October 26, 2014 - October has been quite wet to date for much of
the southern portion of the MARFC service area where 3 to 5 inches of
rain has fallen so far which is 1 to over 3 inches above average. For
the southern Delmarva Peninsula and the Tidewater Region of southeast
Virginia, only an inch or two has fallen. Temperatures have been
quite warm averaging mostly 1 to 3 degrees above normal. Over the
past 90 days, much of central and western Virginia and most of the
eastern panhandle of West Virginia have been 1 to 3 inches below
normal. On the wetter side of things, far western Maryland and
Tidewater Virginia have been 2 to 5 inches above normal. Elsewhere,
near average rain has fallen.
Current (October 26) streamflow data from the U.S. Geological
Survey shows that streamflows are running near normal. Groundwater
levels are mostly near or above normal.
The weather outlook for the first week or so of November calls for
below average precipitation. Temperatures are expected to begin the
period above average but cool to below average by the beginning of
November. The NWS Climate Prediction Center's 30-day outlook for
November calls for near average precipitation and above average
temperatures. The 90 day outlook for November, 2014 through January,
2015 calls for near or above average precipitation as well as near or
above average temperatures.
A significant amount of rain has fallen in much of the southern
portion of the MARFC service area so far this month helping to offset
the growing deficits that had been developing as a result of a fairly
long stretch of dry weather. This rain certainly helped. Continued
wet weather is needed for further improvements. But for now, this
does not appear to be likely. So, the outlook for water resources and
water supplies is "good" for all of the southern portion of the MARFC
service area. As we get deeper into Autumn with cooler temperatures
and a weakening sun, further degradation will be slow to occur and
improvement may occur quickly if wet weather were to continue.