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Water Resources Outlook - Southern MARFC Area
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September 26, 2014 - September rainfall has been 3/4 to 2 inches for most areas, which is 1 to over 3 inches below average. The exception is the southern half of the Delmarva Peninsula and southeast Virginia where 4 1/2 to over 10 inches of rain has fallen to date. Temperatures have been running near normal to 3 degrees above normal. Over the past 90 days, central and western Virginia and most of the eastern panhandle of West Virginia are 2 1/2 to 6 inches below normal. On the wetter side of things, far western Maryland and southeast Virginia are 2 to 5 inches above normal. Elsewhere, near average rain has fallen.

Current (September 26) streamflow data from the U.S. Geological Survey shows that streamflows are normal or below normal in western Virginia and the eastern panhandle of West Virginia. Elsewhere, flows are near or above normal, mainly due to recent rainfall. Groundwater levels are mostly near normal.

The weather outlook for the next couple of weeks calls for near or below average rainfall and above average temperatures. The NWS Climate Prediction Center's 30-day outlook for October along with the 90 day outlook for October through December calls for near average precipitation and above average temperatures.

Hurricane season continues to be fairly quiet with no tropical system currently threatening the Mid-Atlantic Region.

The outlook for water resources and supplies is good for Maryland, Delaware, and much of Virginia. The outlook is fair for central and western Virginia and now, for the eastern panhandle of West Virginia due to an extended period of dryness. Region-wide, the expectation of near or below average rainfall suggests that little or no improvement can be expected in the near term. If anything, a degradation in conditions is possible.


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Page last modified: May 7, 2014 15:11
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