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2008 Atlantic Hurricane Season Predictions
The 2008 Hurricane Season is just around the corner...June first to be exact and as usual ...there are no shortage of long range forecasts of just how active the season will be. Below are two summaries of the most recent forecasts from Colorado State University and Tropical Storm Risk Inc. The official forecast from The Climate Prediction Center will be released in a few weeks.
April 2008
Colorado State University
Dr. Bill Gray and Phil Klotzbach of Colorado State University (CSU) have updated their initial forecast... which was issued in December. The latest forecast calls for:
15 Named Storms
8 Hurricanes
4 Intense Hurricanes(Category 3 or greater)

These numbers represent an increase from the December forecast of 13 named storms...7 hurricanes and 3 intense hurricanes. The latest forecast also calls for an above average chance of a major hurricane hitting the east coast...45 percent. The average chance is 31 percent.
Tropical Storm Risk Inc.
Tropical Storm Risk is a British private forecasting firm. Their latest forecast is as follows:
14.8 Named Storms
7.8 Hurricanes
3.5 Intense Hurricanes(Category 3 or greater)

These numbers represent a slight decrease from their December forecast of 15.4 named storms...8.3 hurricanes and 3.7 intense hurricanes. They also predict four named storms with 1.7 of these being hurricanes.
An Average Year
Numbers during an average year:
10.3 Named Storms
6.2 Hurricanes
2.7 Intense Hurricanes(Category 3 or greater)

National Weather Service
Weather Forecast Office, Wilmington NC
2015 Gardner Drive
Wilmington, NC 28405
(910) 762-4289


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Page Last Modified: April 13, 2008