Smyth County Requested Product
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FNUS51 KRNK 021055
FWFRNK

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR SW VA...SE WV AND NW NC
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BLACKSBURG VA
555 AM EST MON MAR 2 2015

.DISCUSSION...

A COLD FRONT THAT EXTENDED FROM EASTERN PENNSYLVANIA TO EAST
TENNESSEE WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE EAST AND OFF THE COAST THIS
MORNING. LIGHT RAIN WILL BE SCATTERED OVER SOUTHERN VIRGINIA AND 
NORTHERN NORTH CAROLINA UNTIL THE FRONT GOES THROUGH. 

HIGH PRESSURE AND DRIER AIR WILL FOLLOW BEHIND THE FRONT. THE HIGH 
WILL BE CENTERED OVER THE OHIO VALLEY TONIGHT AND WILL MOVE EAST...
EXTENDING SOUTH INTO THE MID ATLANTIC REGION. AS LOW LEVEL WINDS BECOME
EAST TO SOUTHEAST...LOW LEVEL MOISTURE WILL RETURN TO THE SOUTHERN 
BLUE RIDGE LATE TONIGHT...ALONG WITH SOME PATCHY DRIZZLE AND LIGHT RAIN. 

A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM OVER THE CENTRAL PLAINS ON TUESDAY WILL MOVE 
NORTHEAST. MUCH WARMER AIR MOVES IN ALOFT BUT WITH THE WEDGE AT THE 
SURFACE...TEMPERATURES WILL REMAIN BELOW NORMAL. A STRONG COLD FRONT 
WILL PASS THROUGH OUR AREA ON WEDNESDAY AND WEDNESDAY NIGHT. THIS WILL 
BRING A PROLONGED PERIOD OF MODERATE TO HEAVY RAIN. RAINFALL AMOUNTS
UP TO 1.5 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE THROUGH THURSDAY. 

DRIER BUT COLDER WEATHER RETURNS BY FRIDAY AS COLD HIGH PRESSURE 
BUILDS IN BEHIND THE EXITING FRONT.  

&&

VAZ009-022130-
SMYTH-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...MARION
555 AM EST MON MAR 2 2015

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      TUE          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        
PRECIP TYPE           FRZ RAIN     FRZ RAIN     FRZ RAIN     
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     70           20           60           
MAX/MIN TEMP          40           31           51           
MIN/MAX RH %          48           91           64           
WND20FT2MIN/EARLY(MPH)NW 13G36     N  3         SE  6G17     
WND20FT2MIN/LATE(MPH) NW  9G32     SE  4        S  7G21      
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.05         0.00         0.17         
PRECIP DURATION       4            1            4            
PRECIP BEGIN          6 AM         11 PM        CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            2 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL)    3190                      1580         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NW  9                     S 13         
VENT RATE (MPH-FT)    28710                     20540        
DISPERSION (EVENING)               VERY POOR                 
LAL                   1            1            1            
HAINES INDEX          3            3            3            
ADI EARLY             50 GEN GOOD  3 VERY POOR  10 POOR      
ADI LATE              35 FAIR      5 VERY POOR  12 POOR      
MAX LVORI EARLY       4            3            5            
MAX LVORI LATE        3            4            5            

REMARKS...NONE.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.TUESDAY NIGHT AND WEDNESDAY...BREEZY...RAIN. LOWS IN THE UPPER
40S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S. MINIMUM RH 80 PERCENT. WEST WINDS
20 TO 25 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT AND THURSDAY...RAIN AND SNOW. MUCH COLDER. LOWS
IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID 20S. MINIMUM RH 61 PERCENT.
NORTHWEST WINDS 15 TO 20 MPH. 
.THURSDAY NIGHT AND FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF SNOW
SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND 13. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S. MINIMUM RH
45 PERCENT. NORTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH. 
.FRIDAY NIGHT AND SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S.
HIGHS IN THE LOWER 40S. MINIMUM RH 51 PERCENT. WEST WINDS 10 TO
15 MPH. 
.SATURDAY NIGHT AND SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S.
HIGHS IN THE LOWER 40S. MINIMUM RH 58 PERCENT. WEST WINDS 10 TO
15 MPH.

.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
TEMPERATURES BELOW NORMAL.  PRECIPITATION BELOW NORMAL.


 

Site specific forecasts for wildfires and prescribed burns may be obtained by contacting the National Weather Service in Blacksburg, VA at (540) 552-0084 or by submitting a Spot Request over the Internet.

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