ZCZC PITESGCTP
FGUS61 KRHA DDHHMM
ESGCTP
RIVER STAGE CONTINGENCY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE
MID-ATLANTIC RIVER FORECAST CENTER...STATE COLLEGE, PA
:
... The following contingency table is based on NAEFS Ensemble
... Precipitation and Temperature. It displays the probability
... of exceedance of threshold flood categories for HSA CTP
... for the period 9/28/2011 - 10/5/2011

... NAEFS Ensemble Run : 09 / 29 / 2011  00 Z 

           ACTION        MINOR        MODERATE       MAJOR
          Stg  Pct      Stg  Pct      Stg  Pct      Stg  Pct
BECP1    10.0  98%     11.0  36%     13.0  <5%     14.0  <5% 
BMBP1    16.0  23%     19.0   5%     22.0  <5%     28.0  <5% 
CEDP1     7.0  <5%     12.0  <5%     13.0  <5%     15.0  <5% 
CPHP1     6.0  <5%      7.0  <5%      9.0  <5%     13.0  <5% 
DANP1    15.0  98%     20.0   6%     23.0  <5%     30.0  <5% 
DMLP1                                                     
HARP1    11.0  98%     17.0  <5%     20.0  <5%     23.0  <5% 
HERP1     6.0  98%      7.0  98%     10.0  <5%     14.0  <5% 
HGSP1     6.0  98%      8.0  <5%     10.0  <5%     12.0  <5% 
HTVP1     7.0  98%      9.0  98%     12.0  <5%     15.0  <5% 
HUJP1     9.0  <5%     12.0  <5%     13.0  <5%     15.0  <5% 
JRSP1    23.0  <5%     26.0  <5%     28.0  <5%     29.0  <5% 
KARP1    16.0  <5%     19.0  <5%                           
LHVP1    17.0  <5%     21.0  <5%     23.0  <5%     25.0  <5% 
LNCP1     9.0  <5%     11.0  <5%     13.0  <5%     15.0  <5% 
LOYP1     9.0  <5%     12.0  <5%     13.0  <5%     14.0  <5% 
LWBP1    14.0  <5%     18.0  <5%     23.0  <5%     28.0  <5% 
LWSP1    18.0  <5%     23.0  <5%     27.0  <5%     28.0  <5% 
LYCP1                                                     
MFDP1     9.0  <5%     12.0  <5%     13.0  <5%     14.0  <5% 
MPLP1    15.0  <5%     20.0  <5%     24.0  <5%     26.0  <5% 
MRTP1    44.0  98%     49.0  <5%     52.0  <5%     54.0  <5% 
NPTP1    17.0  <5%     22.0  <5%     25.0  <5%     30.0  <5% 
PNCP1     6.0  <5%      8.0  <5%     10.0  <5%     12.0  <5% 
PORP1                                                     
ROVP1    12.0  <5%     16.0  <5%     18.0  <5%     22.0  <5% 
SBYP1    20.0  19%     24.0  <5%     26.0  <5%     34.0  <5% 
SLYP1     8.0   8%     10.0  <5%     12.0  <5%     20.0  <5% 
SMDP1     5.0  18%      9.0  <5%     11.0  <5%     16.0  <5% 
SNNP1    13.0  <5%     17.0  <5%     19.0  <5%     21.0  <5% 
SPKP1     6.0  <5%      8.0  <5%     10.0  <5%     14.0  <5% 
SXTP1    14.0  <5%     17.0  <5%     19.0  <5%     22.0  <5% 
TGJP1    13.0  98%     15.0   5%     17.0  <5%              
WIBP1     9.0  <5%     12.0  <5%     13.0  <5%     15.0  <5% 
WILP1    10.0  92%     20.0  <5%     21.0  <5%     30.0  <5%