November 7, 2012 - October rainfall was generally about normal or an inch or two above normal in south-central New York, the northern half of Pennsylvania, and the northern two thirds of New Jersey. In the southern half of Pennsylvania and southern New Jersey, precipitation, thanks largely to rain from "Sandy," was 2 to over 7 inches above normal. Temperatures in October were 1 to nearly 3 degrees above normal. Little precipitation has fallen so far in November. Over the past 90 day period, precipitation has been near normal in northeast New Jersey and 1 to 3 inches above normal elsewhere. The exception is in the southern portions of Pennsylvania and far southern New Jersey where precipitation has been 4 to 9 inches above normal.

Current (November 7) streamflow data from the U.S. Geological Survey shows that streamflows are near or above normal. Groundwater levels are above or much above normal.

The weather outlook for the next couple of weeks calls for near or above average precipitation. Temperatures should be near or below normal early in the period, but then warm to above normal levels. The Climate Prediction Center's 30 day outlook for November as well as the 90 day outlook for November, 2012 through January, 2013 calls for near average precipitation and temperatures.

The outlook for water resources for the next several weeks and into early 2013 looks very good. As we head deeper into the autumn season, evapo-transpiration has become fairly minimal likely ensuring that abundant water resources will continue for the next several months. Only an extended period of dry weather (below or much below average precipitation) of at least several weeks would reverse this trend. With near or above normal precipitation expected to continue, water supplies and resources are also likely to continue to increase over the next several weeks and months.

In summary, the northern portion of the MARFC service area has abundant water resources and water supplies. These water resources are likely to increase in the upcoming weeks and months. With near or above normal rainfall expected to continue, water resources should remain abundant and no water shortages are expected at least through the early parts of 2013.

End.