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Mesoscale Discussion #0014 issued at 2255 UTC 11 Jan 2012
MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0014
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0455 PM CST WED JAN 11 2012
   
AREAS AFFECTED...FAR NRN SC INTO PARTS OF NC
   
CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH POSSIBLE 
   
VALID 112255Z - 112330Z
   
A POTENTIAL FOR STRONG TO ISOLATED SEVERE STORMS EXISTS ACROSS
MAINLY WRN/CENTRAL NC AND FAR NRN SC INTO THIS EVENING.  WW ISSUANCE
IS POSSIBLE.  HOWEVER...THE OVERALL LIMITING FACTOR FOR ISSUANCE AT
THIS MOMENT IS THE AVAILABILITY OF WEAK INSTABILITY AND TIME OF DAY
WITH LOSS OF DAYTIME HEATING.  THIS REGION WILL REMAIN MONITORED FOR
A POTENTIAL WATCH ISSUANCE.
   
A SMALL WARM SECTOR...CURRENTLY MOVING INTO WRN/CENTRAL NC IN
VICINITY AND N OF CLT...WILL CONTINUE TO SPREAD NEWD THIS EVENING. 
DESPITE THE TIME OF DAY /WITH THE LOSS OF DAYTIME HEATING/...
DESTABILIZATION IN THE WARM SECTOR COMBINED WITH STRONG DPVA
ATTENDANT TO A COMPACT/VIGOROUS SHORTWAVE TROUGH NOW MOVING ENEWD
INTO THE WRN CAROLINAS WILL PROVE SUFFICIENT FOR ADDITIONAL STRONGER
UPDRAFTS.  LOW LEVEL CONVERGENCE/ENHANCED HODOGRAPH CURVATURE INVOF
A TRIPLE POINT NOW INVOF THE NC COUNTIES OF RUTHERFORD/
CLEVELAND/BURKE WILL FURTHER PROVIDE FAVORABLE SUPPORT FOR STORM
DEVELOPMENT AND ROTATION AS THE TRIPLE POINT TRACKS NEWD.
   
..PETERS.. 01/11/2012
   
   
ATTN...WFO...RAH...ILM...RNK...CAE...GSP...
   
LAT...LON   34768087 35138176 35788189 36288103 36237977 35987871
            35377849 34727893 34667956 34768087 



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