FXUS61 KILN 082330
AFDILN

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON OH
630 PM EST SUN NOV 8 2009

.SYNOPSIS...
HIGH PRESSURE WILL KEEP WARM AND DRY CONDITIONS ACROSS THE REGION
THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT. A COLD FRONT WILL MOVE THROUGH ON TUESDAY
BRINGING A RETURN OF PRECIPITATION TO THE AREA. HIGH PRESSURE AND
DRY WEATHER WILL MAKE A RETURN BY WEDNESDAY.

&&

.NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 AM MONDAY MORNING/...
HIGH PRESSURE EAST OF THE FA WILL KEEP DRY CONDITIONS AND MOSTLY
CLEAR SKIES ACROSS THE FA THROUGH THE OVERNIGHT HOURS. HIGH CLOUDS
WILL BEGIN TO FILTER INTO THE AREA BY MORNING. GIVEN SOUTHERLY
FLOW CONTINUED TREND OF GOING WITH WARMER GUIDANCE VALUES.

&&

.SHORT TERM /6 AM MONDAY MORNING THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT/...
FORECAST FOCUS WILL BE ON PRECIP CHANCES ON TUESDAY. MONDAY WILL
BE ANOTHER WARM AND DRY DAY. CLOUD COVER WILL BEGIN TO INCREASE
MONDAY AND ESPECIALLY MONDAY NIGHT IN ADVANCE OF A COLD FRONT THAT
WILL MOVE THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT INTO TUESDAY. MODELS DIFFER
SOMEWHAT IN TIMING AND AMOUNT OF PRECIP FOR TUESDAY. THE COLD
FRONT HAS SLOWED DOWN DUE TO REMAINS OF IDA AND WHAT HAPPENS ON
TUESDAY WILL BE DEPENDENT ON WHERE REMAINS OF IDA GO. SOUTHERN
SYSTEM OR REMAINS OF IDA WILL TRY TO ROB COLD FRONTAL SYSTEM OF
MOISTURE. KEPT CHANCE PRECIP ON TUESDAY AND TAPERED PRECIP OFF
TUESDAY NIGHT AS HIGH PRESSURE BEGINS TO BUILD IN AND PUSH SYSTEM
TO THE EAST. FOR MONDAY WENT WITH WARMER GUIDANCE VALUES. TUESDAY
WILL BE COOLER WITH PASSAGE OF COLD FRONT AND CLOUD COVER.

&&

.LONG TERM /WEDNESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/...
HIGH PRESSURE WILL EXTEND ACROSS THE REGION THROUGH THE LATTER HALF 
OF THE WEEK. MOISTURE RETURNING ON THE BACK SIDE OF THE HIGH ALONG 
WITH AN APPROACHING COLD FRONT MAY RESULT IN SOME SHOWERS DEVELOPING 
ON SUNDAY. TEMPERATURES WILL FALL SLIGHTLY BELOW NORMAL ON WEDNESDAY 
BUT THEN WARM THROUGH THE REST OF THE WEEK AND REMAIN MILD DURING 
THE WEEKEND.

&&

.AVIATION /00Z MONDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/...
MID/UPPER LEVEL RIDGE ACROSS THE AREA WILL SLIDE SLOWLY OFF TO THE
EAST THROUGH MONDAY. THIS WILL RESULT IN A GRADUAL INCREASE IN
MAINLY HIGH LEVEL CLOUDS. OUTSIDE OF POSSIBLY SOME MVFR VALLEY FOG
AT KLUK...EXPECT VFR CONDITIONS THROUGH THE TAF PERIOD.

OUTLOOK...SCATTERED SHOWERS AND MVFR CIGS ARE POSSIBLE TUESDAY AND
TUESDAY NIGHT.

&&

.ILN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OH...NONE.
KY...NONE.
IN...NONE.

&&

$$
SYNOPSIS...NOVAK
NEAR TERM...NOVAK
SHORT TERM...NOVAK
LONG TERM...
AVIATION...JGL