TTAA00 KRDU 121944 STATE FORECAST DISCUSSION NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RALEIGH/DURHAM, NC 230 PM EST FRI MAR 12 1993 WL NOT BE DISCUSSING ALL THE RAMIFICATIONS OF THE FCSTS BUT WL SAY THAT THE FCSTS WL BE MODELLED AFT THE AVN AS THE NGM IS MOVING THE LO TOO FAR TO THE W. THIS WL KEEP THE MTNS IN A SNOW FCST WITH NO CHG OVR. ALSO HVIEST RAINS WL BE FURTHER E PUTTING CNTRL ZONES IN A FFA. WL BE PUTIING OUT A BLIZZARD WRNG FOR NRN MTNS AND THIS MAY HAVE TO BE XTNDED FURTHER S THRU THE MTNS LATER TNGT AS CONDITIONS UNFOLD. STORM WARNGS CST AND MAY NEED HI WND WRNG SAT. GALE WARNINGS CST.SVR WEA TRHEAT ERN SAT MAY BE MARGINAL. NC...BLIZZARD WARNING TNGT AND SAT ZONE 9 WINTER STORM WARNINGS ZONES TNGT AND SAT ZONE 10,11,12 WINTER WEA ADVISORY TNGT ZONE 6 WINTER WEA ADVISORY TNGT AND SAT ZONE 7,13 FLASH FLOOD WATCH SAT ZONES 3,5,4,14,15 COASTAL FLOOD WATCH TNGT AND SAT STORM WARNING COAST GALE WARNINGS SOUNDS TTAA00 KRDU 130351 STATE FORECAST DISCUSSION NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RALEIGH/DURHAM, NC 1038 PM EST FRI MAR 12 1993 TWO CHGS...ADDED WRN PTNS OF ZN 8 TO WINTER WX ADVSY TNGT. GSO 00Z THKNS STILL SUPPORTS SNW AS FCST WHILE THERMAL ADVECTION PATTERN SUPPORTS MODELS INCRSG THKNS LATER TNGT. EXPECT SNW/RAIN LINE TO GRADUALLY BACK TWDS W TNGT AS GULF LOW BRINGS WRM AIR. JUST NO SOURCE OF CONT LOW LVL CAA E OF MTNS FROM WEAK SFC HI TO N. NC SELDOM SEES ACCMUS E OF MTNS WITH WRAP ARND. BUT AVN DOES PROG CONSIDERABLE WRAP ARND INTO NC SAT WITH NW CAA WNDS. SO WL CONT ADVSY FOR ZN 6 SAT...EXPECTING SNW/RAIN LINE TO AGAIN ADV E BUT ONLY AFT PCPN TAPERS OFF. NC...BLIZZARD WARNING TNGT AND SAT ZONE 9 WINTER STORM WARNINGS ZONES TNGT AND SAT ZONE 10,11,12 WINTER WEA ADVISORY TNGT WRN PTNS OF ZONE 8 WINTER WEA ADVISORY TNGT AND SAT ZONE 6,7,13 FLASH FLOOD WATCH SAT ZONES 3,5,4,14,15 COASTAL FLOOD WATCH TNGT AND SAT STORM WARNING COAST GALE WARNINGS SOUNDS KK TTAA00 KRDU 130901 STATE FORECAST DISCUSSION NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RALEIGH/DURHAM, NC 356 AM EST SAT MAR 13 1993 LOW PRESS OVR THE FL PANHANDLE WILL CONT TO DEEPEN... IT WILL MOVE NE ACROSS THE STATE TDY AND CONT TO NEW ENGLAND. WINDS WILL INCREASE OVR THE STATE...SNOW WILL CONT IN THE MTNS AND WRN PTN TDY...WITH MOSTLY RAIN ELSEWHEERE. ONE FLY IN THE FCST IS THE THREAT OF WRAP AROUND MOISTURE OVR THE W AND ACROSS THE N TNGT. WILL HAVE POPS IN THE MTNS AND ACROSS THE N TNGT...WILL NOT MENTION ANY ACCUMULATION AT THE PRESENT TIME. WILL UPGRD