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Area Forecast Discussion
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000
FXUS61 KPBZ 251855
AFDPBZ

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PITTSBURGH PA
255 PM EDT SAT OCT 25 2014

.SYNOPSIS...
AFTER A SLIGHT COOLDOWN FOR SUNDAY...TEMPERATURES WILL WARM WELL 
ABOVE NORMAL MONDAY AND TUESDAY. A COLD FRONT TUESDAY NIGHT WILL 
BRING RAIN AND A RETURN TO COLDER TEMPERATURES.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH SUNDAY/...
A COLD FRONT ACROSS OHIO IS CURRENTLY PRODUCING NO RADAR RETURNS. 
WITH LITTLE MOISTURE TO WORK WITH...APPEARS THAT IT WILL BE HARD TO 
GET ANY MEASURABLE PRECIPITATION AS THE FRONT CROSSES THE AREA THIS 
EVENING. HAVE STILL KEPT A MENTION OF AN ISOLATED SPRINKLE THIS 
EVENING IN THE FORECAST FOR EASTERN COUNTIES IN CASE OROGRAPHIC LIFT 
IS ABLE TO SQUEEZE OUT SOME MOISTURE. WINDS WILL CONTINUE TO GUST UP 
TO 30 MPH INTO THE EARLY EVENING. ALTHOUGH SKIES WILL CLEAR THIS 
EVENING...WESTERLY FLOW AND COLD ADVECTION WILL BRING STRATOCUMULUS 
BACK INTO FAVORED AREAS FOR SUNDAY MORNING. MAY BE SLIGHTLY 
OPTIMISTIC WITH THE AMOUNT OF CLEARING SUNDAY AFTERNOON...BUT EXPECT 
NEARLY CLEAR SKIES BY SUNSET. TEMPERATURES FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS 
WILL BE SEASONABLE.

&&

.SHORT TERM /SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY/...
HIGH PRESSURE ALONG THE EAST COAST WILL BRING FLOW WITH A SOUTHERLY 
COMPONENT...ALLOWING FOR TEMPERATURE TO RISE ABOVE NORMAL. NEARLY 
ALL LOCATIONS ARE EXPECTED TO REACH THE 70S ON TUESDAY AHEAD OF AN 
ADVANCING COLD FRONT. HAVE SPED UP ARRIVAL TIME OF PRECIP...AND HAVE 
NOW BROUGHT IN A CHANCE OF RAIN EVERYWHERE BY LATE TUESDAY 
AFTERNOON. 12Z GFS AND NAM BOTH SHOW SMALL AMOUNTS OF INSTABILITY IN 
ZANESVILLE SOUNDING...AND HAVE ALSO ADDED A SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDER 
FOR PORTIONS OF OHIO.

&&

.LONG TERM /TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY/...
COLD FRONT WILL RACE ACROSS REGION TUESDAY NIGHT AND HAVE GONE
WITH LIKELY POPS FOR SHOWERS WITH FRO PA AND UPPER LEVEL TROUGH.
FAIRLY QUIET WEATHER FOR WEDNESDAY AND THURSDAY WITH WEAK SURFACE
RIDGE STRETCHED ACROSS THE UPPER OHIO VALLEY. BY FRIDAY DEEPENING
UPPER LEVEL SYSTEM AND DEVELOPING SURFACE LOW PRESSURE WILL BRING
SHOWERS BACK TO THE REGION FOLLOWED BY MUCH COOLER CONDITIONS FOR
THE START OF NEXT WEEKEND.

&&

.AVIATION /19Z SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/...
SW SFC GUSTS OF 20 TO 25 KT ARE STILL ANTICIPATED AS THE CDFNT 
APCHES/PASSES THIS AFTN ALTHOUGH POTENTIAL FOR RESTRICTIONS HAS 
DIMINISHED WITH DRIER AIR APPARENTLY MIXING OUT ST/SC WHICH HAD 
FORMED EARLIER ALNG THE FRONT. A BTR CHC FOR RESTRICTIONS...ALBEIT 
MVFR...WL COME LTR TNGT WITH THE STRENGTHENING COLD ADVCTN IN THE 
WAKE OF THE FRONTAL BNDRY.  MVFR STRATOCU ARE ANTICIPATED FM PIT NWD.

OUTLOOK.../SUNDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/...
VFR CONDITIONS ARE THEN EXPECTED TO PERSIST THROUGH EARLY NEXT
WEEK.

&&

.PBZ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
MD...NONE.
OH...NONE.
PA...NONE.
WV...NONE.

&&

$$






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