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Middle Atlantic River Forecast Center

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Water Resources Outlook - Northern MARFC Area
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Map of the Northern Water Resources Outlook Region

April 17, 2014 - The first half of April has brought 2 to nearly 3 inches of precipitation for most of Pennsylvania, southern New York, and northern New Jersey. The rest of New Jersey has had about an inch and a half of precipitation. Over the past 90 days, southern New York and most of Pennsylvania are running 1 to 2 inches below average precipitation-wise. On the other hand, southeast Pennsylvania and much of New Jersey are running normal to a couple of inches above.

Current (April 17) streamflow data from the U.S. Geological Survey shows that streamflows are near or above normal. Because the above normal flows are largely the result of recent storminess, they will gradually return to near normal over the upcoming days. Groundwater levels are, on average, above normal.

The weather outlook through the end of April calls for little precipitation in the short term but then a return to near or above average rainfall. Temperatures are expected to be around or above normal. The NWS Climate Prediction Center's 30-day outlook for May calls for near normal precipitation and temperatures. The 90 day outlook for May through July calls for near average precipitation and near or above average temperatures.

The outlook for water resources is good or very good across all of southern New York, Pennsylvania, and New Jersey. Despite long term dryness in some areas, recent storminess along with an expectation of additional rain should ensure that water resources and supplies will remain abundant for at least several weeks. An overall long term lack of precipitation for much of central and even east-central Pennsylvania could become an area of concern should long term dry weather return.


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