Rockbridge County Requested Product
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FNUS51 KRNK 041941
FWFRNK

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR SW VA...SE WV AND NW NC
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BLACKSBURG VA
341 PM EDT MON MAY 4 2015

.DISCUSSION...
HIGH PRESSURE WILL REMAIN CENTERED JUST OFF THE COAST OF THE CAROLINAS
THROUGH MOST OF THIS WEEK. CLOCKWISE FLOW AROUND THE HIGH WILL 
ADVECT LOW LEVEL MOISTURE INTO THE REGION. AFTERNOON ISOLATED TO
SCATTERED SHOWERS ARE EXPECTED MAINLY ACROSS THE MOUNTAINS ON
TUESDAY WITH ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS A POSSIBILITY. A BACKDOOR COLD
FRONT WILL MOVE INTO THE AREA ON WEDNESDAY AND INCREASE THE CHANCE
OF PRECIPITATION OVER THE ENTIRE AREA. AFTER A LULL WEDNESDAY NIGHT...
CHANCES WILL INCREASE AGAIN ON THURSDAY WITH THE FRONT STILL IN 
THE PROXIMITY OF THE AREA. FRIDAY INTO THE WEEKEND...CONFIDENCE ON
DETAILS IS STILL LOW...BUT A LOW PRESSURE WILL TROPICAL ORIGINS 
MAY TRACK ONSHORE THE SOUTHEAST COAST AND PROGRESS SLOWLY TOWARDS
THE AREA AND STALL. IF THIS OCCURS...SOME PARTS OF THE AREA WILL SEE
AN INCREASED CHANCE OF PRECIPITATION...WITH SOME AREAS OF HEAVY RAIN
POSSIBLE.

&&

VAZ024-050915-
ROCKBRIDGE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...LEXINGTON...BUENA VISTA
341 PM EDT MON MAY 4 2015

                      TONIGHT      TUE          TUE NIGHT    WED          

CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         TSTMS        SHOWERS      TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            30           30           40           
MIN/MAX TEMP          53           82           56           80           
MAX/MIN RH %          90           39           92           45           
WND20FT2MIN/EARLY(MPH)SW  5        W  3         LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      
WND20FT2MIN/LATE(MPH) SW  3        SW  5        LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.02         0.01         0.05         
PRECIP DURATION                    1            1            2            
PRECIP BEGIN                       1 PM         CONTINUING   11 AM        
PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   12 AM        CONTINUING   
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL)                 8150                      7680         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 10                     NE  6        
VENT RATE (MPH-FT)                 81500                     46080        
DISPERSION (EVENING)  POOR                      VERY POOR                 
LAL                   1            2            2            2            
HAINES INDEX          4            4            3            3            
ADI EARLY             64 GOOD      26 FAIR      39 FAIR      27 FAIR      
ADI LATE              2 VERY POOR  37 FAIR      1 VERY POOR  29 FAIR      
MAX LVORI EARLY       3            6            4            6            
MAX LVORI LATE        4            2            5            2            

REMARKS...NONE.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT AND THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 70S. MINIMUM RH 55 PERCENT. EAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH. 
.THURSDAY NIGHT AND FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER
50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S. MINIMUM RH 51 PERCENT. EAST WINDS
AROUND 5 MPH. 
.FRIDAY NIGHT AND SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER
50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S. MINIMUM RH 53 PERCENT. SOUTHEAST
WINDS AROUND 5 MPH. 
.SATURDAY NIGHT AND SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 60. HIGHS
AROUND 80. MINIMUM RH 52 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH. 
.SUNDAY NIGHT AND MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS AROUND 80.
MINIMUM RH 52 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.

.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
TEMPERATURES ABOVE NORMAL.  PRECIPITATION ABOVE NORMAL.


 

Site specific forecasts for wildfires and prescribed burns may be obtained by contacting the National Weather Service in Blacksburg, VA at (540) 552-0084 or by submitting a Spot Request over the Internet.

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