EXPERIMENTAL...FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR VA NATL FORESTS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BLACKSBURG VA
953 AM EDT Sat May 18 2013

.DISCUSSION...

A FRONT EXTENDED FROM CENTRAL OHIO INTO NORTHEAST NORTH CAROLINA
THIS MORNING. THIS FRONT WILL DRIFT SOUTHEAST AND REMAIN ACROSS
THE MID ATLANTIC REGION THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT. THIS WILL RESULT
IN PERIODS OF MODERATE TO HEAVY RAIN THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH SUNDAY
NIGHT. THE INCREASED CLOUD COVER AND RAINFALL WILL KEEP HUMIDITY 
LEVELS VERY HIGH ACROSS THE REGION INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK...LEADING 
TO A LOW FIRE WEATHER THREAT OVER THE NEXT FEW DAYS.

BY TUESDAY LOW PRESSURE OVER THE MISSISSIPPI VALLEY WILL PUSH THE 
FRONT NORTH OUT OF THE REGION. ON FRIDAY A COLD FRONT WILL APPROACH
THE AREA.

VAZ023-024-035-182100-
JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST EAST ZONE-
INCLUDING...DEERFIELD...GLENWOOD...PEDLAR
953 AM EDT SAT MAY 18 2013

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SUN          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        CLOUDY       MCLDY        
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     70           90           80           
MAX/MIN TEMP          71           58           75           
MIN/MAX RH %          69           95           62           
WND20FT2MIN/EARLY(MPH)LGT/VAR      E  5         LGT/VAR      
WND20FT2MIN/LATE(MPH) LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.27         0.63         0.69         
PRECIP DURATION       4            11           8            
PRECIP BEGIN          6 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL)    4960                      4820         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SE  8                     S  8         
VENT RATE (MPH-FT)    39680                     38560        
DISPERSION (EVENING)               POOR                      
LAL                   4            5            4            
HAINES INDEX          3            3            3            
ADI EARLY             13 GEN POOR  33 FAIR      11 POOR      
ADI LATE              29 FAIR      8 POOR       18 GEN POOR  
MAX LVORI EARLY       8            4            7            
MAX LVORI LATE        4            6            4            

REMARKS...NONE.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SUNDAY NIGHT AND MONDAY...SHOWERS WITH THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY.
LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S. MINIMUM RH
61 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY NIGHT AND TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S.
HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S. MINIMUM RH 51 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS
5 TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY NIGHT AND WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S.
MINIMUM RH 54 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT AND THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 70S. MINIMUM RH 60 PERCENT. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY NIGHT AND FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF SHOWERS.
LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S. MINIMUM RH
52 PERCENT. NORTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH. 

$$

.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
TEMPERATURES NEAR NORMAL.  PRECIPITATION ABOVE NORMAL.

$$