CSTL FLD WATCH TO A WARNING... WILL ISSUE HIGH WIND WATCH FOR ALL ZONES E OF THE MTNS WHERE STORM OR GALE WARNINGS ARE NOT MENTIONED. WILL KEEP UP FLASH FLD WATCH... WILL HAVE BLIZZARD WARNING OVR ALL OF THE MTNS. TEMPS VARY FROM MODEL TO MODEL... WILL GO WITH CURR FCST TEMPS. . .NC...BLIZZARD WARNING TDY FOR ZONES 9,10,11,12, WINTER WEA ADVISORY TDY FOR WRN PTNS OF ZONE 8 WINTER WEA ADVISORY TDY FOR ZONES 6,7,13 FLASH FLOOD WATCH TDY FOR ZONES 3,5,4,14,15 COASTAL FLOOD WARNING FOR ZONES 1, 16 STORM WARNING COAST GALE WARNINGS SOUNDS HIGH WIND WATCH FOR ZONES 3,4,5,6,7,8,9,19,11,12,13,14,15, TTAA00 KRDU 131510 COR STATE FORECAST DISCUSSION CORRECTED NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RALEIGH/DURHAM, NC 1009 AM EST SAT MAR 13 1993 SFC LO PRES MOVG INTO SE SC ATTM AND LOOKS AS THO IT MAY BE TRACKING A LTL FARTHER E THAN ERLY THOUGHT. ALSO SEEING SNW SPRDG EWD ACRS GA AND INTO UPSTATE SC. WILL MAKE THE FOLLOWING CHGS TO WRNINGS...ETC. WILL ISSUE STORM WRNGS FOR SOUNDS AND HAVE STORM WRNINGS IN ALL OF CSTL ZNS. WILL GO WITH HIGH WND WRNGS ACRS CSTL PLN...NE PIED AND SANDHILLS. FEEL WE NEED HI WND FOR FOOTHILLS AND WRN PIED BUT WITH WINTER WX MENTIONED WILL EQUATE THIS INTO BLIZZARD WRNGS FOR ZNS 6 AND 8 WWD TO INCLD ALL OF WRN PIED OF STA. WILL KEEP FLASH FLOOD WATCH CSTL PLN NE PIED AND SANDHILLS. BLIZZARD WILL IMPLY WNDS OVR 35 MPH AND VSBY LWRG TO 1/4 MI OR LESS IN SNW. THIS MAY TAKE AWHILE TO TAKE PLACE BUT FEEL IT WILL COME INTO AREA AS AFTN PROGRESSES. WILL WORD THE WRN PIED AS MIXED WINTER PCPN CHGG TO SNW. WRAP AROUND MOISTURE WILL LKLY KEEP SNW GOING INTO TNGT OVR WRN HALF AND GRDLY PREGRESSING INTO N-CNTRL AND MAYBE EVEN INTO NE PTN OF STA OVRNGT. BLOWING AND DRIFTING SNW WILL BE MENTIONED IN MTNS. TEMPS HOLDING IN THE 20S MTNS 30S W AND RNGING TO 60S AT THE CST. WILL MENTION TSTMS ACRS THE STA THIS AFTN. .NC...BLIZZARD WARNING ZONES 6,7,8,13,9,10,11,12 FLASH FLOOD WATCH TDY FOR ZONES 3,5,4,14,15 COASTAL FLOOD WARNING FOR ZONES 1, 16 STORM WARNING 1,2,17,16 HIGH WIND WARNINGS FOR ZONES 3,4,5,14,15, CORRECTION IS SAY WILL MENTION TSTMS STAWIDE THIS AFTN. TTAA00 KRDU 132014 STATE FORECAST DISCUSSION NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RALEIGH/DURHAM, NC 313 PM EST SAT MAR 13 1993 THE MONSTER WAS CNTRD JUST N OF RWI ON RDU ANAL AT 19Z. COLD AIR HAS WRAPPED ARND INTO CNTRL AND SRN CST AREAS. SNW LN GRDLY ADVANCING EWD INTO CNTRL PTN OF STA. AREA OF MODERATE SNW CONFINED TO SRN PIED INTO UPSTA SC. THIS APPEARS TO BE LIFTING