP BEGIN                                 11 PM   CONTINUING

PRECIP END                              CONTINUING   CONTINUING

MIN/MAX HUMIDITY (%)               49          100           69

HAINES INDEX                        4            2            3

LAL                                 1            4            4

MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)              3750           70         4120

TRANSPORT WIND (KT)              S 20         S 21        SW 20

VENT RATE (KT-FT)               75000         1470        82400

DISPERSION INDEX                   75            1           82

REMARKS...NONE.



$$



.EXTENDED FORECAST...



.SUNDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH SHOWERS LIKELY AND A CHANCE OF

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE

LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S. 



WIND SUNDAY NIGHT...SOUTHWEST AROUND 5 MPH. 

WIND MONDAY...WEST AROUND 5 MPH. 

WIND TUESDAY...SOUTHWEST 5 TO 10 MPH. 

WIND WEDNESDAY...WEST AROUND 5 MPH. 



.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...

TEMPERATURES NEAR NORMAL.  PRECIPITATION ABOVE NORMAL.



$$














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