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FNUS51 KRNK 311549 AAA
FWFRNK

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR SW VA...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BLACKSBURG VA
1149 AM EDT FRI OCT 31 2014

.DISCUSSION...
FAIR WEATHER WILL PERSIST THROUGH THE FIRST HALF OF THE DAY...
THEN RAPIDLY DETERIORATE THIS EVENING AS A FAST MOVING DISTURBANCE
FROM CANADA MOVES SOUTHEAST ACROSS THE OHIO VALLEY...THEN ACROSS THE
SOUTHERN APPALACHIANS TONIGHT AND SATURDAY. 

WINTER STORM CONDITIONS ARE LIKELY IN THE HIGH COUNTRY OF NORTH 
CAROLINA...AND INTO THE HIGHER ELEVATIONS OF FAR WESTERN VIRGINIA 
IN THE VICINITY OF MOUNT ROGERS LATE TONIGHT AND SATURDAY. ELEVATIONS 
ABOVE 3000 FEET WILL SEE THE GREATEST WINTRY IMPACT AND SNOW ACCUMULATIONS.
SOME LIGHTER ACCUMULATIONS OF SNOW ARE ALSO POSSIBLE IN THE WEST 
VIRGINIA HIGHLANDS AND ALONG THE VIRGINIA-WEST VIRGINIA BORDER. 
NO SNOW ACCUMULATION IS ANTICIPATED IN THE LOWER ELEVATIONS DUE TO 
WARM SOIL TEMPERATURES.  WITH THE EXCEPTION OF THE HIGHER MOUNTAINS...
MOST OF THE AREA WILL EXPERIENCE A COLD RAIN...RAIN AMOUNTS AVERAGING A 
QUARTER /0.25/ TO THREE QUARTERS /0.75/ OF AN INCH. STRONG NORTHWEST 
WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP ON THE BACK SIDE OF THE STORM SYSTEM...
BEGINNING SATURDAY AFTERNOON AND CONTINUING INTO SUNDAY BEFORE DIMINISHING.

THE SURGE OF COLD CANADIAN AIR THIS WEEKEND WILL PRODUCE A
HARD/KILLING FREEZE IN THE MOUNTAINS WITH TEMPERATURES DIPPING INTO 
THE 20S. FREEZING TEMPERATURES ARE ALSO EXPECTED EAST OF THE
MOUNTAINS SUNDAY NIGHT.

THE COLD OUTBREAK WILL LAST THROUGH THE WEEKEND...FOLLOWED BY
WARMING TEMPERATURES NEXT WEEK.

&&

WVZ043-312115-
SUMMERS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...HINTON...HIX
1149 AM EDT FRI OCT 31 2014

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SAT          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        CLOUDY       CLOUDY       
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SNOW/RAIN    SNOW/RAIN    
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     70           100          100          
MAX/MIN TEMP          52           31           40           
MIN/MAX RH %          62           100          79           
WND20FT2MIN/EARLY(MPH)LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      NW  7        
WND20FT2MIN/LATE(MPH) LGT/VAR      NW  4        NW 10G25     
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.06         0.28         0.22         
PRECIP DURATION       2            12           12           
PRECIP BEGIN          11 AM        CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL)    4760                      2910         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W  5                      N 31         
VENT RATE (MPH-FT)    23800                     90210        
DISPERSION (EVENING)               VERY POOR                 
LAL                   1            1            1            
HAINES INDEX          3            2            2            
ADI EARLY             7 POOR       13 GEN POOR  24 FAIR      
ADI LATE              15 GEN POOR  14 GEN POOR  63 GOOD      
MAX LVORI EARLY       6            8            5            
MAX LVORI LATE        3            8            4            

REMARKS...NONE.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SATURDAY NIGHT AND SUNDAY...SNOW SHOWERS LIKELY AND RAIN
SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 40S. MINIMUM
RH 55 PERCENT. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY NIGHT AND MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. WARMER. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S. MINIMUM RH 34 PERCENT.
SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY NIGHT AND TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S.
HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S. MINIMUM RH 40 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO
10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY NIGHT AND WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID
40S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S. MINIMUM RH 61 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT AND THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF
SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S. MINIMUM RH
66 PERCENT. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.

.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
TEMPERATURES ABOVE NORMAL.  PRECIPITATION NEAR NORMAL.


 

Site specific forecasts for wildfires and prescribed burns may be obtained by contacting the National Weather Service in Blacksburg, VA at (540) 552-0084 or by submitting a Spot Request over the Internet.

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