Climate Prediction Center (CPC)

• Three Month Outlook
• Outlook Maps, Graphs and Tables
• Outlook Index

Current Winter Storm Watches, Warnings and Advisories

• Delaware
• Maryland
• New Jersey
• Pennsylvania

Local Products

• Storm Total Snow Forecast
• Public Information Statement (PNS)
  - discusses snowfall totals during or immediatly after a winter weather event
• Storm Archives
  - snowfall plots and storm summaries for major events
• Hazardous Weather Outlook
• Snow Cover and Depth

Other Products

• HPC - Winter Weather Forecasts - Snowfall and Freezing Rain Probability, Surface Low Track
• HPC - Heavy Snowfall Discussion
• NOHRSC - Regional Snow Analyses: Eastern Coastal
• NOHRSC - National Snow Analysis
• NOHRSC - Interactive Snow Information
• Ice Buildup on Rivers
• National Ice Center

• Experimental Snowfall Probabilities

On November 1, 2001, the National Weather Service (NWS) implemented a replacement Wind Chill Temperature (WCT) index for the 2001/2002 winter season. The new WCT index:

• uses calculated wind speed at an average height of five feet (typical height of an adult human face) based on readings from the national standard height of 33 feet (typical height of an anemometer)
• is based on a human face model; incorporates modern heat transfer theory (heat loss from the body to its surroundings, during cold and breezy/windy days);
• lowers the calm wind threshold to 3 mph;
• uses a consistent standard for skin tissue resistance; and assumes no impact from the sun (i.e. clear night sky).

• Warnings:
  A warning is issued to alert the public to imminent dangerous winter weather. Normally a warning is issued after a winter storm watch has been in effect. A winter storm watch may not precede a warning if winter weather develops quickly and unexpectedly. A Winter Storm Warning is issued when heavy snow, significant freezing rain, or heavy sleet is expected to occur. Usually issued 6 to 18 hours in advance of the winter weather. A Blizzard Warning is issued when sustained or gusty winds of 35 mph or more are expected to reduce visibility at or below a quarter of a mile due to falling and/or blowing snow for at least three hours. Wind Chill Warnings are issued when wind chills are expected to be below -24 degrees fahrenheit.
• Watches:
  A watch is issued to alert the public to the potential for dangerous winter weather. A Winter Storm Watch is issued when conditions exist for the possible occurrence of dangerous winter weather such as a blizzard, heavy snow, significant freezing rain or heavy sleet. Usually issued 12 to 36 hours in advance of the winter weather.
• Advisories:
  A less severe winter weather event will prompt the issuance of an advisory. An advisory is named specific to the weather event expected and is issued when the event is expected to be widespread. Travel by foot or vehicle may be dangerous during an advisory even if the winter weather is not expected to reach winter storm criteria.

Seasonal Snowfall Totals (through last winter) for:

• Allentown, PA
• Atlantic City, NJ
• Philadelphia, PA
• Wilmington, DE

Top Snowstorms for Philadelphia (unofficial):

1. 30.7" on January 7-8, 1996
2. 21.3" on February 11-2, 1983
3. 21.0" on December 25-26, 1909
4. 19.4" on April 3-4, 1915
5. 18.9" on February 12-14, 1899
6. 16.7" on January 22-24, 1935
7. 15.1" on February 28-March 1, 1941

Storm Archives

• for the Philadelphia/Mount Holly County Warning Area

• Winter Weather Awareness
• "Winter storms...the Deceptive Killers"
  A GUIDE TO SURVIVAL from the U.S. DEPARTMENT OF COMMERCE