October 10, 2012 - October has begun with variable amounts of rainfall. The wettest areas have been from northern New Jersey southwest though southeast Pennsylvania where rain has been 1/2 to over 1 inch above normal. Elsewhere in Pennsylvania, New Jersey, and south-central New York, rain has been near or below normal. Over the past 90 day period, rainfall has ranged from near normal to 2 or 3 inches above normal. The wettest areas have been south-central Pennsylvania as well as the Catskill and Pocono Mountain areas where rainfall has been 3 to 7 inches above normal.

Current (October 10) streamflow data from the U.S. Geological Survey shows that streamflows are normal or above normal in southern New York, Pennsylvania, and in New Jersey. Groundwater levels are also normal or above normal.

The weather outlook through the next couple of weeks calls for near or below normal rainfall and temperatures in the short term with above normal rainfall and temperatures expected afterwards. The Climate Prediction Center's 30 day outlook for October calls for above average precipitation along with below average temperatures. The 90 day outlook for October through December calls for near average precipitation along with above average temperatures.

The outlook for water resources for the next several weeks and through the remainder of the year looks good to very good. We are heading deeper into the autumn season and vegetation is gradually becoming dormant. The water recharge season has begun or will begin soon with water supplies and resources in very good shape for the northern portion of the MARFC service area. The only exception to this is in much of central and southern New Jersey where rainfall over the past month has tended to miss these spots. The overall trend of near or above normal precipitation is expected to continue, even for New Jersey. So, current water supplies and resources are likely to continue to increase over the next several weeks.

In summary, the northern portion of the MARFC service area has sufficient to abundant water resources and water supplies. We can expect these water resources to remain stable or increase in the upcoming weeks and months. With near or above normal rainfall expected to continue, water resources should remain sufficient or abundant and no water shortages are expected in the near term and, quite likely, for the rest of 2012.

End.