November 14, 2014 - November precipitation has been quite light so
far with only 1/4 to 3/4 inch for most areas. Southeast Pennsylvania
and the southern half of New Jersey have been wetter with 1 to as much
as 2 1/2 inches in some spots. Through the middle of the month,
temperatures for November have been averaging about normal. Over the
past 90 days, precipitation for much of southern New York and
Pennsylvania has been running 4 to 6 inches below average. The
southern half of New Jersey has only been 1 to 2 inches below.
Current (November 14) streamflow data from the U.S. Geological
Survey shows that streamflows are running below or much below normal
for most areas. Flows in the southern half of New Jersey are about
normal. Groundwater levels are below normal in northeast Pennsylvania
and the Catskill Region of New York. Elsewhere, groundwater levels
are near normal.
The weather outlook for the next couple of weeks calls for below
normal precipitation for most of the period, though precipitation is
expected to be above normal by late in the period. Temperatures are
expected to be below or much below average. The NWS Climate
Prediction Center's 90 day outlook for November, 2014 through January,
2015 calls for near average precipitation and above average
The outlook for water resources and water supplies remains "good"
across most of southern New York, most of Pennsylvania, and the
southern half of New Jersey. In the Catskill Region of New York,
eastern Pennsylvania, and the northern half of New Jersey, water
resources and supplies are fair. After beneficial rain in October,
dry conditions have returned so improvement in water resources and
supplies has slowed considerably. However, as we approach winter,
further degradation will be slow to occur and improvement may occur
quite quickly if wet weather were to occur.