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FNUS51 KRNK 282117
FWFRNK

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR SW VA...SE WV AND NW NC
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BLACKSBURG VA
417 PM EST SAT FEB 28 2015

.DISCUSSION...
HIGH PRESSURE IS WEDGED AGAINST THE EASTERN FACE OF THE APPALACHIANS 
THIS AFTERNOON...MAINTAINING A COOL EAST TO SOUTHEASTERLY WIND FLOW 
ACROSS THE REGION. TEMPERATURES WILL COOL QUICKLY AROUND SUNSET...WITH 
CLOUDS MOVING OUT LATER IN THE EVENING. PRECIPITATION WILL MOVE IN 
TO THE REGION AFTER MIDNIGHT EARLY SUNDAY...FALLING MAINLY AS SLEET AND 
FREEZING RAIN FOR MOST OF THE FORECAST REGION. LIQUID EQUIVALENT AMOUNTS 
WILL RANGE FROM ONE TO TWO TENTHS OF AN INCH. 

WARM AIR WILL BUILD IN FROM THE WEST ON SUNDAY...CAUSING AFTERNOON 
TEMPERATURES TO WARM INTO THE UPPER 30S AND LOW 40S...WITH PRECIPITATION 
CHANGING OVER TO RAIN. 

RAIN CHANCES WILL DIMINISH FROM EAST TO WEST SUNDAY EVENING AS A COLD 
FRONT MOVES ACROSS THE REGION. EXPECT A PERIOD OF DRY WEATHER MONDAY AND 
MONDAY NIGHT. MORE WET WEATHER IS EXPECTED TUESDAY INTO THURSDAY ALONG A 
MUCH STRONGER COLD FRONT THAT IS EXPECTED TO WORK ITS WAY ACROSS THE 
REGION. DRIER BUT COLDER WEATHER RETURNS BY FRIDAY AS COLD HIGH PRESSURE 
BUILDS IN BEHIND THE EXITING FRONT.  

&&

VAZ020-010945-
BATH-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...HOT SPRINGS
417 PM EST SAT FEB 28 2015

                      TONIGHT      SUN          SUN NIGHT    MON          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        CLOUDY       MCLDY        PCLDY        
PRECIP TYPE           SNOW         SNOW/RAIN    FRZ RAIN     SNOW SHOWERS 
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     50           70           40           20           
MIN/MAX TEMP          19           36           29           38           
MAX/MIN RH %          84           72           99           45           
WND20FT2MIN/EARLY(MPH)LGT/VAR      SW  3        SW  6G23     NW 12G34     
WND20FT2MIN/LATE(MPH) LGT/VAR      SW  4        W 10G33      NW 10G28     
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.01         0.21         0.04         0.00         
PRECIP DURATION       1            9            2            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          3 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   12 PM        
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL)                 1910                      3600         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                S  5                      NW 17        
VENT RATE (MPH-FT)                 9550                      61200        
DISPERSION (EVENING)  VERY POOR                 POOR                      
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
HAINES INDEX          3            2            2            4            
ADI EARLY             3 VERY POOR  8 POOR       8 POOR       65 GOOD      
ADI LATE              3 VERY POOR  6 VERY POOR  18 GEN POOR  52 GEN GOOD  
MAX LVORI EARLY       3            5            6            3            
MAX LVORI LATE        4            6            6            1            

REMARKS...NONE.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.MONDAY NIGHT AND TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF RAIN AND
SNOW. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S. MINIMUM RH
53 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH. 
.TUESDAY NIGHT AND WEDNESDAY...RAIN...WARMER. LOWS IN THE MID
30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S. MINIMUM RH 68 PERCENT. WEST WINDS
10 TO 15 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT AND THURSDAY...RAIN AND A CHANCE OF SNOW
SHOWERS. COLDER. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S.
MINIMUM RH 60 PERCENT. NORTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH. 
.THURSDAY NIGHT AND FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 11. HIGHS
IN THE LOWER 30S. MINIMUM RH 43 PERCENT. WEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
.FRIDAY NIGHT AND SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 17. HIGHS
IN THE LOWER 40S. MINIMUM RH 52 PERCENT. WEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.

.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
TEMPERATURES BELOW NORMAL.  PRECIPITATION BELOW NORMAL.


 

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