November 7, 2012 - October rainfall was the heaviest in Delaware, Maryland (except for the far west), the eastern tip of the eastern panhandle of West Virginia, and northern and eastern Virginia. In these areas, rainfall ranged from 3 to 7 inches above normal thanks largely to rain from "Sandy." Precipitation was closer to normal plus or minus and inch or two elsewhere. Temperatures in October were near normal in Virginia and 1 to 4 degrees above normal elsewhere. Little precipitation has fallen so far in November. Over the past 90 days, precipitation has been mostly around normal plus or minus and inch or two in far western Maryland, most of the eastern panhandle of West Virginia, and western and southern Virginia. Elsewhere, rainfall has been 4 to more than 12 inches above normal with the heaviest amounts having fallen in the Delmarva Peninsula.

Current (November 7) streamflow data from the U.S. Geological Survey shows that streamflows are normal or above normal except in south-central Virginia where flows are below normal. Groundwater levels are generally near or above normal.

The US Drought Monitor, as of October 30, indicates that any drought or dry conditions have ended in the central Delmarva Peninsula and Chesapeake Bay region as a result of recent heavy rain. Moderate drought conditions exist in the Appomattox River Basin in central Virginia. The state of Virginia has posted a drought watch for the Appomattox River Basin. Drought declarations, if any, are declared by individual states.

The weather outlook for the next couple of weeks calls for, on average, near normal precipitation for the 2 week period. Temperatures should be near or below normal early in the period but then near or above normal. The Climate Prediction Center's 30 day outlook for November as well as the 90 day outlook for November, 2012 through January, 2013 calls for near average precipitation and temperatures.

The outlook for water resources for the next several weeks looks good in the south to very good elsewhere. As we head deeper into the autumn season, evapo-transpiration will become fairly minimal likely ensuring that abundant water resources will continue for the next several months. Only an extended period of dry weather (below or much below average precipitation) of at least several weeks would reverse this trend. With near or above normal precipitation expected to continue, water supplies and resources are also likely to continue to increase over the next several weeks and months.

In summary, the southern portion of the MARFC service area has sufficient to abundant water resources and water supplies. These water resources are likely to increase in the upcoming weeks and months. With near or above normal rainfall expected to continue, water resources should remain sufficient or abundant and no water shortages are expected at least through the early parts of 2013.