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FNUS51 KRNK 311904
FWFRNK

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR SW VA...SE WV AND NW NC
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BLACKSBURG VA
304 PM EDT FRI OCT 31 2014

.DISCUSSION...

A FAST-MOVING STORM WILL AFFECT THE REGION OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS OR SO
WITH RAINFALL BEGINNING IN THE WEST THIS AFTERNOON FOLLOWED BY WINTRY 
CONDITIONS IN THE HIGH COUNTRY OF NORTH CAROLINA...AND INTO THE HIGHER
ELEVATIONS OF FAR WESTERN VIRGINIA IN THE VICINITY OF MOUNT ROGERS LATE
TONIGHT AND SATURDAY. ELEVATIONS ABOVE 3000 FEET WILL SEE THE GREATEST 
WINTRY IMPACT AND SNOW ACCUMULATIONS. SOME LIGHTER ACCUMULATIONS OF SNOW
ARE ALSO POSSIBLE IN THE WEST VIRGINIA HIGHLANDS AND ALONG THE VIRGINIA-WEST
VIRGINIA BORDER. NO SNOW ACCUMULATION IS ANTICIPATED IN THE LOWER ELEVATIONS 
WHERE MOSTLY RAIN WILL OCCUR. LIQUID EQUIVALENT RAIN OR SNOW AMOUNTS WILL A 
QUARTER /0.25/ TO THREE QUARTERS /0.75/ OF AN INCH. STRONG NORTHWEST 
WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP ON THE BACK SIDE OF THE STORM SYSTEM...
BEGINNING SATURDAY AFTERNOON AND CONTINUING INTO EARLY SUNDAY BEFORE 
DIMINISHING.

THE SURGE OF COLD CANADIAN AIR THIS WEEKEND WILL PRODUCE A HARD/KILLING 
FREEZE IN THE MOUNTAINS WITH TEMPERATURES DIPPING INTO THE 20S. 
FREEZING TEMPERATURES ARE ALSO EXPECTED EAST OF THE MOUNTAINS SUNDAY NIGHT.

WARMER TEMPERATURES AND DRY WEATHER IS EXPECTED THE FIRST HALF OF NEXT WEEK.

&&

VAZ059-010930-
CHARLOTTE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...KEYSVILLE
304 PM EDT FRI OCT 31 2014

                      TONIGHT      SAT          SAT NIGHT    SUN          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        CLOUDY       PCLDY        MCLEAR       
PRECIP TYPE           RAIN         RAIN         SHOWERS      NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     90           100          50           0            
MIN/MAX TEMP          40           48           34           52           
MAX/MIN RH %          96           73           87           31           
WND20FT2MIN/EARLY(MPH)LGT/VAR      N  6         N 11G26      NW  7G17     
WND20FT2MIN/LATE(MPH) LGT/VAR      N 10G26      NW  9G19     NW  9G17     
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.13         0.18         0.01         0.00         
PRECIP DURATION       5            12           2                         
PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING                
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   2 AM                      
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL)                 3350                      4270         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                N 22                      NW 18        
VENT RATE (MPH-FT)                 73700                     76860        
DISPERSION (EVENING)  VERY POOR                 GOOD                      
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
HAINES INDEX          2            2            3            4            
ADI EARLY             9 POOR       49 GEN GOOD  47 GEN GOOD  59 GEN GOOD  
ADI LATE              4 VERY POOR  65 GOOD      11 POOR      73 GOOD      
MAX LVORI EARLY       6            6            4            4            
MAX LVORI LATE        6            3            4            1            

REMARKS...NONE.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SUNDAY NIGHT AND MONDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 30. HIGHS IN
THE UPPER 50S. MINIMUM RH 32 PERCENT. WEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH. 
.MONDAY NIGHT AND TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S.
HIGHS IN THE MID 60S. MINIMUM RH 39 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS
AROUND 5 MPH. 
.TUESDAY NIGHT AND WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID
40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S. MINIMUM RH 55 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST
WINDS AROUND 5 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT AND THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF
SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S. MINIMUM RH
60 PERCENT. WEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH. 
.THURSDAY NIGHT AND FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S.
HIGHS IN THE MID 60S. MINIMUM RH 81 PERCENT. WEST WINDS AROUND
5 MPH.

.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
TEMPERATURES ABOVE NORMAL.  PRECIPITATION NEAR NORMAL.


 

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