April 28, 2014 - April precipitation has ranged from very little to quite a bit, depending upon location in the southern portion of the MARFC service area. Central and southeast Virginia have picked up 3 to 5 inches of precipitation. At the other end of the range, western Maryland, the eastern panhandle of West Virginia, far northwest Virginia, and even the northern half of the Delmarva Peninsula have only picked up 1 to 2 inches so far. Over the past 90 days, much of central Maryland along with northern and central Virginia are running 1 to 2 inches above normal while far western Maryland and adjacent parts of the eastern panhandle of West Virginia are 1 1/2 to 3 inches below average. Elsewhere, about average amounts of precipitation have fallen.

Current (April 28) streamflow data from the U.S. Geological Survey shows that streamflows are near or above normal. The only exception is far western Maryland where flows are below normal. Groundwater levels are near or above normal.

The weather outlook for the next couple of weeks calls for above average rainfall which is likely to be much above average in the short term. Temperatures are expected to be below normal. The NWS Climate Prediction Center's 30-day outlook for May calls for near normal precipitation and temperatures. The 90 day outlook for May through July calls for near average precipitation along with above average temperatures.

The outlook for water resources and supplies is good or very good across all of the southern portion of the MARFC service area. The expectation of significant rainfall in the short term should ensure that water resources and supplies remain abundant for at least several more weeks. An overall long term lack of precipitation in far western Maryland and the eastern panhandle of west Virginia could become an area of concern should long term dry weather persist.

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