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FNUS51 KRNK 311549 AAA
FWFRNK

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR SW VA...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BLACKSBURG VA
1149 AM EDT FRI OCT 31 2014

.DISCUSSION...
FAIR WEATHER WILL PERSIST THROUGH THE FIRST HALF OF THE DAY...
THEN RAPIDLY DETERIORATE THIS EVENING AS A FAST MOVING DISTURBANCE
FROM CANADA MOVES SOUTHEAST ACROSS THE OHIO VALLEY...THEN ACROSS THE
SOUTHERN APPALACHIANS TONIGHT AND SATURDAY. 

WINTER STORM CONDITIONS ARE LIKELY IN THE HIGH COUNTRY OF NORTH 
CAROLINA...AND INTO THE HIGHER ELEVATIONS OF FAR WESTERN VIRGINIA 
IN THE VICINITY OF MOUNT ROGERS LATE TONIGHT AND SATURDAY. ELEVATIONS 
ABOVE 3000 FEET WILL SEE THE GREATEST WINTRY IMPACT AND SNOW ACCUMULATIONS.
SOME LIGHTER ACCUMULATIONS OF SNOW ARE ALSO POSSIBLE IN THE WEST 
VIRGINIA HIGHLANDS AND ALONG THE VIRGINIA-WEST VIRGINIA BORDER. 
NO SNOW ACCUMULATION IS ANTICIPATED IN THE LOWER ELEVATIONS DUE TO 
WARM SOIL TEMPERATURES.  WITH THE EXCEPTION OF THE HIGHER MOUNTAINS...
MOST OF THE AREA WILL EXPERIENCE A COLD RAIN...RAIN AMOUNTS AVERAGING A 
QUARTER /0.25/ TO THREE QUARTERS /0.75/ OF AN INCH. STRONG NORTHWEST 
WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP ON THE BACK SIDE OF THE STORM SYSTEM...
BEGINNING SATURDAY AFTERNOON AND CONTINUING INTO SUNDAY BEFORE DIMINISHING.

THE SURGE OF COLD CANADIAN AIR THIS WEEKEND WILL PRODUCE A
HARD/KILLING FREEZE IN THE MOUNTAINS WITH TEMPERATURES DIPPING INTO 
THE 20S. FREEZING TEMPERATURES ARE ALSO EXPECTED EAST OF THE
MOUNTAINS SUNDAY NIGHT.

THE COLD OUTBREAK WILL LAST THROUGH THE WEEKEND...FOLLOWED BY
WARMING TEMPERATURES NEXT WEEK.

&&

VAZ045-312115-
CAMPBELL-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...LYNCHBURG
1149 AM EDT FRI OCT 31 2014

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SAT          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        CLOUDY       CLOUDY       
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         RAIN         RAIN         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            100          100          
MAX/MIN TEMP          59           40           47           
MIN/MAX RH %          50           93           72           
WND20FT2MIN/EARLY(MPH)LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      N  6         
WND20FT2MIN/LATE(MPH) LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      N 10G25      
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.23         0.20         
PRECIP DURATION                    6            12           
PRECIP BEGIN                       6 PM         CONTINUING   
PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL)    4650                      3310         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SE  5                     N 21         
VENT RATE (MPH-FT)    23250                     69510        
DISPERSION (EVENING)               VERY POOR                 
LAL                   1            1            1            
HAINES INDEX          3            2            2            
ADI EARLY             14 GEN POOR  13 GEN POOR  41 GEN GOOD  
ADI LATE              18 GEN POOR  7 POOR       50 GEN GOOD  
MAX LVORI EARLY       6            6            6            
MAX LVORI LATE        2            5            3            

REMARKS...NONE.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SATURDAY NIGHT AND SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF RAIN
SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS AROUND 50. MINIMUM RH
33 PERCENT. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY NIGHT AND MONDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 30. HIGHS IN
THE UPPER 50S. MINIMUM RH 32 PERCENT. WEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH. 
.MONDAY NIGHT AND TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S.
HIGHS IN THE MID 60S. MINIMUM RH 39 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS
AROUND 5 MPH. 
.TUESDAY NIGHT AND WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID
40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S. MINIMUM RH 55 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS
AROUND 5 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT AND THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF
SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S. MINIMUM RH
57 PERCENT. WEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.

.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
TEMPERATURES ABOVE NORMAL.  PRECIPITATION NEAR NORMAL.


 

Site specific forecasts for wildfires and prescribed burns may be obtained by contacting the National Weather Service in Blacksburg, VA at (540) 552-0084 or by submitting a Spot Request over the Internet.

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