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Area Forecast Discussion
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000
FXUS61 KPBZ 251419
AFDPBZ

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PITTSBURGH PA
1019 AM EDT SAT OCT 25 2014

.SYNOPSIS...
NEAR SEASONABLE TEMPERATURES THROUGH SUNDAY WITH ONLY A STRAY
SHOWER THIS AFTERNOON. TEMPERATURES WILL WARM WELL ABOVE AVERAGE
MONDAY AND TUESDAY AHEAD OF A COLD FRONT.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/...
WITH 1015AM UPDATE...BUMPED UP CLOUD COVER WITH NEARLY OVERCAST
SKIES CURRENTLY ACROSS EASTERN OHIO...AS WELL AS ADJUSTING HOURLY
TEMPERATURE TRENDS AS A RESULT OF THE CLOUD COVER.

DAWN UPDATE WAS ISSUED TO ADJUST AFTN WIND AND GUSTS AS THE
CROSSING CDFNT SHOULD SPPRT MORE SUBSTANTIAL READINGS...ESPECIALLY
WITH ANY WEAK CONVECTION THAT OCCURS.

SHRTWV TRAVERSING THE GREAT LAKES WL MOISTURE STARVED...BUT WITH
DECENT FORCING MAY POPS SOME ISOLD SHWRS OR SPRINKLES. A SLGT SHWR
CHC WAS THUS MAINTAINED FOR NOW. OTHERWISE HIGH TEMPS ARE PROJECTED
NR THE AVGS IN ADVN OF FRONT...PASSAGE OF WHICH WL USHER IN COOLER
AIR FOR TNGT.

&&

.SHORT TERM /SUNDAY THROUGH MONDAY/...
TEMPERATURES WILL BE NEAR AVERAGE SUNDAY WITH GUSTY NORTHWEST
WINDS AS LOW PRESSURE SPINS ACROSS EASTERN CANADA. RIDGE AXIS WILL
BE ACROSS REGION SUNDAY NIGHT WITH CLEAR SKIES AND COOL TEMPERATURES.
AS HIGH SHIFTS EAST MONDAY WARM ADVECTION WILL BEGIN AS LOW LEVEL
FLOW TURNS SOUTHWEST. THIS WILL CONTINUE TUESDAY WITH GRADIENT AND
WARM ADVECTION INCREASING AHEAD OF A FAIRLY STRONG COLD FRONT
PUSHING MAX TEMPS INTO THE 70S. AS FRONT APPROACHES LATE DAY
TUESDAY A FEW SHOWERS WILL WORK INTO EASTERN OHIO TOWARD SUNSET.

&&

.LONG TERM /MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY/...
COLD FRONT WILL RACE ACROSS REGION TUESDAY NIGHT AND HAVE GONE
WITH LIKELY POPS FOR SHOWERS WITH FRO PA AND UPPER LEVEL TROUGH.
FAIRLY QUIET WEATHER FOR WEDNESDAY AND THURSDAY WITH WEAK SURFACE
RIDGE STRETCHED ACROSS THE UPPER OHIO VALLEY. BY FRIDAY DEEPENING
UPPER LEVEL SYSTEM AND DEVELOPING SURFACE LOW PRESSURE WILL BRING
SHOWERS BACK TO THE REGION FOLLOWED BY MUCH COOLER CONDITIONS FOR
THE START OF NEXT WEEKEND.

&&

.AVIATION /14Z SATURDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
AN APPROACHING COLD FRONT WILL BRING AN INCREASE IN SOUTH-
SOUTHWEST SURFACE WIND BY AFTN WITH GUSTS OF NR 25 KTS LIKELY. A
BRIEF PERIOD OF MVFR CIGS WITH FRONTAL PASSAGE IS ANTICIPATED
DURING THE LATE AFTERNOON AND EVENING HOURS.

OUTLOOK.../SUNDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
VFR CONDITIONS ARE THEN EXPECTED TO PERSIST THROUGH EARLY NEXT
WEEK.

&&

.PBZ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
MD...NONE.
OH...NONE.
PA...NONE.
WV...NONE.

&&

$$






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