Wilkes County Requested Product
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FNUS51 KRNK 310939
FWFRNK

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR SW VA...SE WV AND NW NC
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BLACKSBURG VA
539 AM EDT FRI OCT 31 2014

.DISCUSSION...
FAIR WEATHER WILL PERSIST THROUGH THE FIRST HALF OF THE DAY...
THEN RAPIDLY DETERIORATE THIS EVENING AS A FAST MOVING DISTURBANCE
FROM CANADA MOVES SOUTHEAST ACROSS THE OHIO VALLEY...THEN ACROSS THE
SOUTHERN APPALACHIANS TONIGHT AND SATURDAY. WINTER STORM
CONDITIONS ARE LIKELY IN THE HIGH COUNTRY OF NORTH CAROLINA...AND
INTO THE HIGHER ELEVATIONS OF FAR WESTERN VIRGINIA VICINITY OF
MOUNT ROGERS LATE TONIGHT AND SATURDAY. ELEVATIONS ABOVE 3000 FEET
WILL SEE THE GREATEST WINTRY IMPACT. SOME LIGHTER ACCUMULATIONS OF 
SNOW ARE ALSO POSSIBLE IN THE WEST VIRGINIA HIGHLANDS AND ALONG THE 
VIRGINIA-WEST VIRGINIA BORDER. NO SNOW ACCUMULATION IS ANTICIPATED 
IN THE LOWER ELEVATIONS DUE TO WARM SOIL TEMPERATURES.  WITH THE 
EXCEPTION OF THE HIGHER MOUNTAINS...MOST OF THE AREA WILL EXPERIENCE
A COLD RAIN...RAIN AMOUNTS AVERAGING A QUARTER /0.25/ TO THREE
QUARTERS /0.75/ OF AN INCH. STRONG NORTHWEST WINDS ARE EXPECTED
TO DEVELOP ON THE BACK SIDE OF THE STORM SYSTEM...BEGINNING 
SATURDAY AFTERNOON AND CONTINUING INTO SUNDAY BEFORE DIMINISHING.

THE SURGE OF COLD CANADIAN AIR THIS WEEKEND WILL LIKELY PRODUCE A
HARD/KILLING FREEZE IN THE MOUNTAINS WITH TEMPERATURES DIPPING INTO 
THE 20S. NEAR FREEZING TEMPERATURES ARE ALSO POSSIBLE EAST OF THE
MOUNTAINS.

THE COLD OUTBREAK WILL LAST THROUGH THE WEEKEND...FOLLOWED BY
WARMING TEMPERATURES NEXT WEEK.

&&

NCZ019-312130-
WILKES-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...WILKESBORO
539 AM EDT FRI OCT 31 2014

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SAT          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        CLOUDY       CLOUDY       
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         RAIN         SNOW/RAIN    
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            100          90           
MAX/MIN TEMP          60           35           44           
MIN/MAX RH %          52           89           70           
WND20FT2MIN/EARLY(MPH)LGT/VAR      W  3         NW 11G26     
WND20FT2MIN/LATE(MPH) LGT/VAR      NW  6        NW 15G34     
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.21         0.19         
PRECIP DURATION                    12           12           
PRECIP BEGIN                       6 PM         CONTINUING   
PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL)    5250                      2890         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW  8                     NW 26        
VENT RATE (MPH-FT)    42000                     75140        
DISPERSION (EVENING)               POOR                      
LAL                   1            1            1            
HAINES INDEX          3            2            2            
ADI EARLY             10 POOR      25 FAIR      54 GEN GOOD  
ADI LATE              31 FAIR      33 FAIR      82 GOOD      
MAX LVORI EARLY       6            5            4            
MAX LVORI LATE        2            4            3            

REMARKS...NONE.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SATURDAY NIGHT AND SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. A CHANCE OF RAIN AND
SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S.
MINIMUM RH 43 PERCENT. NORTHWEST WINDS 15 TO 20 MPH. 
.SUNDAY NIGHT AND MONDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S.
HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S. MINIMUM RH 30 PERCENT. WEST WINDS 5 TO
10 MPH. 
.MONDAY NIGHT AND TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S.
HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S. MINIMUM RH 38 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS
5 TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY NIGHT AND WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID
40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S. MINIMUM RH 57 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS
5 TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT AND THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF
SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S. MINIMUM RH
58 PERCENT. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.

.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
TEMPERATURES ABOVE NORMAL.  PRECIPITATION NEAR NORMAL.


 

Site specific forecasts for wildfires and prescribed burns may be obtained by contacting the National Weather Service in Blacksburg, VA at (540) 552-0084 or by submitting a Spot Request over the Internet.

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