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Synoptic
Overview –
As
of 12Z Monday June 12, 2006, the 500 mb analysis (Figure 2) showed a
mid-level trough moving east from the Appalachians east-southeastward
across the Carolinas. At the surface, an east-west oriented cold front was
slowly drifting across Eastern North Carolina at late morning (Figure 3).
The 12Z Newport/Morehead City upper-air sounding showed a moist, unstable
pre-storm environment (Figure 4). The low levels continued to
warm/destabilize south of the boundary with surface dewpoints
in the 70s and CAPE (Convective Available Potential Energy) values ranging
from 1500 to 2500 J/kg. This instability led to a Severe Thunderstorm Watch
being issued at 1:45 pm effective through 8 pm in the evening (Figure 5).
In addition to the instability, a band of 35 to 50 knot mid-level flow
above the surface frontal zone provided sufficient vertical shear for
organized severe storms to develop. In fact, the scattered convection
developed into a large mesoscale convective system (MCS) with numerous
large hail and wind reports.

Figure 2. 500 mb Analysis
at 12Z June 12, 2006 showing a mid-level trough moving from the
Appalachians across the Carolinas.

Figure 3. Surface Map at
15Z June 12, 2006 showing slow-moving cold front across Eastern North
Carolina.

Figure 4. The 12Z
Newport/Morehead City upper-air sounding showed a moderately unstable
pre-storm environment.

Figure 5. A Severe
Thunderstorm Watch was issued at 1:25 pm June 12, 2006, for most of Eastern
North Carolina.
Radar Analysis –
The
initial report of dime-sized hail came from Richlands
in Onslow County at 3:33 pm and hail reports continued to come in through 6
pm. Five reports of hail of greater than 2 inches were received with the
largest being a very rare 4.25 inch (softball-sized) hail report from James
City in Craven County around 4:55 pm. One of the best indicators of large
hail is the Vertically Intergrated Liquid (VIL)
product from the WSR-88D NEXRAD radar. Vertically Integrated Liquid is an estimate of
the total mass of precipitation in the clouds. Higher VIL
values are usually well-correlated with large hail. VIL values in excess of
70 kg/m2 were observed near New Bern/James City as the softball
sized hail was reported (Figure 6). High reflectivity cores were observed
at multiple elevation angles throughout the storm (Figure 7). The storm
also exhibited a tilted updraft as shown in this reflectivity cross section
(Figure 8). This was due to unidirectional wind shear, which enabled the
storm to remain severe, producing large hail, throughout its track.

Figure 6. Newport/Morehead
City radar depiction of Vertically Integrated Liquid (VIL). Higher values
of VIL typically correlate well with large hail. Note the large area of VIL
over 70 kg/m2 near New Bern around 2045Z
June 12, 2006.

Figure 7. A four-panel
reflectivity view from the Newport/Morehead City WSR-88D radar showing high
reflectivity values at 0.5, 1.5, 2.4 and 3.4 degrees elevation slices.

