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Area Forecast Discussion
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000
FXUS61 KGYX 241825
AFDGYX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAY ME
225 PM EDT FRI OCT 24 2014

.SYNOPSIS...
LOW PRESSURE WILL FINALLY DRIFT OFF INTO THE MARITIMES THIS
EVENING. A BRIEF BREAK OF FAIR WEATHER ON SATURDAY IS FOLLOWED BY
A COLD FRONT CROSSING THE REGION SUNDAY. HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS IN
FOR THE BEGINNING OF NEXT WEEK. A COLD FRONT WILL MOVE THROUGH THE
AREA AROUND THE MIDDLE OF THE WEEK.

&&

.NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 PM THIS EVENING/...
AT 18Z...GOES IMAGERY SHOWED LOW PRESSURE SURFACE AND ALOFT
SITUATED JUST SOUTH OF NOVA SCOTIA. CLOUDS CONTINUED TO ROTATE
AROUND THIS SYSTEM INTO THE FORECAST AREA ALONG WITH SCATTERED
SHOWERS. CLOUDS AND SHOWERS WILL GRADUALLY EXIT THE AREA FROM WEST
TO EAST TONIGHT AS THE SYSTEM SLIDES FURTHER OFFSHORE OF NEW
ENGLAND. ACROSS THE HIGHER TERRAIN...WE SHOULD HOLD ON TO A FEW
MORE CLOUDS IN THE UPSLOPE FLOW.

&&

.SHORT TERM /6 PM THIS EVENING THROUGH 6 PM SATURDAY/...
A WELL DESERVED RESPITE ON SATURDAY WITH SUNSHINE AND MILD
TEMPERATURES UNDER WEAK RIDGING. HIGHS WILL RANGE FROM THE 50S
TO LOWER 60S. 

CLOUDS FROM THE NEXT SHORTWAVE AND ASSOCIATED COLD FRONT REACH THE
AREA BY SATURDAY NIGHT...WITH THE BEST CHANCE FOR SHOWERS FOUND
ACROSS NORTHERN AND EASTERN SECTIONS WITH A RAIN/SNOW MIX POSSIBLE
FOR THE HIGH TERRAIN.

&&

.LONG TERM /SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY/...
THE STRONG COLD FRONT MOVES THROUGH NORTHERN NEW ENGLAND SATURDAY
NIGHT. THIS WILL USHER COLD AIR INTO THE REGION ON BRISK NW WINDS.
HIGH TEMPERATUS SUNDAY WILL BE LIMITED TO THE 40S IN THE NORTH
WITH 50S IN THE SOUTH.

THE NEXT CHANCE FOR LIGHT PRECIP WILL BE TUESDAY NIGHT INTO
WEDNESDAY AS AN OCCLUSION CROSSES MAINE AND NEW HAMPSHIRE. COLD
AIR WILL POUR IN BEHIND THIS FRONT AS WELL...AS HIGH PRESSURE
SLOWLY BUILDS SOUTH FROM CANADA.

MODELS DIVERGE SIGNIFICANTLY NEXT FRIDAY AS LOW PRESSURE DEVELOPS
IN THE EAST. THE EURO REMAINS THE MOST ACTIVE WITH THIS SYSTEM AS
IT DEVELOP A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM OVER NEW YORK CITY AND SEND IT UP
THE COASTLINE. THE REMAINDER OF THE 12Z MODEL SUITE KEEPS MOST OF
THE ENERGY WELL OFF THE COAST. 

&&

.AVIATION /18Z FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...

SHORT TERM...MVFR AND LCL IFR...GRADUALLY IMPROVING TO VFR TONIGHT
THROUGHOUT. VFR SATURDAY...WITH SCT MVFR SAT NIGHT IN SHOWERS.

LONG TERM...A COUPLE BRIEF PERIODS OF IFR CONDITIONS BOTH LATE
SATURDAY NIGHT/SUNDAY MORNING AND WEDNESDAY MORNING...MAINLY IN
THE UPSLOPE NW FACING TERRAIN.

&&

.MARINE...
SHORT TERM...WINDS HAVE DIMINISHED BUT SEAS OUTSIDE THE BAYS
REMAIN ABOVE SCA THRESHOLD. THE CURRENT SCA WAS CONVERTED TO AN
SCA FOR HAZ SEAS OUTSIDE THE BAYS TROUGH THE 1ST HALF OF TONIGHT.
THE BAYS HAVE HAD THE SCA HEADLINE DROPPED ALTOGETHER. 

LONG TERM...SCA TYPE WINDS MAY REACH THE REGION SUNDAY INTO MONDAY
BEHIND EXITING COLD FRONT.

&&

.GYX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ME...NONE.
NH...NONE.
MARINE...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR HAZARDOUS SEAS UNTIL 1 AM EDT
SATURDAY FOR ANZ150-152-154.

&&

$$ 

SCHWIBS/CANNON



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