N ON SAT PIX. PLAN TO KEEP THE WRNINGS AS IS EXCEPT WILL DROP THE CSTL FLOOD ALG CST. WNDS BEGINNING TO FAVOR MORE SW AND EVENTUALLY W. THIS WILL HOWEVER PRESENT A PRBLM WITH SOUND SIDE FLOODING LATER TONIGHT AND INTO SUN. WILL INTRO WINTER WX ADVSY INTO SANDHILLS AND CNTRL AND NRN PIED WITH PSBLY OF AN INCH OR TWO TNGT. PCPN SHLD TAPER OFF WITH TIME BUT STILL LOTS OVR WRAP AROUND MOISTURE WITH SYS. ACCUMULATIONS SHLD BE DIMINISHED LATER TNGT ACRS THE W. HOPEFULLY BALANCE OF FCST WILL BE MORE STRAIGHT FORWARD AS SYS CONTS TO PULL AWAY. SFC HI PRES SHLD BE OVER US BY MON. PRETTY COLD TEMPS FOR THIS TIME OF YR. FPC STILL HAVING ITS PRBLMS SO WILL TEND TO FAVOR FWC VALUES. .NC...BLIZZARD WARNING ZONES 6,7,8,13,9,10,11,12 STORM WARNINGS 1,2,17,16 HIGH WIND WARNINGS 3,4,5,14,15 WINTER WX ADVISORY FOR ZNS 3,5,14 FOR TNGT. TTAA00 KRDU 140256 STATE FORECAST DISCUSSION NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RALEIGH/DURHAM, NC 940 PM EST SAT MAR 13 1993 STRM CTR IS NOW OVR DELMRVA MVG RPDLY NEWD. 00Z DAT SHOWS BASE OF TROF ALOFT SWINGING THRU GA AND SHUD BE PASSG OFF NC CST BY DABRK SUN. 90KT+ GEOSTRPHC WND MAX STILL ACRS WRN NC AND EDGING EWD PORTENDS OF CONTD THREAT OF DMGING WND GUSTS OVR NC THRU RMNDR OF TNGT...ESP IN AREAS HAVING ACCUM OF SNOW AND ICE ON TREES AND PWR LNS. THRFR...HI WND WRNG WL RMN IN EFFECT E OF MTNS AND IS IMPLIED WITH BLIZZARD CONDS OVR MTNS. CONTD OROGRAPHIC SNOWFALL OVR MTNS COMBINED WITH CONSIDERABLE BLOWING AND DRIFTING SHUD KEEP BLIZZARD CONDS FOR NXT SVRL HRS OVR ZNS 9/10/11/12. E OF MTNS...AREAS OF STEADY LGT-MDT SNO HAVE TAPERED OFF IN ALL PORTIONS OF NE PDMT AND NRN CSTL PLN AS EVIDENCED ON RADAR. SAT IMAGERY SUGGEST SCT LGT SNO SHWRS MAY BE OCCURRING ELSW E OF MTNS BUT WITH LTL OR NO ADDTL ACCUM XPCTD. DANGEROUS WND CHILL...ESP THIS LATE IN SEASON...WL BE HIGHLIGHTED WITH THE WNTR WX ADV NOW IN EFFECT IN AREAS E OF MTNS.WND CHILL READINGS DOWN TO MINUS 20 ARE PSBL. ALG THE CST...STRM WARNG WL CONT OVR THE CSTL WATERS AND SOUNDS AND SOUND SIDE FLOODING WILL ALSO CONT ALG THE OUTER BANKS THRU DABRK SUN. .NC...BLIZZARD WARNING ZONES 9/10/11/12 STORM WARNINGS ZONES 1/2/16/17 HIGH WIND WARNINGS ZONES 3/4/5/6/7/8/13/14/15 WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY/DANGEROUS WIND CHILL ZONES 3/5/6/7/8/13/14 RFG TTAA00 KRDU 140858 STATE FORECAST DISCUSSION NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RALEIGH/DURHAM, NC 357 AM EST SUN MAR 14 1993 LOW PRESS SYS WHICH BROUGHT A VARIETY OF WEA TO THE TAR HEEL STATE