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FNUS51 KRNK 281949
FWFRNK

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR SW VA...SE WV AND NW NC
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BLACKSBURG VA
349 PM EDT THU MAY 28 2015

.DISCUSSION...
A WEAK FRONTAL BOUNDARY WILL APPROACH THE AREA FROM THE NORTHWEST...
BUT IT WILL BE UNABLE TO DISLODGE THE WARM AND HUMID AIR
ENTRENCHED ACROSS THE REGION. THIS WILL KEEP SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS IN OUR FORECAST THROUGH THE END OF THE WEEK. HIGH
PRESSURE WILL BRIEFLY BUILD IN AND GIVE THE AREA A MOSTLY DRY
SATURDAY...BEFORE ANOTHER FRONTAL SYSTEM BRINGS SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS BACK TO OUR FORECAST FOR SUNDAY. COOLER AND SOMEWHAT
DRIER CONDITIONS WILL THEN BUILD IN FROM THE NORTH THROUGH THE
FIRST PART OF NEXT WEEK. MINIMUM RH VALUES ARE EXPECTED TO REMAIN 
ABOVE 50 PERCENT THROUGH THE PERIOD. MIXING HEIGHTS WILL REMAIN 
FAVORABLE BUT RELATIVELY LIGHT TRANSPORT WINDS WILL HINDER VENTILATION
RATES.

&&

NCZ004-290945-
STOKES-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...DANBURY
349 PM EDT THU MAY 28 2015

                      TONIGHT      FRI          FRI NIGHT    SAT          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     50           30           30           0            
MIN/MAX TEMP          64           83           63           86           
MAX/MIN RH %          98           56           94           48           
WND20FT2MIN/EARLY(MPH)LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      
WND20FT2MIN/LATE(MPH) LGT/VAR      S  3         LGT/VAR      S  4         
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.09         0.05         0.02         0.00         
PRECIP DURATION       2            1            1                         
PRECIP BEGIN          6 PM         11 AM        CONTINUING                
PRECIP END            5 AM         CONTINUING   12 AM                     
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL)                 5680                      6360         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                S 10                      SW 12        
VENT RATE (MPH-FT)                 56800                     76320        
DISPERSION (EVENING)  VERY POOR                 VERY POOR                 
LAL                   3            3            3            1            
HAINES INDEX          3            3            4            4            
ADI EARLY             23 FAIR      12 POOR      25 FAIR      40 FAIR      
ADI LATE              1 VERY POOR  32 FAIR      2 VERY POOR  54 GEN GOOD  
MAX LVORI EARLY       4            8            4            6            
MAX LVORI LATE        7            3            6            1            

REMARKS...NONE.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SATURDAY NIGHT AND SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S.
MINIMUM RH 51 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH. 
.SUNDAY NIGHT AND MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER
80S. MINIMUM RH 61 PERCENT. SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH. 
.MONDAY NIGHT AND TUESDAY...CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS
IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S. MINIMUM RH 68 PERCENT.
NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH. 
.TUESDAY NIGHT AND WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF
SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND 60. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S. MINIMUM RH
65 PERCENT. EAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT AND THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 60.
HIGHS AROUND 80. MINIMUM RH 93 PERCENT. EAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.

.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
TEMPERATURES ABOVE NORMAL.  PRECIPITATION ABOVE NORMAL.


 

Site specific forecasts for wildfires and prescribed burns may be obtained by contacting the National Weather Service in Blacksburg, VA at (540) 552-0084 or by submitting a Spot Request over the Internet.

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