December 13, 2012 - As we approach the middle of December, monthly precipitation has varied quite a bit. A few wet areas in south-central New York, north-central Pennsylvania and far southern New Jersey show that amounts have been around an inch above normal. On the other hand, a dry area in the southern Pennsylvania counties and northern New Jersey show that precipitation has been about 1/2 inch below normal. All in all, no significant departures are appearing. Over the past 90 days, precipitation has been near normal in most locations. However, precipitation in Adams and York counties in southern Pennsylvania and Cape May county New Jersey is 4 to 7 inches above normal. Precipitation in northeast New Jersey is 2 to 3 inches below normal. Year to date precipitation for 2012 has been fairly typical overall. The wettest area has been in south-central Pennsylvania with amounts 4 to 6 inches above normal. The driest areas have been in much of the northern half of New Jersey along with the Philadelphia area and adjoining sections of New Jersey. In these areas, precipitation has been 6 to 11 inches below average.

Current (December 13) streamflow data from the U.S. Geological Survey shows that streamflows have rebounded thanks to recent rainfall and are near normal just about everywhere. Groundwater levels are mostly below normal.

As of the middle of December, there is no snow reported on the ground in south-central New York, Pennsylvania, or New Jersey.

The weather outlook over the next couple of weeks calls for precipitation to be near (later in the period) or above (earlier in the period) average. Temperatures should be near or above normal. The Climate Prediction Center's 30 day outlook for December as well as the 90 day outlook for December, 2012 through February, 2013 calls for near average precipitation and temperatures.

The outlook for water resources into early 2013 looks good to very good. The extended period of dry weather (below or much below average precipitation) that we recently experienced began to have effects on water resources, but a return to above normal precipitation appears to have begun. This should ensure that water resources and supplies will begin to increase once again. So, water supplies and resources are expected to remain sufficient to abundant at least into early 2013.

In summary, the northern portion of the MARFC service area has sufficient to abundant water resources and water supplies. These water resources are likely to remain stable or increase in the upcoming weeks. With above normal precipitation expected in the short term and then generally near normal precipitation expected in the longer term, water resources should remain sufficient to abundant and no water shortages are expected at least through the early parts of 2013.

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