Alleghany County Requested Product
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FNUS51 KRNK 010840
FWFRNK

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR SW VA...SE WV AND NW NC
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BLACKSBURG VA
340 AM EST SUN MAR 1 2015

.DISCUSSION...
HIGH PRESSURE WEDGED AGAINST THE EASTERN FACE OF THE APPALACHIANS 
WILL MAINTAIN A SOUTH TO SOUTHEAST FLOW OF AIR ACROSS THE REGION INTO 
THIS AFTERNOON. THIS WILL BRING BANDS OF PRECIPITATION INTO THE AREA
FROM THE SOUTH EARLY THIS MORNING AND ACROSS MUCH OF THE REGION INTO AT
LEAST EARLY THIS AFTERNOON. MUCH OF THIS WILL FALL AS SLEET AND 
FREEZING RAIN FOR MOST OF THE FORECAST REGION. LIQUID EQUIVALENT AMOUNTS 
WILL RANGE FROM ONE TO TWO TENTHS OF AN INCH ESPECIALLY ALONG AND EAST
OF THE BLUE RIDGE. 

WARM AIR WILL BUILD IN FROM THE WEST LATER TODAY...CAUSING AFTERNOON 
TEMPERATURES TO WARM INTO THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S...WITH PRECIPITATION 
CHANGING OVER TO RAIN. 

RAIN CHANCES WILL DIMINISH FROM EAST TO WEST SUNDAY EVENING AS A COLD 
FRONT MOVES ACROSS THE REGION. EXPECT A PERIOD OF DRY WEATHER MONDAY AND 
MONDAY NIGHT. MORE WET WEATHER IS EXPECTED TUESDAY INTO THURSDAY ALONG A 
MUCH STRONGER COLD FRONT THAT IS FORECAST TO WORK ITS WAY ACROSS THE 
REGION. DRIER BUT COLDER WEATHER RETURNS BY FRIDAY AS COLD HIGH PRESSURE 
BUILDS IN BEHIND THE EXITING FRONT.  

&&

NCZ002-012115-
ALLEGHANY NC-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...SPARTA
340 AM EST SUN MAR 1 2015

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      MON          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        
PRECIP TYPE           FRZ RAIN     RAIN         SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     70           20           20           
MAX/MIN TEMP          42           37           45           
MIN/MAX RH %          73           100          47           
WND20FT2MIN/EARLY(MPH)S  5         W  5         NW 13G29     
WND20FT2MIN/LATE(MPH) SW  5        W  9G27      NW  9G21     
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.10         0.01         0.00         
PRECIP DURATION       6            1            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          6 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   4 PM         
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL)    670                       2650         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 10                     NW 15        
VENT RATE (MPH-FT)    6700                      39750        
DISPERSION (EVENING)               POOR                      
LAL                   1            1            1            
HAINES INDEX          3            3            3            
ADI EARLY             11 POOR      8 POOR       59 GEN GOOD  
ADI LATE              10 POOR      19 GEN POOR  47 GEN GOOD  
MAX LVORI EARLY       6            6            4            
MAX LVORI LATE        5            4            1            

REMARKS...NONE.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.MONDAY NIGHT AND TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF RAIN
AND FREEZING RAIN. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S.
MINIMUM RH 69 PERCENT. SOUTHEAST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH. 
.TUESDAY NIGHT AND WEDNESDAY...SHOWERS...WARMER. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S. MINIMUM RH 84 PERCENT. WEST
WINDS 15 TO 20 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT AND THURSDAY...RAIN SHOWERS. COLDER. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S. MINIMUM RH 58 PERCENT.
NORTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH. 
.THURSDAY NIGHT AND FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 19. HIGHS
IN THE MID 30S. MINIMUM RH 38 PERCENT. NORTHWEST WINDS 10 TO
15 MPH. 
.FRIDAY NIGHT AND SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 20S.
HIGHS IN THE LOWER 40S. MINIMUM RH 48 PERCENT. WEST WINDS 5 TO
10 MPH.

.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
TEMPERATURES BELOW NORMAL.  PRECIPITATION BELOW NORMAL.


 

Site specific forecasts for wildfires and prescribed burns may be obtained by contacting the National Weather Service in Blacksburg, VA at (540) 552-0084 or by submitting a Spot Request over the Internet.

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