September 26, 2014 - September rainfall has been 3/4 to 2 inches
for most areas, which is 1 to over 3 inches below average. The
exception is the southern half of the Delmarva Peninsula and southeast
Virginia where 4 1/2 to over 10 inches of rain has fallen to date.
Temperatures have been running near normal to 3 degrees above normal.
Over the past 90 days, central and western Virginia and most of the
eastern panhandle of West Virginia are 2 1/2 to 6 inches below normal.
On the wetter side of things, far western Maryland and southeast
Virginia are 2 to 5 inches above normal. Elsewhere, near average rain
Current (September 26) streamflow data from the U.S. Geological
Survey shows that streamflows are normal or below normal in western
Virginia and the eastern panhandle of West Virginia. Elsewhere, flows
are near or above normal, mainly due to recent rainfall. Groundwater
levels are mostly near normal.
The weather outlook for the next couple of weeks calls for near or
below average rainfall and above average temperatures. The NWS
Climate Prediction Center's 30-day outlook for October along with the
90 day outlook for October through December calls for near average
precipitation and above average temperatures.
Hurricane season continues to be fairly quiet with no tropical
system currently threatening the Mid-Atlantic Region.
The outlook for water resources and supplies is good for Maryland,
Delaware, and much of Virginia. The outlook is fair for central and
western Virginia and now, for the eastern panhandle of West Virginia
due to an extended period of dryness. Region-wide, the expectation of
near or below average rainfall suggests that little or no improvement
can be expected in the near term. If anything, a degradation in
conditions is possible.