Smyth County Requested Product
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FNUS51 KRNK 310742
FWFRNK

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR SW VA...SE WV AND NW NC
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BLACKSBURG VA
342 AM EDT THU JUL 31 2014

.DISCUSSION...
THE DEEP UPPER LEVEL TROUGH RESPONSIBLE FOR THE UNSEASONABLY COOL
WEATHER LATELY...SHOULD BEGIN TO DRIFT NORTHWARD AND WEAKEN TODAY.
THIS WILL ALLOW TEMPERATURES TO BE A FEW DEGREES WARMER TODAY THAN
YESTERDAY. RAIN AND A WEDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE WILL KEEP
TEMPERATURES 15F COLDER THAN NORMAL FRIDAY AND INTO THE WEEKEND.

DEEPER MOISTURE RETURNS TO THE REGION BY THURSDAY NIGHT.
WIDESPREAD SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED FROM
LATE THURSDAY NIGHT INTO SATURDAY. ONE QUARTER TO ONE HALF INCH
RAINFALL IS POSSIBLE BETWEEN FRIDAY MORNING AND SATURDAY MORNING.

TEMPERATURES WILL GRADUALLY WARM THROUGH THE REST OF THE WEEK.

VAZ009-312115-
SMYTH-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...MARION
342 AM EDT THU JUL 31 2014

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      FRI          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           50           80           
MAX/MIN TEMP          78           58           75           
MIN/MAX RH %          51           96           62           
WND20FT2MIN/EARLY(MPH)LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      
WND20FT2MIN/LATE(MPH) LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      SE  5        
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.02         0.16         0.25         
PRECIP DURATION       1            2            9            
PRECIP BEGIN          1 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL)    6910                      6010         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S  6                      S 16         
VENT RATE (MPH-FT)    41460                     96160        
DISPERSION (EVENING)               VERY POOR                 
LAL                   1            2            2            
HAINES INDEX          3            3            3            
ADI EARLY             26 FAIR      31 FAIR      40 FAIR      
ADI LATE              32 FAIR      4 VERY POOR  50 GEN GOOD  
MAX LVORI EARLY       10           4            6            
MAX LVORI LATE        3            6            3            

REMARKS...NONE.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.FRIDAY NIGHT AND SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH SHOWERS LIKELY.
LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S. MINIMUM RH
67 PERCENT. WEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH. 
.SATURDAY NIGHT AND SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS AROUND 60. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S. MINIMUM
RH 71 PERCENT. NORTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH. 
.SUNDAY NIGHT AND MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S.
HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S. MINIMUM RH 63 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS AROUND
5 MPH. 
.MONDAY NIGHT AND TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S.
MINIMUM RH 61 PERCENT. WEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH. 
.TUESDAY NIGHT AND WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF
SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S. MINIMUM
RH 57 PERCENT. WEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.

.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
TEMPERATURES NEAR NORMAL.  PRECIPITATION ABOVE NORMAL.


 

Site specific forecasts for wildfires and prescribed burns may be obtained by contacting the National Weather Service in Blacksburg, VA at (540) 552-0084 or by submitting a Spot Request over the Internet.

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