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Middle Atlantic River Forecast Center
 
 

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Water Resources Outlook - Northern MARFC Area
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Map of the Northern Water Resources Outlook Region

April 10, 2014 - April has started off on the dry side for much of the northern portion of the MARFC service area. For the most part, only 1/2 to 1 inch of precipitation has fallen so far, though much of central Pennsylvania has picked up around 1 1/2 inches through the first week or so of the month. This happens to be an area that needs the extra precipitation. Over the past 90 days, precipitation is running 1 1/2 to 2 1/2 inches below normal in a band stretching from south-central Pennsylvania northeast into northeast Pennsylvania and into the Catskill Region of New York. The wetter than average areas were southeast Pennsylvania and much of central and southern New Jersey with amounts running 1 to 3 inches above average over this 90 day period.

As of April 10, little or no snow remains and is not a hydrologic threat.

Current (April 10) streamflow data from the U.S. Geological Survey shows that streamflows are near or above normal. Groundwater levels are, on average, above normal.

The weather outlook for the next couple of weeks calls for above average precipitation. Temperatures are expected to begin the period above normal but then dip back to near or below normal. The NWS Climate Prediction Center's 30-day outlook for April calls for near or below normal temperatures along with near normal precipitation. The 90 day outlook for April through June calls for near average precipitation and temperatures.

The outlook for water resources is good or very good across all of southern New York, Pennsylvania, and New Jersey. Despite long term dryness, recent storminess along with an expectation of additional above normal precipitation should ensure that water resources and supplies will remain abundant for at least several weeks. An overall long term lack of precipitation for much of central and even east-central Pennsylvania could become an area of concern should long term dry weather return.

End.

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    Page Author: Jason Nolan
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    Page last modified: February 11, 2014 2:22 PM
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