Rockbridge County Requested Product
Printer Friendly Version

FNUS51 KRNK 311549 AAA
FWFRNK

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR SW VA...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BLACKSBURG VA
1149 AM EDT FRI OCT 31 2014

.DISCUSSION...
FAIR WEATHER WILL PERSIST THROUGH THE FIRST HALF OF THE DAY...
THEN RAPIDLY DETERIORATE THIS EVENING AS A FAST MOVING DISTURBANCE
FROM CANADA MOVES SOUTHEAST ACROSS THE OHIO VALLEY...THEN ACROSS THE
SOUTHERN APPALACHIANS TONIGHT AND SATURDAY. 

WINTER STORM CONDITIONS ARE LIKELY IN THE HIGH COUNTRY OF NORTH 
CAROLINA...AND INTO THE HIGHER ELEVATIONS OF FAR WESTERN VIRGINIA 
IN THE VICINITY OF MOUNT ROGERS LATE TONIGHT AND SATURDAY. ELEVATIONS 
ABOVE 3000 FEET WILL SEE THE GREATEST WINTRY IMPACT AND SNOW ACCUMULATIONS.
SOME LIGHTER ACCUMULATIONS OF SNOW ARE ALSO POSSIBLE IN THE WEST 
VIRGINIA HIGHLANDS AND ALONG THE VIRGINIA-WEST VIRGINIA BORDER. 
NO SNOW ACCUMULATION IS ANTICIPATED IN THE LOWER ELEVATIONS DUE TO 
WARM SOIL TEMPERATURES.  WITH THE EXCEPTION OF THE HIGHER MOUNTAINS...
MOST OF THE AREA WILL EXPERIENCE A COLD RAIN...RAIN AMOUNTS AVERAGING A 
QUARTER /0.25/ TO THREE QUARTERS /0.75/ OF AN INCH. STRONG NORTHWEST 
WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP ON THE BACK SIDE OF THE STORM SYSTEM...
BEGINNING SATURDAY AFTERNOON AND CONTINUING INTO SUNDAY BEFORE DIMINISHING.

THE SURGE OF COLD CANADIAN AIR THIS WEEKEND WILL PRODUCE A
HARD/KILLING FREEZE IN THE MOUNTAINS WITH TEMPERATURES DIPPING INTO 
THE 20S. FREEZING TEMPERATURES ARE ALSO EXPECTED EAST OF THE
MOUNTAINS SUNDAY NIGHT.

THE COLD OUTBREAK WILL LAST THROUGH THE WEEKEND...FOLLOWED BY
WARMING TEMPERATURES NEXT WEEK.

&&

VAZ024-312115-
ROCKBRIDGE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...LEXINGTON...BUENA VISTA
1149 AM EDT FRI OCT 31 2014

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SAT          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        CLOUDY       CLOUDY       
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      RAIN         RAIN         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     40           100          100          
MAX/MIN TEMP          55           36           46           
MIN/MAX RH %          57           97           66           
WND20FT2MIN/EARLY(MPH)LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      N  5         
WND20FT2MIN/LATE(MPH) LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      N  9G25      
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.01         0.36         0.20         
PRECIP DURATION       1            11           12           
PRECIP BEGIN          3 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL)    4820                      3810         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S  8                      N 22         
VENT RATE (MPH-FT)    38560                     83820        
DISPERSION (EVENING)               VERY POOR                 
LAL                   1            1            1            
HAINES INDEX          3            2            2            
ADI EARLY             8 POOR       29 FAIR      38 FAIR      
ADI LATE              30 FAIR      6 VERY POOR  52 GEN GOOD  
MAX LVORI EARLY       6            6            6            
MAX LVORI LATE        2            6            3            

REMARKS...NONE.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SATURDAY NIGHT AND SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF RAIN AND
SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S.
MINIMUM RH 34 PERCENT. NORTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH. 
.SUNDAY NIGHT AND MONDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S.
HIGHS IN THE MID 50S. MINIMUM RH 30 PERCENT. WEST WINDS 5 TO
10 MPH. 
.MONDAY NIGHT AND TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S.
HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S. MINIMUM RH 36 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS
5 TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY NIGHT AND WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID
40S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S. MINIMUM RH 54 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT AND THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF
SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S. MINIMUM
RH 56 PERCENT. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.

.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
TEMPERATURES ABOVE NORMAL.  PRECIPITATION NEAR NORMAL.


 

Site specific forecasts for wildfires and prescribed burns may be obtained by contacting the National Weather Service in Blacksburg, VA at (540) 552-0084 or by submitting a Spot Request over the Internet.

Note: Please review the Request Procedures before submitting a request. Certain limitations apply.