AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WAKEFIELD VA
300 PM EDT THU MAY 18 2000

WINDY CONDS TODAY WL DMSH SLOWLY THIS EVE. M CLR CKIES XPCTD THIS
EVE...P CLDY OVRNGT SPCLY NRN AREAS. TEMPS WILL STAY MILD OVERNIGHT
AS SW FLOW KEEPS THINGS MIXED...BASICALLY IN THE 60S...A FEW 70
DEGREE READINGS SERN AREAS. BACKDOOR APPCHS FM N ON FRI...WILL CALL
IT P SUNNY SKY...ALTHO SRN AREAS WL STILL RECEIVE ENUF SUN TO REACH
UPR 80S AGAIN. TEMPS WL BE TRICKY NERN AREAS DEPENDING ON SPEED OF
BACKDOOR. NGM MUCH WETTER THAN THE ETA WITH BACKDOOR...AND FM WHAT I
HV BEEN TOLD HERE AT AKQ...THAT MOST OF THESE EVENTS ARE NOT BIG
PCPN EVENT...NEEDLESS TO SAY LIKE ETA TIMING/PCPN FIELDS OF SLOWER
MOVMNT SWD...WITH CHC POPS N OF NC/VA BORDER DURING 2ND PD (ENDING
AT 8 PM FRI) SHUD MOVE INTO NC AFTER THAT TIME. SVR WX THREAT WL BE
MAINLY DURING THE EVE 4-10PM OVER AKQ CWA. KEPT CHC POPS FOR
SHRAS/TSRAS EVERYWHERE FRI NGT BASED ON SLOW MOVMNT OF FRNT...AND 30
POP FOR AM SHRA NRN AREAS ON SAT...40 POP S. M CLDY AND MUCH COOLER
ON SAT...SPCLY AT COAST...W WITH HI'S IN THE 60S...LWR 70S INLD. SAT
NGT...FRNT SAGS FURTHER S...OR TOTALLY FALLS APART LEAVING P CLDY     
SKIES. XTNDD...QUICK MOVG SYSTEMS ONE FM TN VLY TO MOVE THRU ON
SUN..AND ONE FM MIDWEST ON MON...KEPT CHC OF SHWRS BOTH DAYS WITH
COOL TEMPS...SUNDAY LUKS TO BE THE WETTER OF THE TWO...BUT AM
UNWILLING TO PUT THE "R" WORD IN THE FCST THIS FAR OUT...DUE TO
UNCERTAINTY OF LOW TRACK/STRENGTH...TUE LUKS "DRY" ATTM IF SECOND
SYS PROGRESIVE ENUF TO MOVE OFF THE COAST BY TUE AM.

CWF...KEEP SCA UP TONIGHT...AND SHIFT WNDS TO N/NE BHND BACKDOOR
FRONT STARTING LATE FRI INTO FRI NIGHT.

.AKQ...SCA SRN CHES BAY...ATLC CST...CURRITUCK SND.

HESS