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Fire Weather Forecast
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000

FNUS51 KBUF 210946

FWFBUF



FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR WESTERN NEW YORK

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY

546 AM EDT TUE OCT 21 2014



.DISCUSSION...



LOW PRESSURE WILL SLOWLY CROSS WESTERN NEW YORK TODAY WHILE 

PRODUCING OCCASIONAL SHOWERS. THE LOW WILL THEN TRANSFER TO JUST OFF 

THE MID-ATLANTIC COAST BY WEDNESDAY AND SHIFT NORTH ALONG THE EAST 

COAST THROUGH THE WEEK WHILE CONTINUING PLENTY OF CLOUDS AND SHOWERS 

ACROSS THE NORTHEAST. TEMPERATURES WILL REMAIN ON THE COOL SIDE 

THROUGH MOST OF THE WEEK BEFORE WARMER AND DRIER WEATHER DEVELOPS 

FOR NEXT WEEKEND.



NYZ001-002-010-011-212130-

NIAGARA-ORLEANS-NORTHERN ERIE-GENESEE-

546 AM EDT TUE OCT 21 2014



                                TODAY      TONIGHT          WED

CLOUD COVER                    CLOUDY       CLOUDY        MCLDY

PRECIP CHC (%)                     90           80           60

PRECIP TYPE                   SHOWERS      SHOWERS      LT RAIN

MAX/MIN TEMP                       51           39           53

AM WIND (MPH)                   NW  7                      N 12

PM WIND (MPH)                    N 12         N 14         N 12

PRECIP AMOUNT                    0.25         0.10         0.04

PRECIP DURATION                     8            9            3

PRECIP BEGIN                     6 AM   CONTINUING   CONTINUING

PRECIP END                 CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING

MIN/MAX HUMIDITY (%)               75          100           65

HAINES INDEX                        3            2            2

LAL                                 1            1            1

MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)              3410         1410         3830

TRANSPORT WIND (KT)              N 10        NE 16         N 15

VENT RATE (KT-FT)               34100        22560        57450

DISPERSION INDEX                   34           23           57

REMARKS...NONE.



$$



NYZ012-019>021-085-212130-

WYOMING-CHAUTAUQUA-CATTARAUGUS-ALLEGANY-SOUTHERN ERIE-

546 AM EDT TUE OCT 21 2014



                                TODAY      TONIGHT          WED

CLOUD COVER                    CLOUDY       CLOUDY       CLOUDY

PRECIP CHC (%)                     90           90           70

PRECIP TYPE                   SHOWERS      SHOWERS      LT RAIN

MAX/MIN TEMP                       50           37           47

AM WIND (MPH)                    W  6                      N 11

PM WIND (MPH)                   NW  9         N 11         N 11

PRECIP AMOUNT                    0.24         0.09         0.06

PRECIP DURATION                     9           10            5

PRECIP BEGIN                     6 AM   CONTINUING   CONTINUING

PRECIP END                 CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING

MIN/MAX HUMIDITY (%)               78          100           76

HAINES INDEX                        3            2            2

LAL                                 1            1            1

MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)              4570         1110         2990

TRANSPORT WIND (KT)             NW  9         N 17         N 16

VENT RATE (KT-FT)               41130        18870        47840

DISPERSION INDEX                   41           19           48

REMARKS...NONE.



$$



NYZ003>005-013-014-212130-

MONROE-WAYNE-NORTHERN CAYUGA-LIVINGSTON-ONTARIO-

546 AM EDT TUE OCT 21 2014



                                TODAY      TONIGHT          WED

CLOUD COVER                    CLOUDY       CLOUDY       CLOUDY

PRECIP CHC (%)                     80           80           60

PRECIP TYPE                   SHOWERS      SHOWERS      LT RAIN

MAX/MIN TEMP                       53           41           51

AM WIND (MPH)                 LGT/VAR                      N 13

PM WIND (MPH)                    N  9         N 15         N 14

PRECIP AMOUNT                    0.31         0.12         0.07

PRECIP DURATION                     8            9            5

PRECIP BEGIN                     6 AM   CONTINUING   CONTINUING

PRECIP END                 CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING

MIN/MAX HUMIDITY (%)               79          100           72

HAINES INDEX                        3            2            2

LAL                                 1            1            1

MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)              4390          800         3860

TRANSPORT WIND (KT)              N  8        NE 18         N 20

VENT RATE (KT-FT)               35120        14400        77200

DISPERSION INDEX                   35           14           77

REMARKS...NONE.



$$



NYZ006>008-212130-

OSWEGO-JEFFERSON-LEWIS-

546 AM EDT TUE OCT 21 2014



                                TODAY      TONIGHT          WED

CLOUD COVER                    CLOUDY       CLOUDY       CLOUDY

PRECIP CHC (%)                     80           70           50

PRECIP TYPE                   SHOWERS      SHOWERS      SHOWERS

MAX/MIN TEMP                       54           36           51

AM WIND (MPH)                    E  5                     NE 10

PM WIND (MPH)                   NE  8        NE 10         N 12

PRECIP AMOUNT                    0.34         0.10         0.05

PRECIP DURATION                     9            6            2

PRECIP BEGIN                     6 AM   CONTINUING   CONTINUING

PRECIP END                 CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING

MIN/MAX HUMIDITY (%)               80          100           72

HAINES INDEX                        3            2            2

LAL                                 1            1            1

MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)              5750          660         3990

TRANSPORT WIND (KT)              E 10        NE 13        NE 17

VENT RATE (KT-FT)               57500         8580        67830

DISPERSION INDEX                   58            9           68

REMARKS...NONE.



$$



.EXTENDED FORECAST...



.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY WITH SHOWERS LIKELY AND AREAS OF

DRIZZLE. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. 

.THURSDAY...CLOUDY WITH SHOWERS LIKELY AND AREAS OF DRIZZLE.

HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S. 

.FRIDAY...CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND AREAS OF DRIZZLE.

LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID

50S. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID

40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE

LOWER 60S. 



WIND WEDNESDAY NIGHT...NORTH AROUND 15 MPH. 

WIND THURSDAY...NORTH AROUND 15 MPH. 

WIND FRIDAY...NORTHWEST AROUND 10 MPH. 

WIND SATURDAY...WEST AROUND 10 MPH. 



.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...

TEMPERATURES ABOVE NORMAL.  PRECIPITATION NEAR NORMAL.



$$



SMITH










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