NWS Raleigh Aviation Forecast Discussion
(complete Forecast Discussion)

.AVIATION /06Z SATURDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/... 
AS OF 145 AM SATURDAY...

AN EXPANSIVE STORM SYSTEM CENTERED ON THE FL GULF COAST WILL AFFECT 
THE SOUTHEAST STATES AND CAROLINAS THROUGHOUT TODAY AND TONIGHT. 
CURRENTLY... DESPITE FAIRLY WIDESPREAD LIGHT RAIN... WITH THE 
EXCEPTION OF FAY... VFR CONDITIONS DOMINATE WITH MOST VSBYS AOA 6SM 
AND CIGS AOA 4 000 FT... WHILE FAY HAS SEEN A BAND OF HEAVIER RAIN 
BRINGING IN IFR CIGS AND MVFR VSBYS. THESE IFR CIGS ARE LIKELY TO 
CONTINUE TO ADVECT INTO FAY THROUGH 12Z... AND MAY CREEP INTO THE 
VICINITY OF RWI. AT INT/GSO/RDU... VFR CIGS AND VSBYS ARE EXPECTED 
TO PREVAIL THROUGH 12Z... ALTHOUGH VSBYS MAY BRIEFLY DROP TO MVFR IN 
ANY HEAVIER RAIN BANDS. AFTER 12Z... RDU/RWI SHOULD FALL TO MAINLY 
MVFR... LASTING UNTIL AROUND 19-21Z... WITH BRIEF IFR CIGS POSSIBLE 
BETWEEN 12Z AND 16Z. INT/GSO SHOULD REMAIN VFR... ALTHOUGH A BRIEF 
DROP TO MVFR 12Z-16Z THIS MORNING IS POSSIBLE. FAY IS LIKELY TO 
EXPERIENCE THE WORST AVIATION CONDITIONS WITH IFR CONDITIONS HOLDING 
THROUGH 06Z TONIGHT. AT INT/GSO/RWI/RDU... CIGS ARE EXPECTED TO 
IMPROVE TO VFR AFTER 21Z AS DRIER LOW LEVEL AIR NOSES IN FROM HIGH 
PRESSURE TO THE NORTH... WITH JUST PATCHY DRIZZLE AT MOST FROM 21Z 
THROUGH THE END OF THE TAF VALID PERIOD (06Z SUN).

LOOKING BEYOND 06Z SUN... EXPECT IMPROVEMENT TO MVFR AT FAY 06Z-09Z 
THEN TO VFR BY 12Z... AND MAINLY VFR CIGS AT ALL OTHER SITES THROUGH 
SUNDAY. EXPECT VFR CONDITIONS TO DOMINATE THROUGH MON NIGHT. PASSAGE 
OF A MID LEVEL TROUGH AND SURFACE COLD FRONT FROM THE NW WILL BRING 
A RISK OF SUB-VFR CONDITIONS TUE/TUE NIGHT. VFR CONDITIONS RETURN 
FOR WED. -GIH 

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