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FNUS51 KRNK 311904
FWFRNK

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR SW VA...SE WV AND NW NC
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BLACKSBURG VA
304 PM EDT FRI OCT 31 2014

.DISCUSSION...

A FAST-MOVING STORM WILL AFFECT THE REGION OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS OR SO
WITH RAINFALL BEGINNING IN THE WEST THIS AFTERNOON FOLLOWED BY WINTRY 
CONDITIONS IN THE HIGH COUNTRY OF NORTH CAROLINA...AND INTO THE HIGHER
ELEVATIONS OF FAR WESTERN VIRGINIA IN THE VICINITY OF MOUNT ROGERS LATE
TONIGHT AND SATURDAY. ELEVATIONS ABOVE 3000 FEET WILL SEE THE GREATEST 
WINTRY IMPACT AND SNOW ACCUMULATIONS. SOME LIGHTER ACCUMULATIONS OF SNOW
ARE ALSO POSSIBLE IN THE WEST VIRGINIA HIGHLANDS AND ALONG THE VIRGINIA-WEST
VIRGINIA BORDER. NO SNOW ACCUMULATION IS ANTICIPATED IN THE LOWER ELEVATIONS 
WHERE MOSTLY RAIN WILL OCCUR. LIQUID EQUIVALENT RAIN OR SNOW AMOUNTS WILL A 
QUARTER /0.25/ TO THREE QUARTERS /0.75/ OF AN INCH. STRONG NORTHWEST 
WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP ON THE BACK SIDE OF THE STORM SYSTEM...
BEGINNING SATURDAY AFTERNOON AND CONTINUING INTO EARLY SUNDAY BEFORE 
DIMINISHING.

THE SURGE OF COLD CANADIAN AIR THIS WEEKEND WILL PRODUCE A HARD/KILLING 
FREEZE IN THE MOUNTAINS WITH TEMPERATURES DIPPING INTO THE 20S. 
FREEZING TEMPERATURES ARE ALSO EXPECTED EAST OF THE MOUNTAINS SUNDAY NIGHT.

WARMER TEMPERATURES AND DRY WEATHER IS EXPECTED THE FIRST HALF OF NEXT WEEK.

&&

VAZ011-010930-
GILES-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...PEARISBURG
304 PM EDT FRI OCT 31 2014

                      TONIGHT      SAT          SAT NIGHT    SUN          

CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       CLOUDY       MCLDY        PCLDY        
PRECIP TYPE           SNOW/RAIN    SNOW/RAIN    SHOWERS      SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     100          100          70           20           
MIN/MAX TEMP          31           42           28           43           
MAX/MIN RH %          100          75           86           49           
WND20FT2MIN/EARLY(MPH)LGT/VAR      NW  8G18     NW 12G30     NW 11G25     
WND20FT2MIN/LATE(MPH) NW  4        NW 11G29     NW 11G25     NW 10G21     
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.27         0.23         0.02         0.00         
PRECIP DURATION       12           12           4            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          6 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   2 PM         
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL)                 2930                      3220         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                N 33                      NW 22        
VENT RATE (MPH-FT)                 96690                     70840        
DISPERSION (EVENING)  VERY POOR                 GOOD                      
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
HAINES INDEX          2            2            3            3            
ADI EARLY             18 GEN POOR  23 FAIR      69 GOOD      62 GOOD      
ADI LATE              18 GEN POOR  71 GOOD      32 FAIR      62 GOOD      
MAX LVORI EARLY       6            5            4            3            
MAX LVORI LATE        6            4            4            1            

REMARKS...NONE.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SUNDAY NIGHT AND MONDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S.
HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S. MINIMUM RH 31 PERCENT. WEST WINDS 5 TO
10 MPH. 
.MONDAY NIGHT AND TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S.
HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S. MINIMUM RH 39 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS
AROUND 5 MPH. 
.TUESDAY NIGHT AND WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID
40S. HIGHS AROUND 60. MINIMUM RH 60 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO
10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT AND THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF
SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S. MINIMUM RH
64 PERCENT. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY NIGHT AND FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER
30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S. MINIMUM RH 80 PERCENT. WEST WINDS
5 TO 10 MPH.

.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
TEMPERATURES ABOVE NORMAL.  PRECIPITATION NEAR NORMAL.


 

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