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Middle Atlantic River Forecast Center
 
 

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Water Resources Outlook - Southern MARFC Area
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Map of the Southern Water Resources Outlook Region

October 26, 2014 - October has been quite wet to date for much of the southern portion of the MARFC service area where 3 to 5 inches of rain has fallen so far which is 1 to over 3 inches above average. For the southern Delmarva Peninsula and the Tidewater Region of southeast Virginia, only an inch or two has fallen. Temperatures have been quite warm averaging mostly 1 to 3 degrees above normal. Over the past 90 days, much of central and western Virginia and most of the eastern panhandle of West Virginia have been 1 to 3 inches below normal. On the wetter side of things, far western Maryland and Tidewater Virginia have been 2 to 5 inches above normal. Elsewhere, near average rain has fallen.

Current (October 26) streamflow data from the U.S. Geological Survey shows that streamflows are running near normal. Groundwater levels are mostly near or above normal.

The weather outlook for the first week or so of November calls for below average precipitation. Temperatures are expected to begin the period above average but cool to below average by the beginning of November. The NWS Climate Prediction Center's 30-day outlook for November calls for near average precipitation and above average temperatures. The 90 day outlook for November, 2014 through January, 2015 calls for near or above average precipitation as well as near or above average temperatures.

A significant amount of rain has fallen in much of the southern portion of the MARFC service area so far this month helping to offset the growing deficits that had been developing as a result of a fairly long stretch of dry weather. This rain certainly helped. Continued wet weather is needed for further improvements. But for now, this does not appear to be likely. So, the outlook for water resources and water supplies is "good" for all of the southern portion of the MARFC service area. As we get deeper into Autumn with cooler temperatures and a weakening sun, further degradation will be slow to occur and improvement may occur quickly if wet weather were to continue.

End.

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Page Author: Jason Nolan
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Page last modified: October 29, 2014 23:00
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