June 8, 2013 - June has been wet for most of the southern portion of the MARFC service area with 2 to 5 inches (and up to 8 inches in parts of the Chesapeake Bay area) having already fallen. Western Maryland and the eastern panhandle of West Virginia have only received 1 to 1 1/2 inches of rain. Precipitation over the past 90 days has been near normal plus or minus an inch or two for the eastern panhandle of West Virginia, Maryland, Delaware, and northern Virginia. In central and southeast Virginia, precipitation has been 2 to over 5 inches above normal.

Current (June 8) streamflow data from the U.S. Geological Survey shows that streamflows are above or much above normal for most (mainly due to recent rainfall), though flows are about normal in western Maryland and the eastern panhandle of West Virginia. Groundwater levels are generally near normal.

The weather outlook for the next couple of weeks calls for near or above normal rainfall and near average temperatures. The Climate Prediction Center's 30 day outlook for June calls for near normal precipitation and temperatures. The 90 day summer outlook for June through August calls for near average precipitation and above normal temperatures.

Hurricane season has begun and rains from a tropical system can bring significant rainfall to the Mid-Atlantic Region, as we have just seen. If or when this occurs, water resources and supplies can change quite quickly.

The outlook for water resources is good or very good. Significant long term rainfall has left plentiful water resources and supplies in the southern portion of the MARFC service area. Rainfall has been somewhat less abundant further northwest (mainly in western Maryland and the eastern panhandle of West Virginia, but conditions are still moist. These conditions should remain stable unless (or until) a longer term dry weather pattern occurs. This does not, for now, appear to be likely.

In summary, the southern portion of the MARFC service area has sufficient (even abundant) water resources and water supplies. These water resources are likely to maintain current levels or begin their typical long term summer decrease in the upcoming weeks but remain sufficient with no water shortages expected in the next several weeks.

End.