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FNUS51 KRNK 230920
FWFRNK

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR SW VA...SE WV AND NW NC
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BLACKSBURG VA
520 AM EDT WED APR 23 2014

RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM THIS MORNING TO 8 PM EDT
THIS EVENING FOR THE VIRGINIA BLUE RIDGE...INCLUDING THE 
SHENANDOAH...ROANOKE...AND NEW RIVER VALLEYS.

.DISCUSSION...

...BREEZY CONDITIONS TODAY WITH LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY...

A COLD FRONT PASSED THROUGH THE AREA LAST NIGHT. IN ITS WAKE...
DRY BREEZY CONDITIONS HAVE DEVELOPED AND WILL CONTINUE THROUGH
THE DAY.  THE STRONGEST WINDS WILL BE FOUND NEAR THE BLUE RIDGE
PARKWAY...FROM SOUTHWESTERN VIRGINIA...NORTH INTO THE SHENANDOAH
VALLEY...WHERE SUSTAINED WINDS OF 15 TO 20 MPH...GUSTS OF 25
TO 30 MPH...AND AN AFTERNOON HUMIDITY MINIMUM NEAR 20 PERCENT 
WILL BE COMMON. FOR MANY AREAS NEAR THE BLUE RIDGE...IT HAS BEEN
7 DAYS SINCE MEASURABLE RAINFALL HAS OCCURRED.  THIS HAS ALLOWED
FINE FUEL MOISTURE TO DROP BELOW 7 PERCENT.  CONCERN TODAY IS 
FOR RAPID FIRE SPREAD IF A WILDFIRE OCCURS.

HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD OVERHEAD BY THURSDAY MORNING. THIS WILL
RESULT IN DIMINISHING WINDS TONIGHT...LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS
THURSDAY.  IT WILL REMAIN DRY THURSDAY WITH NO RAIN EXPECTED. 

THE NEXT...CHANCE...OF SHOWERS IS FRIDAY.  A COLD FRONT IS 
FORECAST TO CROSS THE AREA FRIDAY MORNING.  SIMILAR TO THE LAST
FRONTAL PASSAGE...RAINFALL IS NOT EXPECTED TO BE WIDESPREAD WITH
AMOUNTS OF A TENTH OF AN INCH OR LESS.

VAZ020-232145-
BATH-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...HOT SPRINGS
520 AM EDT WED APR 23 2014

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM THIS MORNING TO 8 PM EDT
THIS EVENING...

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU          

CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       CLEAR        MCLEAR       
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            
MAX/MIN TEMP          61           29           68           
MIN/MAX RH %          25           79           24           
WND20FT2MIN/EARLY(MPH)NW 12G27     NW  7G23     LGT/VAR      
WND20FT2MIN/LATE(MPH) NW 19G29     NW  3        SW  4        
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         
PRECIP DURATION                                              
PRECIP BEGIN                                                 
PRECIP END                                                   
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL)    5720                      6320         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NW 23                     SW 10        
VENT RATE (MPH-FT)    131560                    63200        
DISPERSION (EVENING)               FAIR                      
LAL                   1            1            1            
HAINES INDEX          2            3            4            
ADI EARLY             75 GOOD      80 GOOD      22 FAIR      
ADI LATE              82 GOOD      9 POOR       42 GEN GOOD  
MAX LVORI EARLY       2            2            4            
MAX LVORI LATE        1            3            2            

REMARKS...NONE.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.THURSDAY NIGHT AND FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF SHOWERS.
LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S. MINIMUM RH
47 PERCENT. WEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH. 
.FRIDAY NIGHT AND SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 40S.
HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S. MINIMUM RH 36 PERCENT. WEST WINDS 10 TO
15 MPH. 
.SATURDAY NIGHT AND SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 40. HIGHS
IN THE LOWER 60S. MINIMUM RH 45 PERCENT. NORTHWEST WINDS 10 TO
15 MPH. 
.SUNDAY NIGHT AND MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF RAIN.
LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS AROUND 60. MINIMUM RH 56 PERCENT.
EAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH. 
.MONDAY NIGHT AND TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF RAIN.
LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S. MINIMUM RH
84 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.

.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
TEMPERATURES BELOW NORMAL.  PRECIPITATION ABOVE NORMAL.


 

Site specific forecasts for wildfires and prescribed burns may be obtained by contacting the National Weather Service in Blacksburg, VA at (540) 552-0084 or by submitting a Spot Request over the Internet.

Note: Please review the Request Procedures before submitting a request. Certain limitations apply.