ZCZC PITESGBGM
FGUS61 KRHA DDHHMM
ESGBGM
RIVER STAGE CONTINGENCY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE
MID-ATLANTIC RIVER FORECAST CENTER...STATE COLLEGE, PA
:
... The following contingency table is based on SREF Ensemble
... Precipitation and Temperature. It displays the probability
... of exceedance of threshold flood categories for HSA BGM
... for the period 9/28/2011 - 10/2/2011

... SREF Ensemble Run : 09 / 29 / 2011  03 Z 

           ACTION        MINOR        MODERATE       MAJOR
          Stg  Pct      Stg  Pct      Stg  Pct      Stg  Pct
BAIN6    13.0  <5%     15.0  <5%     20.0  <5%     22.0  <5% 
BRGN6    12.0  <5%     13.0  <5%     17.0  <5%     19.0  <5% 
BRYN6    15.0  <5%     17.0  <5%     22.0  <5%     26.0  <5% 
CCRN6     9.0  <5%     12.0  <5%     13.0  <5%     14.8  <5% 
CHEN6    10.0  <5%     12.0  <5%                           
CINN6     8.0  <5%      9.0  <5%     11.2  <5%     12.5  <5% 
CKFN6     8.0  <5%     10.0  <5%     16.0  <5%     18.0  <5% 
CKLN6     8.0  98%     12.0  12%     14.0  <5%     20.0  <5% 
CMGN6    12.0  <5%     16.0  <5%     20.0  <5%     24.0  <5% 
CMPN6     6.0  <5%      8.0  <5%     10.0  <5%     11.0  <5% 
CNNN6                                                     
CNON6     8.0   5%     10.0  <5%     12.6  <5%     20.3  <5% 
CRNN6    21.0  <5%     29.0  <5%     30.0  <5%     36.0  <5% 
CRTN6     7.0  <5%      8.0  <5%     10.0  <5%     12.5  <5% 
FSHN6    11.0  <5%     13.0  <5%     16.0  <5%     18.0  <5% 
GNEN6    11.0  <5%     13.0  <5%     17.0  <5%              
HLEN6     9.0  <5%     11.0  <5%     13.0  <5%     15.0  <5% 
HVDN6     7.0  <5%     10.0  <5%     12.0  <5%     15.0  <5% 
HWYP1     9.0   7%     11.0  <5%     12.0  <5%     20.0  <5% 
LDYN6    14.0  <5%     17.0  <5%     20.0  <5%     22.0  <5% 
MHPP1    25.0  <5%     27.0  <5%     31.0  <5%     40.0  <5% 
MONP1    12.0  <5%     15.5  <5%     17.0  <5%     18.5  <5% 
MTGN4    23.0  <5%     25.0  <5%     28.0  <5%     33.0  <5% 
MTMP1    16.0  <5%     18.0  <5%     24.0  <5%              
NVRN6                                                     
OFRP1     7.0  27%     11.0  <5%     13.0  <5%     16.0  <5% 
PEPN6                                                     
RCKN6     8.0   7%     11.0  <5%     12.0  <5%     13.0  <5% 
SHBN6     6.5  10%      8.5  <5%      9.5  <5%     10.6  <5% 
TNKP1     9.0  98%     11.0  98%     14.0  <5%     17.0  <5% 
TOWP1    14.0  <5%     16.0  <5%     18.0  <5%     25.1  <5% 
UNDN6     9.0  <5%     11.0  <5%     13.0  <5%     14.5  <5% 
VSTN6    16.0  23%     18.0   6%     21.0  <5%     27.0  <5% 
WALN6     7.5   5%      9.5  <5%     14.0  <5%     16.0  <5% 
WBRP1    10.0  98%     22.0  <5%     28.0  <5%     30.0  <5% 
WCRN6    11.0  <5%     17.0  <5%     18.0  <5%     21.0  <5% 
WVYN6    10.0  28%     11.0   9%     16.0  <5%     20.0  <5%