Alleghany County Requested Product
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FNUS51 KRNK 172242
FWFRNK

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR SW VA...SE WV AND NW NC
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BLACKSBURG VA
642 PM EDT THU APR 17 2014

.DISCUSSION...
HIGH PRESSURE OVER NEW ENGLAND WILL MAINTAIN CONTROL OF WEATHER
CONDITIONS ON FRIDAY WITH A FAIRLY COOL EASTERLY FLOW ACROSS
THE REGION...AND MODERATE MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY LEVELS...
GENERALLY IN THE LOW OR MID 40S BY AFTERNOON. INCREASING
HIGH CLOUDS DURING THE DAY WILL HELP KEEP TEMPERATURES ON THE
COOL SIDE REACHING THE 50S TO LOW 60S BY AFTERNOON.

LOW PRESSURE WILL DEVELOP LATER FRIDAY ALONG THE GULF COAST
AND TRACK TOWARD THE SOUTH ATLANTIC COAST. MOISTURE FROM 
THIS SYSTEM WILL PUSH RAPIDLY NORTH FRIDAY NIGHT AND INTO 
SATURDAY WITH A GOOD CHANCE OF MEASURABLE RAINFALL ACROSS 
THE SOUTHERN AND CENTRAL SECTIONS OF THE FORECAST AREA MUCH
OF SATURDAY. THE NORTH MAY REMAIN DRY BUT CLOUDY WITH EASTERLY
FLOW PERSISTING.

THE LOW IS FORECAST TO MOVE OFF THE COAST BY SUNDAY...WITH
HIGH PRESSURE AND CLEARING SKIES  BUILDING BACK IN ACROSS THE AREA. 
OUR NEXT CHANCE OF SHOWERS WILL COME TUESDAY INTO TUESDAY NIGHT
WHEN A COLD FRONT IS EXPECTED TO MOVE THROUGH THE REGION.

NCZ002-180915-
ALLEGHANY NC-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...SPARTA
642 PM EDT THU APR 17 2014

                      TONIGHT      FRI          FRI NIGHT    SAT          

CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         SHOWERS      SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            60           40           
MIN/MAX TEMP          34           56           42           60           
MAX/MIN RH %          83           40           92           47           
WND20FT2MIN/EARLY(MPH)LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      NE  5        
WND20FT2MIN/LATE(MPH) E  3         E  3         NE  3        NE  6        
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.13         0.02         
PRECIP DURATION                                 4            2            
PRECIP BEGIN                                    6 PM         CONTINUING   
PRECIP END                                      CONTINUING   6 PM         
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL)                 3820                      5040         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NE  5                     NE 20        
VENT RATE (MPH-FT)                 19100                     100800       
DISPERSION (EVENING)  VERY POOR                 VERY POOR                 
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
HAINES INDEX          4            3            3            3            
ADI EARLY             34 FAIR      3 VERY POOR  9 POOR       51 GEN GOOD  
ADI LATE              3 VERY POOR  11 POOR      4 VERY POOR  82 GOOD      
MAX LVORI EARLY       2            5            3            3            
MAX LVORI LATE        3            2            3            1            

REMARKS...NONE.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SATURDAY NIGHT AND SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER
40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S. MINIMUM RH 39 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS
AROUND 5 MPH. 
.SUNDAY NIGHT AND MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S.
HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S. MINIMUM RH 48 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS
5 TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY NIGHT AND TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF SHOWERS.
LOWS AROUND 50. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S. MINIMUM RH 54 PERCENT.
SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY NIGHT AND WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER
40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S. MINIMUM RH 40 PERCENT. NORTHWEST
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT AND THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER
40S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S. MINIMUM RH 67 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.

.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
TEMPERATURES ABOVE NORMAL.  PRECIPITATION ABOVE NORMAL.


 

Site specific forecasts for wildfires and prescribed burns may be obtained by contacting the National Weather Service in Blacksburg, VA at (540) 552-0084 or by submitting a Spot Request over the Internet.

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