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Fire Weather Forecast
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000

FNUS51 KBUF 250832

FWFBUF



FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR WESTERN NEW YORK

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY

432 AM EDT SAT OCT 25 2014



.DISCUSSION...

A COLD FRONT OVER LOWER MICHIGAN WILL SWEEP ACROSS OUR FORECAST AREA 

THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING...AND THIS WILL LEAD TO SOME GUSTY WINDS 

ALONG WITH THE POTENTIAL FOR SOME SHOWERS. COOLER AIR IN THE WAKE OF 

THE FRONT WILL THEN SET THE STAGE FOR SOME NUISANCE LAKE EFFECT RAIN 

SHOWERS EAST OF LAKE ONTARIO TONIGHT AND SUNDAY...WHILE THE 

REMAINDER OF WESTERN NEW YORK WILL BE COOLER WITH BRISK WINDS. A 

SIGNIFICANT WARMING TREND CAN BE EXPECTED EARLY NEXT WEEK.



NYZ001-002-010-011-252115-

NIAGARA-ORLEANS-NORTHERN ERIE-GENESEE-

432 AM EDT SAT OCT 25 2014



                                TODAY      TONIGHT          SUN

CLOUD COVER                     MCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY

PRECIP CHC (%)                     40           30            0

PRECIP TYPE                   SHOWERS      SHOWERS         NONE

MAX/MIN TEMP                       66           41           54

AM WIND (MPH)                   SW 11                      W 17

PM WIND (MPH)                   SW 21         W 15         W 19

PRECIP AMOUNT                    0.02         0.01         0.00

PRECIP DURATION                     1            0             

PRECIP BEGIN                     3 PM   CONTINUING             

PRECIP END                 CONTINUING         7 PM             

MIN/MAX HUMIDITY (%)               57           89           54

HAINES INDEX                        3            4            3

LAL                                 1            1            1

MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)              4830          240         5710

TRANSPORT WIND (KT)              W 29         W 18        NW 31

VENT RATE (KT-FT)              140070         4320       177010

DISPERSION INDEX                  140            4          177

REMARKS...NONE.



$$



NYZ012-019>021-085-252115-

WYOMING-CHAUTAUQUA-CATTARAUGUS-ALLEGANY-SOUTHERN ERIE-

432 AM EDT SAT OCT 25 2014



                                TODAY      TONIGHT          SUN

CLOUD COVER                     PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY

PRECIP CHC (%)                     40           30            0

PRECIP TYPE                   SHOWERS      SHOWERS         NONE

MAX/MIN TEMP                       64           39           53

AM WIND (MPH)                   SW  9                      W 18

PM WIND (MPH)                   SW 18         W 16         W 18

PRECIP AMOUNT                    0.02         0.01         0.00

PRECIP DURATION                     1            1             

PRECIP BEGIN                     4 PM   CONTINUING             

PRECIP END                 CONTINUING        11 PM             

MIN/MAX HUMIDITY (%)               55           96           54

HAINES INDEX                        3            3            3

LAL                                 1            1            1

MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)              4530          710         5250

TRANSPORT WIND (KT)              W 31         W 25        NW 32

VENT RATE (KT-FT)              140430        17750       168000

DISPERSION INDEX                  140           18          168

REMARKS...NONE.



$$



NYZ003>005-013-014-252115-

MONROE-WAYNE-NORTHERN CAYUGA-LIVINGSTON-ONTARIO-

432 AM EDT SAT OCT 25 2014



                                TODAY      TONIGHT          SUN

CLOUD COVER                     PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY

PRECIP CHC (%)                     40           40            0

PRECIP TYPE                   SHOWERS      SHOWERS         NONE

MAX/MIN TEMP                       68           43           55

AM WIND (MPH)                   SW  8                      W 19

PM WIND (MPH)                   SW 16         W 16         W 20

PRECIP AMOUNT                    0.03         0.02         0.00

PRECIP DURATION                     1            1             

PRECIP BEGIN                     4 PM   CONTINUING             

PRECIP END                 CONTINUING         5 AM             

MIN/MAX HUMIDITY (%)               49           87           54

HAINES INDEX                        3            3            3

LAL                                 1            1            1

MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)              5060          700         6110

TRANSPORT WIND (KT)              W 29         W 23         W 38

VENT RATE (KT-FT)              146740        16100       232180

DISPERSION INDEX                  147           16          232

REMARKS...NONE.



$$



NYZ006>008-252115-

OSWEGO-JEFFERSON-LEWIS-

432 AM EDT SAT OCT 25 2014



                                TODAY      TONIGHT          SUN

CLOUD COVER                     PCLDY        MCLDY       CLOUDY

PRECIP CHC (%)                     60           70           80

PRECIP TYPE                   SHOWERS      SHOWERS      SHOWERS

MAX/MIN TEMP                       62           39           52

AM WIND (MPH)                   SW  5                      W 13

PM WIND (MPH)                   SW 11         W 14         W 13

PRECIP AMOUNT                    0.11         0.17         0.13

PRECIP DURATION                     1            4            8

PRECIP BEGIN                     3 PM   CONTINUING   CONTINUING

PRECIP END                 CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING

MIN/MAX HUMIDITY (%)               57          100           60

HAINES INDEX                        3            3            3

LAL                                 4            4            1

MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)              5130         1410         5430

TRANSPORT WIND (KT)             SW 21        SW 23         W 30

VENT RATE (KT-FT)              107730        32430       162900

DISPERSION INDEX                  108           32          163

REMARKS...NONE.



$$



.EXTENDED FORECAST...



.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 40. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. WARMER. LOWS

AROUND 50. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. COOLER. LOWS

AROUND 50. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE

LOWER 50S. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND

40. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S. 



WIND SUNDAY NIGHT...NORTHWEST AROUND 15 MPH. 

WIND MONDAY...WEST AROUND 5 MPH. 

WIND TUESDAY...SOUTH AROUND 10 MPH. 

WIND WEDNESDAY...SOUTHWEST 10 TO 15 MPH. 



.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...

TEMPERATURES NEAR NORMAL.  PRECIPITATION NEAR NORMAL.



$$



RSH










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