April 23, 2013 - April rainfall so far has ranged from near normal up to an inch above normal for most of the Delmarva Peninsula, Chesapeake Bay area, and much of Virginia. The remainder of Maryland, the eastern panhandle of West Virginia, and northern Virginia has had less rainfall and are running 1/2 to 1 inch below normal. Year to date precipitation in Virginia is running about average up to 3 1/2 inches above average. Much of the remaining area has been around normal or an inch or 2 below, but far western Maryland is 2 1/2 to 3 1/2 inches below average.

Current (April 23) streamflow data from the U.S. Geological Survey shows that streamflows are near normal for Maryland, the eastern panhandle of West Virginia, and Delaware. Flows are near or above normal in Virginia. Groundwater levels are generally near normal.

The state of Virginia has dropped the drought watch for the upper James River region of Virginia. Drought declarations, if any, are declared by individual states.

The weather outlook through the first week or so of May calls for near to above normal precipitation. Temperatures are expected to average out to about normal for the period. The Climate Prediction Center's 30 day outlook for May calls for near normal precipitation and temperatures. The 90 day outlook for May through July calls for near average precipitation and above normal temperatures.

The outlook for water resources for the next several weeks looks good. The precipitation outlook indicates that sufficient amounts of rain are expected and should allow for the continuation of sufficient to abundant water supplies and resources for the next several weeks. But, there is the potential for a growing area of concern in northern sections. Here in Maryland and the eastern panhandle of West Virginia, precipitation has been less abundant than further south. If this trend continues, then a change in the outlook status may be necessary.

In summary, the southern portion of the MARFC service area has sufficient to abundant water resources and water supplies. These water resources are likely to maintain current levels or increase slightly in the upcoming weeks and remain sufficient or abundant with no water shortages expected.