Amherst County Requested Product
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FNUS51 KRNK 191956
FWFRNK

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR SW VA...SE WV AND NW NC
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BLACKSBURG VA
356 PM EDT TUE AUG 19 2014

.DISCUSSION...
A WEAK FRONT WILL REMAIN OVER THE AREA INTO MID OR LATE WEEK RESULTING
IN CONTINUED HIGH MOISTURE LEVELS OVER THE NEXT FEW DAYS. WEAK UPPER
LEVEL DISTURBANCES RIDING ACROSS THE AREA WILL BRING PERIODIC ROUNDS
OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS EACH DAY INTO THE WEEKEND. VERY HEAVY 
RAINFALL WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH ANY OF THE SHOWERS AND STORMS. THIS WILL
ALSO KEEP RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES ABOVE 50 PERCENT FOR MOST AREAS DURING THE
DAY AND QUITE SATURATED AT NIGHT. COOLER AIR ARRIVES BEHIND ANOTHER 
BACKDOOR COLD FRONT LATER IN THE WEEKEND WITH SOMEWHAT DRIER
AIR POSSIBLE FOR EARLY NEXT WEEK.

VAZ035-200915-
AMHERST-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...AMHERST
356 PM EDT TUE AUG 19 2014

                      TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     50           30           30           40           
MIN/MAX TEMP          66           85           65           90           
MAX/MIN RH %          100          58           100          49           
WND20FT2MIN/EARLY(MPH)LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      
WND20FT2MIN/LATE(MPH) LGT/VAR      S  3         LGT/VAR      W  4         
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.02         0.07         0.03         0.06         
PRECIP DURATION       1            1            2            2            
PRECIP BEGIN          6 PM         9 AM         CONTINUING   7 AM         
PRECIP END            6 AM         CONTINUING   4 AM         CONTINUING   
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL)                 4810                      6130         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                S  5                      NW 10        
VENT RATE (MPH-FT)                 24050                     61300        
DISPERSION (EVENING)  VERY POOR                 VERY POOR                 
LAL                   3            3            3            3            
HAINES INDEX          3            3            3            4            
ADI EARLY             6 VERY POOR  10 POOR      9 POOR       18 GEN POOR  
ADI LATE              2 VERY POOR  14 GEN POOR  1 VERY POOR  34 FAIR      
MAX LVORI EARLY       7            9            6            10           
MAX LVORI LATE        8            3            9            2            

REMARKS...NONE.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.THURSDAY NIGHT AND FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE MID
80S. MINIMUM RH 58 PERCENT. NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH. 
.FRIDAY NIGHT AND SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 70S. MINIMUM RH 72 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY NIGHT AND SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE MID
70S. MINIMUM RH 69 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY NIGHT AND MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S.
HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S. MINIMUM RH 65 PERCENT. EAST WINDS AROUND
5 MPH. 
.MONDAY NIGHT AND TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 60S.
HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S. MINIMUM RH 63 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS
AROUND 5 MPH.

.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
TEMPERATURES NEAR NORMAL.  PRECIPITATION ABOVE NORMAL.


 

Site specific forecasts for wildfires and prescribed burns may be obtained by contacting the National Weather Service in Blacksburg, VA at (540) 552-0084 or by submitting a Spot Request over the Internet.

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