June 2, 2013 - Rainfall was scattered and variable in May over the northern part of the MARFC service area with the wettest spots in the Catskill Region of New York and northern New Jersey where rain was as much as 1 to 3 inches above normal in spots. Elsewhere, rain was around normal plus or minus an inch or so. Temperature for May were normal to a degree or two above normal. Precipitation over the past 90 days has been average to 4 inches below average. The driest areas were eastern and southern Pennsylvania along with southern New Jersey.

Current (June 2) streamflow data from the U.S. Geological Survey shows that streamflows are generally near normal with scattered wet areas in south-central New York as well as scattered dry areas in central and southeastern Pennsylvania and southern New Jersey. Groundwater levels are mostly near normal except for eastern Pennsylvania. Here, groundwater levels are below normal.

The weather outlook through the middle of June calls for near or above normal rainfall and temperatures. The Climate Prediction Center's 30 day outlook for June calls for near average precipitation and temperatures. The 90 day summer outlook for June through August calls for near average precipitation and above average temperatures.

The outlook for water resources is fair to good in south-central New York, Pennsylvania, and New Jersey. As is typical for this time of year, rainfall can be significant in one area while largely missing another. So while there are wet and dry areas right now, this can change fairly quickly based on rainfall. There are currently no strong signals that extended dry weather will settle in to the region any time soon. At the same time, there is also no guarantee that summertime showers and thunderstorms will reach every location. So, while good water resources and supplies are expected, it is also possible that some spots could see a relative lack of rain leaving the possibility of only "fair" conditions.

In summary, the northern portion of the MARFC service area has sufficient water resources and water supplies. These water resources and supplies are likely to maintain current levels or begin their typical slow long term summer decrease in the coming weeks, but remain sufficient, with no water shortages expected in the next several weeks. Near or above normal rainfall in the short term is expected to maintain the current status of water resources and supplies.