March 13, 2013 - The first half or so of March has featured near average precipitation in New Jersey, eastern and southeastern Pennsylvania, and the Catskill Region of New York. Elsewhere in Pennsylvania and south-central New York, precipitation has been 1/2 to near 1 inch below average. Over the past 90 days, precipitation has been near normal in Pennsylvania and south-central New York. Amounts are running 1 to as much as 3 1/2 inches above normal for New Jersey.

Current (March 13) streamflow data from the U.S. Geological Survey shows that streamflows are normal to much above normal in south-central New York, Pennsylvania, and New Jersey. This is mainly due to the most recent storm and snowmelt. Groundwater levels are near normal.

The recent warmup and rainfall has reduced snowcover considerably in the northern portion of the MARFC service area. Only a couple of locations in south-central New York report snow on the ground and this is 4 inches or less. Where snow is on the ground (including northern Pennsylvania), snow water equivalent, or the amount of water that will be released from the snow when it melts, is now about 1/2 inch or less (though up to 1 inch can be found in the Catskill Region of New York). This snow water equivalent is hydrologically insignificant.

The weather outlook through late March calls for above average precipitation. Temperatures are expected to be near or below average. The Climate Prediction Center's 30 day outlook for March calls for near average precipitation and temperatures. The 90 day outlook for March through May calls for near average precipitation and above average temperatures.

The outlook for water resources looks good to very good. Though there have been occasional periods of dry weather over the past several months, there are no areas showing signs of significant dryness. It appears that an overall normal or wet weather pattern can be expected for awhile. There is currently little snowpack, but we are also well into the melt season so this is inrceasingly common. With an anticipated normal to wet weather pattern, water resources and supplies will remain abundant for the next several weeks.

In summary, the northern portion of the MARFC service area has abundant water resources and water supplies. These water resources and supplies are likely to maintain current levels or increase in the upcoming weeks and remain abundant with no water shortages expected for the next several weeks.