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Fire Weather Forecast
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000

FNUS51 KBUF 180852

FWFBUF



FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR WESTERN NEW YORK

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY

452 AM EDT THU SEP 18 2014



.DISCUSSION...



A RELATIVELY WEAK COLD FRONT WILL SETTLE SOUTH ACROSS OUR FORECAST 

AREA THIS MORNING...AND THIS WILL BE FOLLOWED BY STRONG CANADIAN 

HIGH PRESSURE THAT WILL BUILD ACROSS THE LOWER GREAT LAKES IN ITS 

WAKE. THIS WILL SUPPORT A COOL BUT OTHERWISE PLEASANT DAY ON 

FRIDAY...THEN AS THE HIGH MOVES OFF THE COAST...ITS CLOCKWISE 

CIRCULATION WILL PUMP NOTICEABLY WARMER AIR ACROSS OUR REGION FOR 

SATURDAY. A FRONTAL SYSTEM WILL LIKELY GENERATE SOME SHOWERS FOR THE 

SECOND HALF OF THE WEEKEND.



NYZ001-002-010-011-182115-

NIAGARA-ORLEANS-NORTHERN ERIE-GENESEE-

452 AM EDT THU SEP 18 2014



                                TODAY      TONIGHT          FRI

CLOUD COVER                     MCLDY       MCLEAR        CLEAR

PRECIP CHC (%)                      0            0            0

PRECIP TYPE                      NONE         NONE         NONE

MAX/MIN TEMP                       60           37           67

AM WIND (MPH)                   NW  6                     SE  5

PM WIND (MPH)                   NE 10      LGT/VAR         E  6

PRECIP AMOUNT                    0.00         0.00         0.00

PRECIP DURATION                                                

PRECIP BEGIN                                                   

PRECIP END                                                     

MIN/MAX HUMIDITY (%)               56           90           42

HAINES INDEX                        3            4            4

LAL                                 1            1            1

MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)              3630           70         3890

TRANSPORT WIND (KT)             NE 11        NE  9        SE  8

VENT RATE (KT-FT)               39930          630        31120

DISPERSION INDEX                   40            1           31

REMARKS...NONE.



$$



NYZ012-019>021-085-182115-

WYOMING-CHAUTAUQUA-CATTARAUGUS-ALLEGANY-SOUTHERN ERIE-

452 AM EDT THU SEP 18 2014



                                TODAY      TONIGHT          FRI

CLOUD COVER                     PCLDY       MCLEAR       MCLEAR

PRECIP CHC (%)                      0            0            0

PRECIP TYPE                      NONE         NONE         NONE

MAX/MIN TEMP                       62           34           66

AM WIND (MPH)                 LGT/VAR                     SE  5

PM WIND (MPH)                    N  9        NE  5      LGT/VAR

PRECIP AMOUNT                    0.00         0.00         0.00

PRECIP DURATION                                                

PRECIP BEGIN                                                   

PRECIP END                                                     

MIN/MAX HUMIDITY (%)               67          100           44

HAINES INDEX                        3            3            4

LAL                                 1            1            1

MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)              4870           70         5170

TRANSPORT WIND (KT)              N  9         N 13         S 11

VENT RATE (KT-FT)               43830          910        56870

DISPERSION INDEX                   44            1           57

REMARKS...NONE.



$$



NYZ003>005-013-014-182115-

MONROE-WAYNE-NORTHERN CAYUGA-LIVINGSTON-ONTARIO-

452 AM EDT THU SEP 18 2014



                                TODAY      TONIGHT          FRI

CLOUD COVER                     MCLDY       MCLEAR        CLEAR

PRECIP CHC (%)                      0            0            0

PRECIP TYPE                      NONE         NONE         NONE

MAX/MIN TEMP                       61           36           67

AM WIND (MPH)                   NW  6                   LGT/VAR

PM WIND (MPH)                    N 11         N  5        SE  5

PRECIP AMOUNT                    0.00         0.00         0.00

PRECIP DURATION                                                

PRECIP BEGIN                                                   

PRECIP END                                                     

MIN/MAX HUMIDITY (%)               57           98           42

HAINES INDEX                        3            4            4

LAL                                 1            1            1

MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)              3560           70         5380

TRANSPORT WIND (KT)              N 12         N 11         S 11

VENT RATE (KT-FT)               42720          770        59180

DISPERSION INDEX                   43            1           59

REMARKS...NONE.



$$



NYZ006>008-182115-

OSWEGO-JEFFERSON-LEWIS-

452 AM EDT THU SEP 18 2014



                                TODAY      TONIGHT          FRI

CLOUD COVER                     PCLDY       MCLEAR        CLEAR

PRECIP CHC (%)                     30            0            0

PRECIP TYPE                 SPRINKLES         NONE         NONE

MAX/MIN TEMP                       59           30           64

AM WIND (MPH)                    N  7                   LGT/VAR

PM WIND (MPH)                    N  8      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR

PRECIP AMOUNT                    0.00         0.00         0.00

PRECIP DURATION                     1                          

PRECIP BEGIN                     6 AM                          

PRECIP END                       1 PM                          

MIN/MAX HUMIDITY (%)               50           94           38

HAINES INDEX                        3            5            5

LAL                                 1            1            1

MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)              4910           70         4320

TRANSPORT WIND (KT)              N 11         N 12         S  9

VENT RATE (KT-FT)               54010          840        38880

DISPERSION INDEX                   54            1           39

REMARKS...NONE.



$$



.EXTENDED FORECAST...



.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE LOWER

60S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. COOLER. LOWS IN THE

LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER

50S. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE

LOWER 60S. 



WIND FRIDAY NIGHT...SOUTHEAST AROUND 10 MPH. 

WIND SATURDAY...SOUTH AROUND 15 MPH. 

WIND SUNDAY...SOUTH AROUND 15 MPH. 

WIND MONDAY...NORTHWEST 5 TO 10 MPH. 



.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...

TEMPERATURES ABOVE NORMAL.  PRECIPITATION NEAR NORMAL.



$$



RSH










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