July 15, 2013 - 1 to 4 inches of rain has fallen so far in July. But, due to the scattered nature of the rain (which is typical for summer), there are no obvious dry or wet regions to highlight. Rainfall over the past 90 days has been typical (plus or minus an inch or two) for most of south-central New York and Pennsylvania. But, some sections of New York north and east of Binghamton along with far eastern Pennsylvania and New Jersey have seen 3 to 8 inches more rainfall than what is typical.

Current (July 15) streamflow data from the U.S. Geological Survey shows that streamflows are near or above normal in the northern half of the MARFC service area. Groundwater levels are above or much above normal.

The weather outlook through late July calls for below normal rain and above normal temperatures early in the period. Then, near or above normal rainfall will return along with near normal temperatures. The NWS Climate Prediction Center's 30-day outlook for July indicates that rainfall should be near or possibly above average and temperatures are expected to be near normal. The 90-day outlook for July through September calls for equal chances of below normal, normal or above normal rainfall and temperatures.

Hurricane season is underway and rains from a tropical system can bring significant rainfall to the Mid-Atlantic Region. The tropics are currently quiet in the Atlantic Ocean and Gulf of Mexico.

The outlook for water resources is very good across the northern half of the MARFC service area. Water resources and supplies are abundant. Neither drought nor any water supply shortages are anticipated to develop during the next several weeks. Long-range weather outlooks are not indicative of a long spell of dry weather. Average, or wetter than average, weather appears to be likely during the next week or so.