Figure 8. Radar cross-section showing a tilted updraft and a 70 dbZ core in excess of 35000 ft,
indicative of a severe supercell storm.
PRELIMINARY
LOCAL STORM REPORT...SUMMARY
NATIONAL
WEATHER SERVICE NEWPORT/MOREHEAD CITY NC
1012 PM
EDT MON JUN 12 2006
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY
LOCATION...
...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY
LOCATION..ST..
...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0333
PM HAIL
RICHLANDS
34.90N 77.55W
06/12/2006 E0.75 INCH
ONSLOW
NC PUBLIC
0334
PM HAIL
RICHLANDS
34.90N 77.55W
06/12/2006 E0.88 INCH
ONSLOW
NC PUBLIC
0345 PM HAIL
RICHLANDS
34.90N 77.55W
06/12/2006 E0.75 INCH
ONSLOW
NC PUBLIC
0413
PM HAIL
ROSE HILL
34.83N 78.03W
06/12/2006 E0.25 INCH
DUPLIN
NC PUBLIC
0441
PM HAIL
TRENT WOODS
35.08N 77.10W
06/12/2006 E0.88 INCH
CRAVEN
NC TRAINED SPOTTER
0442
PM HAIL
JAMES CITY
35.07N 77.02W
06/12/2006 E1.00 INCH CRAVEN
NC PUBLIC
0444
PM HAIL
TRENT WOODS
35.08N 77.10W
06/12/2006 E0.75 INCH
CRAVEN
NC PUBLIC
0445
PM HAIL
NEW BERN
35.12N 77.08W
06/12/2006 E1.75 INCH
CRAVEN
NC PUBLIC
0445
PM HAIL
3 S NEW BERN
35.08N 77.08W
06/12/2006 E1.75 INCH
CRAVEN
NC TRAINED SPOTTER
0445
PM HAIL
TRENT WOODS
35.08N 77.10W
06/12/2006 E0.25 INCH
CRAVEN
NC PUBLIC
0446
PM HAIL
TRENT WOODS
35.08N 77.10W
06/12/2006 E0.88 INCH
CRAVEN
NC PUBLIC
0449
PM HAIL
NEW BERN
35.12N 77.08W
06/12/2006 E1.50 INCH
CRAVEN
NC NWS
EMPLOYEE
0449
PM HAIL
3 S NEW BERN
35.08N 77.08W
06/12/2006 E1.00 INCH
CRAVEN
NC PUBLIC
0449 PM HAIL
NEW BERN
35.12N 77.08W
06/12/2006 E1.00 INCH
CRAVEN
NC TRAINED SPOTTER
0450
PM HAIL
NEW BERN
35.12N 77.08W
06/12/2006 E0.88 INCH
CRAVEN
NC PUBLIC
0450
PM HAIL
NEW BERN
35.12N 77.08W
06/12/2006 E1.00 INCH
CRAVEN
NC PUBLIC
0450
PM HAIL
NEW BERN
35.12N 77.08W
06/12/2006 E1.00 INCH CRAVEN
NC PUBLIC
0450
PM HAIL
NEW BERN
35.12N 77.08W
06/12/2006 E1.00 INCH
CRAVEN
NC PUBLIC
0452
PM HAIL
NEW BERN
35.12N 77.08W
06/12/2006 E1.75 INCH
CRAVEN
NC PUBLIC
0453
PM HAIL
TRENT WOODS
35.08N 77.10W
06/12/2006 E0.88 INCH
CRAVEN
NC PUBLIC
0454
PM HAIL
NEW BERN
35.12N 77.08W
06/12/2006 E2.00 INCH
CRAVEN
NC LAW ENFORCEMENT
0455
PM HAIL
JAMES CITY
35.07N 77.02W
06/12/2006 E4.25 INCH
CRAVEN
NC PUBLIC
0455
PM HAIL
JAMES CITY
35.07N 77.02W
06/12/2006 E2.75 INCH
CRAVEN
NC PUBLIC
0455
PM HAIL
NEW BERN
35.12N 77.08W
06/12/2006 E1.75 INCH
CRAVEN
NC TRAINED SPOTTER
0456
PM HAIL
NEW BERN
35.12N 77.08W
06/12/2006 E1.75 INCH
CRAVEN
NC PUBLIC
0457
PM HAIL
NEW BERN
35.12N 77.08W
06/12/2006 E2.50 INCH
CRAVEN
NC PUBLIC
0507
PM HAIL
4 E OLYMPIA
35.14N 76.90W
06/12/2006 E2.75 INCH
PAMLICO
NC PUBLIC
0508
PM HAIL
2 E OLYMPIA
35.14N 76.93W
06/12/2006 E1.75 INCH
PAMLICO
NC PUBLIC
0510
PM TSTM WND
DMG 2 E
OLYMPIA
35.14N 76.93W
06/12/2006
PAMLICO
NC LAW ENFORCEMENT
POWER LINES DOWN NEAR REELSBORO.
0510
PM HAIL
BRIDGETON 35.12N
77.02W
06/12/2006 E1.75 INCH
CRAVEN
NC PUBLIC
0512
PM HAIL
E BRIDGETON
35.12N 77.02W
06/12/2006 E1.00 INCH
CRAVEN
NC PUBLIC
0531
PM HAIL AURORA
35.30N 76.79W
06/12/2006 E2.75 INCH
BEAUFORT
NC PUBLIC
0600
PM HAIL
1 NW SWANQUARTER
35.41N 76.33W
06/12/2006 E0.50 INCH
HYDE
NC PUBLIC
0600
PM TSTM WND
GST 1 NW
SWANQUARTER
35.41N 76.33W
06/12/2006 E60.00 MPH
HYDE
NC PUBLIC
TREE LIMBS DOWN ON THE ROADWAY BETWEEN ROSE BAY AND
SWANQUARTER.
&&
Sources
–
Storm Prediction Center
New Bern Sun Journal
Newspaper
GR2 Analyst Software
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