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Area Forecast Discussion
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000
FXUS61 KILN 191056
AFDILN

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON OH
656 AM EDT SAT APR 19 2014

.SYNOPSIS...
HIGH PRESSURE WILL EXTEND ACROSS THE REGION THROUGH THE WEEKEND
AND MOVE OFF TO THE EAST ON MONDAY. A COLD FRONT WILL MOVE THROUGH
THE AREA MONDAY NIGHT INTO TUESDAY MORNING.

&&

.NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 PM THIS EVENING/...
HIGH PRESSURE CENTERED OVER ONTARIO WILL EXTEND SOUTH ACROSS THE
REGION TODAY. CIRRUS SHOULD CONTINUE TO THIN OUT. TEMPERATURES
WILL BE COOLER THAN YESTERDAY BUT NOT BY MUCH IN THE SOUTHERN
AREAS.

&&

.SHORT TERM /6 PM THIS EVENING THROUGH MONDAY/...
HIGH PRESSURE WILL CONTINUE TO INFLUENCE THE REGION INTO MONDAY AS
IT SLOWLY SHIFTS EAST WITH TIME. CLOUD COVER WILL BE AT A MINIMUM
INTO SUNDAY NIGHT WITH PERHAPS SOME DIURNAL CUMULUS. DRY
ATMOSPHERE WILL RESULT IN A FAIRLY LARGE DIURNAL RANGE. AFTER A
RELATIVELY COOL NIGHT TONIGHT READINGS WILL REBOUND TO ABOVE
NORMAL AND REMAIN THERE THROUGH THE REST OF THE PERIOD. MOISTURE
WILL START TO INCREASE ON MONDAY IN ADVANCE OF A COLD FRONT OFF TO
THE WEST. ALTHOUGH FORCING IS NOT PARTICULARLY STRONG OR
ORGANIZED...THERE ARE SOME INDICATIONS THAT AN ISOLATED SHOWER OR
STORM CANNOT BE RULED OUT IN WESTERN COUNTIES MONDAY AFTERNOON.

&&

.LONG TERM /MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY/...
A COLD FRONT WILL CROSS THE AREA MONDAY NIGHT INTO TUESDAY
MORNING. SHOWERS STILL SEEM LIKELY WITH THIS SYSTEM. INSTABILITY
LOOKS LIMITED AT THIS POINT WITH ONLY A SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDER.
HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD IN FOR WEDNESDAY AND THURSDAY. COOL DOWN
WILL BE BRIEF WITH READINGS SLIGHTLY BELOW NORMAL WEDNESDAY AND
THEN BACK ABOVE NORMAL ON THURSDAY. NEXT COLD FRONT IS FORECAST
TO MOVE INTO THE REGION ON FRIDAY BRINGING ANOTHER CHANCE OF
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

&&

.AVIATION /12Z SATURDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
SOME PATCHES OF IFR CIGS ARE LOCATED NORTH OF THE KDAY AND KCMH
TAF SITES. THERE ARE BREAKS IN BETWEEN THESE PATCHES AND THEREFORE
DID NOT INCLUDE THE IFR CIGS IN AT THE TAFS. HAVE A SCATTERED
MENTION OF THE LOWER CLOUDS HOWEVER IT IS NOT OUT OF THE QUESTION
THAT IFR CIGS BRIEFLY MOVE INTO KDAY...KILN...AND KCMH. IN
ADDITION MVFR VSBYS HAVE ALSO DEVELOPED NORTH OF KDAY. WITH THE
WINDS STARTING TO PICK UP KEPT KDAY WITH VFR VSBYS. WINDS WILL
CONTINUE TO PICK UP FOR THE DAYTIME HOURS WITH SOME GUSTS AROUND
18 TO 20 KNOTS. A FEW CU WILL BE ALSO BE POSSIBLE DURING THE DAY
TODAY. WIND GUSTS WILL SUBSIDE THIS EVENING AND SKIES WILL CLEAR OUT.

OUTLOOK...MVFR CEILINGS AND VISIBILITIES ARE POSSIBLE MONDAY
NIGHT INTO TUESDAY.

&&

.ILN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OH...NONE.
KY...NONE.
IN...NONE.

&&

$$
SYNOPSIS...
NEAR TERM...
SHORT TERM...
LONG TERM...
AVIATION...NOVAK






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