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Hydrologic Outlook
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000
FGUS71 KILN 221041
ESFILN
INC029-041-047-115-137-155-161-177-KYC015-023-037-041-077-081-117-
135-161-187-191-201-OHC001-011-015-017-021-023-025-027-037-041-
045-047-049-057-061-065-071-073-089-091-097-107-109-113-129-131-
135-141-145-149-159-165-240815-

WINTER/SPRING FLOOD POTENTIAL OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON OH
541 AM EST THU JAN 22 2015

...WINTER/SPRING FLOOD POTENTIAL OUTLOOK...

...FLOOD POTENTIAL THROUGH FEBRUARY 5 IS NEAR NORMAL FOR THE MID
OHIO VALLEY...

THIS OUTLOOK IS THE SECOND IN A BIWEEKLY SERIES OF OUTLOOKS FOR
THE WINTER AND EARLY SPRING.

NORMAL FLOOD POTENTIAL MEANS AT LEAST SOME MINOR FLOODING IS
POSSIBLE. ABOVE NORMAL FLOOD POTENTIAL MEANS AT LEAST A CHANCE OF
MORE WIDESPREAD FLOODING WITH SOME POINTS POSSIBLY REACHING
MODERATE OR MAJOR FLOOD LEVELS.

THE FLOOD OUTLOOK IS ISSUED BY LOCAL NWS OFFICES IN WINTER AND
EARLY SPRING TO SUMMARIZE BASIN CONDITIONS AND TO ASSESS THE
POTENTIAL FOR FLOODING. THE OUTLOOKS ARE BASED ON CURRENT AND
FORECAST HYDROMETEOROLOGICAL CONDITIONS.

THE FACTORS CONSIDERED WHEN DETERMINING FLOOD POTENTIAL INCLUDE
CURRENT STREAMFLOW AND RESERVOIR LEVELS COMPARED TO NORMAL FOR
THE PERIOD...WATER EQUIVALENT IN ANY SNOW PACK...SOIL MOISTURE
AND EXPECTED PRECIPITATION.

...SNOW COVER AND SNOW WATER EQUIVALENT...
SNOW COVER ACROSS THE AREA WAS LIMITED TO JUST TRACE AMOUNTS. 

...STREAMFLOW... 
STREAMFLOW VALUES WERE NEAR TO SLIGHTLY BELOW NORMAL FOR LATE 
JANUARY...BASED ON THE 14-DAY MEAN STREAMFLOW FROM THE U.S.
GEOLOGICAL SURVEY.

...ICE...
WHILE RECENT COLD TEMPERATURES HAVE RESULTED IN SOME ICE ON AREA
RIVERS...THE ICE IS LIMTED TO THE BANKS AND IS NOT AFFECTING
STREAMFLOW. 

...SOIL MOISTURE...
SOILS WERE EATHER NEARLY SATURATED OR FROZEN THROUGH THE
AREA...OPTIMIZING ANY FUTURE RUNOFF.

...RESERVOIR CAPACITY... AREA RESERVOIRS ARE EITHER AT OR EVEN
BELOW WINTER POOL...ALLOWING FOR A GREATER FLOOD CONTROL
CAPACITY.

...WEATHER TRENDS AND PRECIPITATION...
FOR THE FIRST WEEK OF THE OUTLOOK PERIOD...LITTLE TO JUST TRACE
AMOUNTS OF LIQUID PRECIPITATION IS EXPTECTED...YIELDING A BELOW
NORMAL FLOOD OUTLOOK. FOR THE SECOND WEEK OF THE OUTLOOK
PERIOD...BELOW NORMAL TEMPERATURES AND PRECIPITATION IS EXPECTED. 

REAL TIME RIVER INFORMATION AND FORECASTS FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS
ALONG RIVERS ACROSS CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN OHIO...NORTHERN KENTUCKY
AND SOUTHEAST INDIANA CAN BE FOUND AT (ALL IN LOWERCASE):
WEATHER.GOV/ILN/ AND THEN CLICK ON THE RIVERS AND LAKES TAB.


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