Skip Navigation Link www.weather.gov
NOAA logo - Click to go to the NOAA homepage National Weather Service   NWS logo - Click to go to the NWS homepage
Middle Atlantic River Forecast Center
 
 

Local forecast by
"City, St"
 
Water Resources Outlook - Northern MARFC Area
Go to Southern MARFC Area Go to WRO Archive
Map of the Northern Water Resources Outlook Region

September 26, 2014 - September has been quite dry to date with only 3/4 to 1 1/2 inches of rainfall so far in most areas. This is largely 1 1/2 to 3 inches below average. The exception is the southern half of New Jersey where amounts have been about average plus or minus an inch or so. Temperatures are running near normal, plus or minus a degree or so. Over the past 90 days, rainfall for much of southern New York and Pennsylvania has been running about average plus or minus an inch or two. The Catskill Region of New York, eastern Pennsylvania, and the northern half of New Jersey have been 3 to over 5 inches below average. Much of the southern half of New Jersey has been running 2 to over 5 inches above normal.

Current (September 26) streamflow data from the U.S. Geological Survey shows that streamflows are running near or below normal for most areas. But, some levels are running above normal in southern New Jersey, mainly due to recent rainfall. Groundwater levels are below normal in northeast Pennsylvania and the Catskill Region of New York. Elsewhere, groundwater levels are near or above normal.

The weather outlook for the next couple of weeks calls for below normal rainfall for most of the period, though rainfall may return to near normal levels late in the outlook. Temperatures are expected to be above normal. The NWS Climate Prediction Center's 30-day outlook for October as well as the 90 day outlook for October through December (the remainder of calendar year 2014) calls for near average precipitation and above average temperatures.

Hurricane season continues to be fairly quiet with no tropical system currently threatening the Mid-Atlantic Region.

Continued dry weather has led to the outlook for water resources and water supplies to be downgraded to good across most of southern New York, most of Pennsylvania, and the southern half of New Jersey. In the Catskill Region of New York, northeast Pennsylvania, and the northern half of New Jersey, water resources and supplies remain fair. Rainfall expectations (likely to be below average for most areas) for the coming weeks suggest that little or no improvement can be expected in the near term. If anything, a further degradation is possible. However, as we get deeper into Autumn with cooler temperatures and a weakening sun, further degradation will be slow to occur.

End.

Tropical Outlooks

Precipitation Information

Extended Outlooks

Drought Information

Current Hydrologic Conditions

U.S. Geological Survey Real Time Data

Advanced Hydrologic Prediction Service (AHPS)

Cooperating Agencies

Other

 

Go to Southern MARFC Area
 

Popular Links:
River Forecasts, Current Stages, Precipitation Departure Maps, Weather, Radar, F.A.Q.


NOAA's National Weather Service
Middle Atlantic River Forecast Center
328 Innovation Boulevard, Suite 330
State College, PA 16803
Page Author: Jason Nolan
Webmaster's E-mail: marfc.webmaster@noaa.gov
Page last modified: May 7, 2014 3:09 PM
Disclaimer Privacy Policy
Credits About Us 
Glossary Career Opportunities