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Middle Atlantic River Forecast Center
 
 

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Water Resources Outlook - Southern MARFC Area
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Map of the Southern Water Resources Outlook Region

September 18, 2014 - September rainfall has been an inch or less for most areas, which is an inch or two below average. The exception is the southern half of the Delmarva Peninsula and southeast Virginia where 2 1/2 to over 8 inches has fallen to date. Temperatures have been running normal to 4 degrees above normal. Over the past 90 days, central and western Virginia, the eastern panhandle of West Virginia, and the central Chesapeake Bay Region are 2 1/2 to 5 inches below normal. On the wetter side of things, far western Maryland and southeast Virginia are 2 to 4 inches above normal. Elsewhere, near average rain has fallen.

Current (September 18) streamflow data from the U.S. Geological Survey shows that streamflows are normal or below normal. Groundwater levels are near or above normal.

The weather outlook for the rest of September calls for near or below average rainfall and near or below average temperatures. The NWS Climate Prediction Center's 30-day outlook for October along with the 90 day outlook for October through December calls for near average precipitation and above average temperatures.

We have passed the peak of hurricane season, which has been fairly quiet to date. Tropical weather systems can bring flooding rains to the Mid-Atlantic Region. But for now, no tropical system is threatening the Mid-Atlantic Region.

The outlook for water resources and supplies is good for Maryland, the eastern panhandle of West Virginia, Delaware, and much of Virginia. The outlook is fair for central and western Virginia due to an extended period of dryness. Region-wide, the expectation of near or below average rainfall suggests that little or no improvement can be expected in the near term. If anything, a degradation in conditions is possible.

End.

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Page last modified: May 7, 2014 15:11
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