SAT WILL CONT TO MOVE NE. HI PRESS CNTRD OVR THE S CNTRL U.S. WILL BUILD INTO THE STATE FRON THE W. WITH THE LOW PRESS SYS TAKING THE PCPN WITH IT... WINDS OVR MOST OF THE STATE WILL DIMINISH... WILL HAVE WINDY IN ALL INLD ZONES FOR TDY. SKIES WILL BE PTLY CLDY. WILL HAVE SOME MRNG SNOW IN THE MTNS. WITH THE SNOW CVR TEMPS WILL BE TRICKY IN THE W. WILL GO WITH THE CURR FCST TEMPS SINCE THEY ARE A LTL LWR THAN GUID. WITH THE HI CNTRD OVR THE STATE TNGT... WE WILL BE VERY COLD WITH RECORD LOWS. WILL DROP ALL WRNGS/ADVYS OVR INLD SEC. WILL KEEP STORM WRNG ALG THE CST... AND CHG STORM TO GALES OVR THE SNDS. . TALKED TO HAT VIA HAM NETWORK... THEY ARE UP ON AFOS... HOWEVER THEY CAN NOT GET INTO THE SYSTEM DUE TO THE PHONE/ COMMUNICATION LINES BEIN CONTAIMINATED BY SALT WATER. I WILL BE TALKING WITH THEM ARND 425 AM IF YOU WISH ME TO PASS ANYTHING ON TO THEM. ANY COMMENTS ABT THE FCST ASAP. RHJ .NC...STORMS WARNING ALG THE CSTL WATERS. GALE WARNING OVR THE ALBEMARLE AND PAMLICO SNDS. TTAA00 KCAE 122024 STATE FORECAST DISCUSSION NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE COLUMBIA SC 320 PM EST FRI MAR 12 1993 TOUGH FORECAST AS MODLS DIVERGE BEYOND 12 HRS. WL COMPROMISE AVN AND NGM WHICH TAKES LOW SLGTLY INLAND SAT MRNG. TEMPS A PROBLEM BUT XPC NGM THE BEST WITH SOME COMPROMISE. WL HOLD ONTO WINTER STORM WARNING MTNS. WL CHG TO ADVISORY ZNS 2-4. UP TO 6 INCHES SNOW MTNS TAPERING TO 1 TO 2 INCHES FOOTHILLS AND PIEDMONT. .SC...WARNINGS...WINTER STORM WARNING MTNS TNGT AND SAT. GALE CSTL WATERS. WATCHES...NONE ADVISORIES...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY FOOTHILLS AND PIEDMONT TNGT AND SAT. WIND ADVISORY LATE TNGT AND SAT. CHARNICK TTAA00 KCAE 130826 STATE FORECAST DISCUSSION NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE COLUMBIA, SC 318 AM EST SAT MAR 13 1993 WL CONT WITH PREV FCST...XCP WL PUT UP HI WND WARNING FOR TDA AS WNDS SHD BCM WLY THIS AFTN AND INCRS AS VRY STG LO CONTS TO DPN AND MOV NE. WL ALSO GO TO STORM WARNINGS ALG THE CST FOR 45/60 KTS AND PUT UP A COASTAL FLOOD WARNING. WNDS ALG THE CST SHD BE ELY/SELY AHD OF LO WITH SPDS 25 TO 40 KTS WLD EXPECT MOD BEACH EROSION AND SM FLDG AS WNDS INCRS. WL ALSO INCLUDE POSSBL SVR TSTMS ERN HALF ERLY. TEMPS SHD FALL THIS AFTN AS LO MOVS NWD AND VRY CD AMS RUSHES IN. .SC...WARNINGS...WINTER STORM WARNING SC 1..2..3..4 TDA. STORM COASTAL WATERS. COASTAL FLOOD THIS MORNING. HIGH WIND WARNING ENTIRE STATE TODAY WATCHES...NONE ADVISORIES...WINTER WEATHER SC..5..6 TDA. TTAA00 KCAE 