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Fire Weather Forecast
Latest Versions  [Current]




000

FNUS51 KBUF 031006

FWFBUF



FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR WESTERN NEW YORK

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY

506 AM EST TUE MAR 3 2015



.DISCUSSION...



TEMPERATURES WILL RISE INTO THE 30S TODAY AND TONIGHT AS A WARM 

FRONT PUSHES NORTH ACROSS THE LOWER GREAT LAKES. A WINTRY MIX WILL 

ACCOMPANY THE FRONT BRINGING SNOW...SLEET...FREEZING RAIN THIS 

AFTERNOON CHANGING OVER TO RAIN TONIGHT. COLDER TEMPERATURES WILL 

RETURN WEDNESDAY AS A COLD FRONT ACROSS THERE AREA WITH TEMPERATURES 

RUNNING UP TO 20 DEGREES BELOW NORMAL THURSDAY INTO FRIDAY HELPING 

TO DRIVE LAKE EFFECT SHOWERS EAST/SOUTHEAST OF LAKE ONTARIO. 

TEMPERATURES WILL ONCE AGAIN CLIMB TO WITHIN A FEW DEGREES OF NORMAL 

BY THE COMING WEEKEND.



NYZ001-002-010-011-032115-

NIAGARA-ORLEANS-NORTHERN ERIE-GENESEE-

506 AM EST TUE MAR 3 2015



                                TODAY      TONIGHT          WED

CLOUD COVER                     MCLDY       CLOUDY        MCLDY

PRECIP CHC (%)                     90          100           30

PRECIP TYPE                SNOW/FZ RA     FRZ RAIN         SNOW

MAX/MIN TEMP                       33           31           35

AM WIND (MPH)                   SE  5                      W 18

PM WIND (MPH)                   SE 10         S 16         W 15

PRECIP AMOUNT                    0.12         0.12         0.03

PRECIP DURATION                     3            9            2

PRECIP BEGIN                    12 PM   CONTINUING   CONTINUING

PRECIP END                 CONTINUING   CONTINUING         3 PM

MIN/MAX HUMIDITY (%)               60           85           71

HAINES INDEX                        3            3            3

LAL                                 1            1            1

MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)              2240          590         4340

TRANSPORT WIND (KT)              S 12        SW 22         W 22

VENT RATE (KT-FT)               26880        12980        95480

DISPERSION INDEX                   27           13           95

REMARKS...NONE.



$$



NYZ012-019>021-085-032115-

WYOMING-CHAUTAUQUA-CATTARAUGUS-ALLEGANY-SOUTHERN ERIE-

506 AM EST TUE MAR 3 2015



                                TODAY      TONIGHT          WED

CLOUD COVER                     MCLDY       CLOUDY        MCLDY

PRECIP CHC (%)                    100          100           40

PRECIP TYPE                SNOW/FZ RA     FRZ RAIN         SNOW

MAX/MIN TEMP                       34           28           34

AM WIND (MPH)                   SE  7                      W 15

PM WIND (MPH)                    S 14         S 19         W 14

PRECIP AMOUNT                    0.25         0.22         0.05

PRECIP DURATION                     5           11            2

PRECIP BEGIN                    12 PM   CONTINUING   CONTINUING

PRECIP END                 CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING

MIN/MAX HUMIDITY (%)               55           90           69

HAINES INDEX                        3            3            3

LAL                                 1            1            1

MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)              1690          350         4070

TRANSPORT WIND (KT)              S 16        SW 22         W 20

VENT RATE (KT-FT)               27040         7700        81400

DISPERSION INDEX                   27            8           81

REMARKS...NONE.



$$



NYZ003>005-013-014-032115-

MONROE-WAYNE-NORTHERN CAYUGA-LIVINGSTON-ONTARIO-

506 AM EST TUE MAR 3 2015



                                TODAY      TONIGHT          WED

CLOUD COVER                     MCLDY       CLOUDY        MCLDY

PRECIP CHC (%)                     90          100           30

PRECIP TYPE                SNOW/FZ RA     FRZ RAIN    SNOW/RAIN

MAX/MIN TEMP                       32           28           36

AM WIND (MPH)                    S  6                      W 15

PM WIND (MPH)                   SE 14         S 19         W 14

PRECIP AMOUNT                    0.12         0.11         0.04

PRECIP DURATION                     3            9            2

PRECIP BEGIN                     2 PM   CONTINUING         8 AM

PRECIP END                 CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING

MIN/MAX HUMIDITY (%)               57           84           66

HAINES INDEX                        3            3            3

LAL                                 1            1            1

MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)              2300          590         4330

TRANSPORT WIND (KT)              S 16        SW 21         W 22

VENT RATE (KT-FT)               36800        12390        95260

DISPERSION INDEX                   37           12           95

REMARKS...NONE.



$$



NYZ006>008-032115-

OSWEGO-JEFFERSON-LEWIS-

506 AM EST TUE MAR 3 2015



                                TODAY      TONIGHT          WED

CLOUD COVER                     PCLDY       CLOUDY        MCLDY

PRECIP CHC (%)                     70          100           50

PRECIP TYPE                      SNOW   SNOW/FZ RA         SNOW

MAX/MIN TEMP                       28           23           34

AM WIND (MPH)                   SE  5                      W 15

PM WIND (MPH)                   SE 11         S 17         W 15

PRECIP AMOUNT                    0.08         0.27         0.06

PRECIP DURATION                     2           11            2

PRECIP BEGIN                     2 PM   CONTINUING   CONTINUING

PRECIP END                 CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING

MIN/MAX HUMIDITY (%)               54           94           70

HAINES INDEX                        4            2            4

LAL                                 1            1            1

MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)              2780          700         4330

TRANSPORT WIND (KT)              S 16        SW 20         W 25

VENT RATE (KT-FT)               44480        14000       108250

DISPERSION INDEX                   44           14          108

REMARKS...NONE.



$$



.EXTENDED FORECAST...



.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS

AROUND 10. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. HIGHS

AROUND 16. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND 1.

HIGHS IN THE LOWER 20S. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. NOT AS

COLD. LOWS AROUND 14. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 30S. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND

18. HIGHS AROUND 30. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS

AROUND 18. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 30S. 



WIND WEDNESDAY NIGHT...WEST AROUND 10 MPH. 

WIND THURSDAY...WEST AROUND 10 MPH. 

WIND FRIDAY...SOUTHWEST AROUND 10 MPH. 

WIND SATURDAY...SOUTHWEST AROUND 15 MPH. 



.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...

TEMPERATURES NEAR NORMAL.  PRECIPITATION BELOW NORMAL.



$$














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