Ashe County Requested Product
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FNUS51 KRNK 181932
FWFRNK

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR SW VA...SE WV AND NW NC
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BLACKSBURG VA
332 PM EDT SAT APR 18 2015

.DISCUSSION...
A RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE OVER THE AREA THIS AFTERNOON WILL SHIFT EAST 
TONIGHT...ALLOWING A MOIST EAST FLOW TO DEVELOP TONIGHT ALLOWING A 
WETTING RAIN TO DEVELOP LATE TONIGHT IN THE MOUNTAINS AND FOOTHILLS.
 
A COMPLEX STORM SYSTEM PASSING TO THE WEST WILL RESULT IN 
WIDESPREAD RAIN...HEAVY AT TIMES...SUNDAY INTO SUNDAY NIGHT 
BEFORE A COLD FRONT CROSSES THE REGION WITH CHANCES OF SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS ON MONDAY. STRONG GUSTY WINDS ARE EXPECTED
IN THE MOUNTAINS FROM LATE TONIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY MORNING. 

MUCH DRIER WEATHER WILL RETURN BEHIND THIS FRONT FOR TUESDAY 
AND WEDNESDAY.
 
&&

NCZ001-190930-
ASHE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...WEST JEFFERSON
332 PM EDT SAT APR 18 2015

                      TONIGHT      SUN          SUN NIGHT    MON          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        CLOUDY       MCLDY        MCLDY        
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        SHOWERS      SHOWERS      TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     50           100          90           60           
MIN/MAX TEMP          51           58           55           69           
MAX/MIN RH %          98           82           92           55           
WND20FT2MIN/EARLY(MPH)SE  3        SE  9G28     SE  7G23     SW  5        
WND20FT2MIN/LATE(MPH) SE  5G23     SE 10G28     S  4         SW  9G21     
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.11         1.29         0.43         0.16         
PRECIP DURATION       2            10           7            5            
PRECIP BEGIN          6 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL)                 1770                      7750         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SE 17                     SW 26        
VENT RATE (MPH-FT)                 30090                     201500       
DISPERSION (EVENING)  POOR                      POOR                      
LAL                   2            1            1            4            
HAINES INDEX          3            3            3            4            
ADI EARLY             31 FAIR      16 GEN POOR  16 GEN POOR  53 GEN GOOD  
ADI LATE              10 POOR      22 FAIR      5 VERY POOR  110 VERY GOOD
MAX LVORI EARLY       3            5            6            5            
MAX LVORI LATE        5            4            6            1            

REMARKS...NONE.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.MONDAY NIGHT AND TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER
60S. MINIMUM RH 36 PERCENT. WEST WINDS 15 TO 20 MPH. 
.TUESDAY NIGHT AND WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER
40S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S. MINIMUM RH 35 PERCENT. WEST WINDS
10 TO 15 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT AND THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF
SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S. MINIMUM RH
54 PERCENT. WEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH. 
.THURSDAY NIGHT AND FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER
40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S. MINIMUM RH 51 PERCENT. WEST WINDS
15 TO 20 MPH. 
.FRIDAY NIGHT AND SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF SHOWERS.
LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S. MINIMUM RH
66 PERCENT. WEST WINDS 15 TO 20 MPH.

.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
TEMPERATURES BELOW NORMAL.  PRECIPITATION NEAR NORMAL.


 

Site specific forecasts for wildfires and prescribed burns may be obtained by contacting the National Weather Service in Blacksburg, VA at (540) 552-0084 or by submitting a Spot Request over the Internet.

Note: Please review the Request Procedures before submitting a request. Certain limitations apply.