131600 STATE FORECAST DISCUSSION NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE COLUMBIA SC 1100 AM EST SAT MAR 13 1993 INTENSE LOW PRES NR CAE AT 15Z MOVG NNE. SNOW SPRDG EWD OVR WRN SC. RAISED SNOW AMTS MTNS 12-16 INCHES...4-12 INCHES FOOTHILLS. KEPT WRNGS AND ADVISORIES ABT THE SAME. CHANGED CSTL FLOOD WRNG TO N CST THRU ERY AFTN AS WNDS BCM MORE SWLY. .SC...WARNINGS...WINTER STORM WARNING SC 1..2..3..4 TDA. STORM COASTAL WATERS. COASTAL FLOOD N CST THUR ERY AFTN. HIGH WIND WARNING ENTIRE STATE TODAY WATCHES...NONE ADVISORIES...WINTER WEATHER SC..5..6 TDA. CHARNICK TTAA00 KCAE 132018 STATE FORECAST DISCUSSION NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE COLUMBIA SC 310 PM EST SAT MAR 13 1993 INTENSE LOW PRES OVR CNTRL NC MOVG NNE. WL CONT WRNGS PRETTY MUCH AS IS THRU EVE UNTIL WNDS DCRS AND PRECIP DIMINISHES. SNOW DIMINISHING THIS EVE WITH FLURRIES ENDING LATE. COLD HIGH PRES BLDG INTO STATE SUN THRU MON. .SC...WARNINGS...WINTER STORM WRNG MTNS..FOOTHILLS..PIEDMONT THRU EVE. STORM WRNG COASTAL WATERS. HARD FREEZE WRNG PIEDMONT AND MIDLANDS TNGT FREEZE WRNG COAST TNGT HIGH WIND WRNG ENTIRE STATE THRU EVE. WATCHES...NONE ADVISORIES...WINTER WEATHER MIDLANDS THRU EVE. CHARNICK TTAA00 KCAE 140215 STATE FORECAST DISCUSSION NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE COLUMBIA, SC 909 PM EST SAT MAR 13 1993 LO CNTR OFF VA CST MOVG NEWD AND PCPN ENDG OVR THE STA. STRG W WNDS WL CONT PAST EVE HRS AND HV EXTND HI WND WRNG FOR THE RMDR OF TNGT. WL ISSUE SPS SHORTLY TO END WNTR STORM WRNG AND WTR WX ADVY. .SC...WRNGS...STORM WRNG COASTAL WATERS HARD FREEZE WRNG PIEDMONT AND MIDLANDS TNGT FREEZE WRNG COAST TNGT HIGH WIND WRNG ENTIRE STATE FOR TNGT. WTCHS...NONE ADVYS...NONE. TTAA00 KCAE 140810 STATE FORECAST DISCUSSION NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE COLUMBIA, SC 250 AM EST SUN MAR 14 1993 VRY STG LOW CONTS TO MOV AWAY FM THE SE AND GRADS WL CONT TO WKN. PLN TO REPLACE HI WND WRNG WITH WND ADVISORY FOR 20/30 MPH (15/25KTS) AND DCRSG TO 15 THIS AFTN. SM REPORTS MUCH BLO THESE VALUES BUT SHD PICK UP SM LATR THIS MRNG. PLN TO LWR STM TO GALE 25/40 AND GUSTY DECRSG TO 15/25 THIS AFTN. WL ISSUE A NEW FROST/FREEZE WRNG FOR MON MRNG WITH TEMPS 15/20 INTERIOR AND 20-24 ALG CST. OTRW WLD XPCT MS TDA/MON WITH CLR TNGT. WITH SM SNOW COVR WL KP TEMPS IN THE LOWER/MID 30S WEST AND ARND 40 EAST TDA AND WARM SM TUE. .SC...WRNGS...GALE SC CSTL WATERS. FROST/FREEZ SC 3.4.5.6.7.8 TONIGHT. WTCHS...NONE ADVYS...WIND ADVISORY TDA ENTIRE STATE.