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Mesoscale Discussion #0454 issued at 1616 UTC on 16 April 2011
MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0454
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1116 AM CDT SAT APR 16 2011
  
AREAS AFFECTED...ERN NC
   
CONCERNING...OUTLOOK UPGRADE 
   
VALID 161616Z - 161715Z
   
AN UPGRADE TO HIGH RISK FOR THE 1630Z CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK UPDATE IS
FORTHCOMING FOR ERN NC.  THE COMBINATION OF VERY STRONG
SHEAR/MODERATE INSTABILITY...INCREASING LOW LEVEL MOISTURE...AND
LARGE SCALE ASCENT ACROSS THE REGION THIS AFTERNOON/EVENING LENDS
CONFIDENCE IN THE FORECAST FOR AN OUTBREAK OF SEVERE STORMS CAPABLE
OF PRODUCING SIGNIFICANT TORNADOES.
   
..SMITH.. 04/16/2011
   
  
ATTN...WFO...AKQ...MHX...RAH...ILM...




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