February 25, 2014 - February precipitation has been abundant in the
southeast third of Pennsylvania and in New Jersey where 4 to over 6
inches of precipitation has fallen (2 to 4 inches above average), much
of which has been snow and/or ice. Over the rest of Pennsylvania and
southern New York, a more modest 1 1/2 to over 3 inches has fallen.
Over the past 90 days, precipitation is normal up to an inch or 2
above for southern New York and much of Pennsylvania. In southeast
Pennsylvania and New Jersey, precipitation is 4 to 7 inches above
As of February 25, snow covers most of the northern portion of the
MARFC service area except for coastal areas and the southern half of
New Jersey. Generally 4 to 12 inches of snow is on the ground with
scattered areas of up to 25 inches in the Catskill Region of New York
and northeast Pennsylvania. The water equivalent in this snow, or the
amount of water that will be released when the snow melts, is 1 to 2
1/2 inches over much of the region. But, 3 to over 5 inches is still
on the ground in northeast Pennsylvania and the Catskill Region of New
York. Little or none is in southern New Jersey. This represents a
decrease in both depth and water equivalent as a result of the recent
warm-up. This snow continues to be a hydrologic threat, particularly
in the event of a rapid warm-up and/or moderate or heavy rainfall.
River ice is widespread and has, at times, jammed causing rapid
fluctuations in water levels. This will continue until a warm-up
melts the ice.
Current (February 25) streamflow data from the U.S. Geological
Survey shows that streamflows are near or above normal. Groundwater
levels are above normal though some remain below normal in northeast
The weather outlook into the first week or 10 days of March calls
for near or above average precipitation. Temperatures are expected to
be below normal. The NWS Climate Prediction Center's 30-day outlook
for March calls for near or below normal temperatures along with near
normal precipitation. The 90 day outlook for March through May calls
for near average precipitation and temperatures.
The outlook for water resources is good or very good across all of
southern New York, Pennsylvania, and New Jersey. Water resources and
supplies are abundant.