ZCZC ALBAFDBGM
FXUS61 KBGM 042005 

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BINGHAMTON NY
305 PM EST SUN NOV 4 2001

VIGOROUS UPPER SHORTWAVE DIGGING TOWARDS WRN NY...WITH RAIN BREAKING
OUT AHEAD OF IT. THIS AREA OF RAIN SHOULD CONTINUE TO EXPAND
OVERNIGHT AS THE UPPER SYSTEM MOVES SOUTHEAST AND CLOSES OFF OVER
ERN NY. MID-LEVEL LAPSE RATES WILL BE STEEP OVERNIGHT...AND THE LINE
OF STORMS DEVELOPING NEAR ROCHESTER IS EVIDENCE OF THIS INSTABILITY.
WILL GO WITH LIKELY WORDING IN ALL ZONES...WITH HIGHER POPS IN ERN
ZONES. WILL ALSO MENTION THE POSSIBILITY OF TSTORMS THIS EVENING.
CORE OF COLDEST AIR WILL MOVE THROUGH CENTRAL AND WRN NY OVERNIGHT
INTO PENNSYLVANIA. 1000/850 THICKNESSES WILL FALL TO NEAR 1300M BY
MORNING...SO WILL KEEP MENTION OF RAIN MIXING WITH SNOW. THE RAIN MAY
CHANGEOVER TO SNOW ON THE HILLTOPS. NO ACCUMULATION EXPECTED......

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